Mermaid Beach QLD Property Investment

Gold Coast · 4218 · Score: 60/100 · Hold

Median House Price
$2.15M
Rental Yield
2.3%
Vacancy Rate
2.5%
Median Weekly Rent
$1400/wk
Median Unit Price
$1.15M
Population
7,329
Days on Market
39 days
Annual Growth
7.5%

Mermaid Beach Short-Term Rental (Airbnb) Market

Avg Nightly Rate
$465.56/night
Occupancy Rate
44%
Est. Annual Revenue
$75K
AI Investment Analysis

Mermaid Beach QLD Investment Brief

HOLD2.3% gross yield on a $2,150,000$2,983,428 (sources disagree, range shown — do NOT quote a single number) median.

THE MARKET

Mermaid Beach has compounded at 4.3%/yr over 5 years. Median sits in the $2,150,000$2,983,428 (sources disagree, range shown — do NOT quote a single number) band today. Properties are sitting on market for 39 days (roughly balanced conditions).

  • Median house: $2,150,000$2,983,428 (sources disagree, range shown — do NOT quote a single number) | Units: $1,154,449
  • Gross yield: 2.3% | Net yield: 0.8%
  • 5yr price CAGR: 4.3%/yr | 3yr forecast: 13.5%/yr
  • Population: 7,329 | Owner-occupier rate: 61% | Affluence: High
  • Supply pipeline: Low — Price growth outpacing new supply, limited development pipeline

RENTAL SNAPSHOT

  • Vacancy: 2.5% (stable) | Rental demand: Moderate
  • Median weekly rent: $1,400/wk | Days on market: 39 (stable)
  • Balanced market — vacancy manageable but monitor trend.

SHORT-TERM RENTAL

  • Median nightly rate: $466/night | Occupancy: 44%
  • Estimated annual STR gross: ~$74,769/yr
  • vs long-term rent: $72,800/yr (comparable — LTR offers simpler management)

INFRASTRUCTURE & CATALYSTS

  • Gold Coast Light Rail Stage 3 (Operational)
  • Gold Coast Light Rail Stage 4 (Airport Extension) (Under Procurement)
  • Transport: Broadbeach South station 1.1km away

BULL CASE

If Mermaid Beach maintains 3%+ annual growth and vacancy stays below 1.8%, median prices could reach $3,630,012 within 3 years with yields compressing slightly as capital values rise.

BEAR CASE

A market correction or interest rate shock could see prices in Mermaid Beach pull back 10-15% from $3,156,532, with vacancy rising to 4.5% and rental yields softening as tenants gain leverage.

KEY RISKS

  • Flood risk: HIGH (qld_elevation_proxy) — order a flood certificate for the specific address before commit
  • - Premium price point limits buyer pool and increases interest rate sensitivity
  • - Distance from CBD may limit long-term capital growth potential

COMPARABLE MARKETS

  • Tallebudgera Valley (QLD): $2,288,389 median, 2.5% yield, -0.7% 1yr growth
  • Teneriffe (QLD): $3,258,437 median, 1.9% yield, 0.0% 1yr growth
  • Mermaid Waters (QLD): $2,250,142 median, 3.2% yield, 10.7% 1yr growth

THE PLAY

Mermaid Beach offers balanced fundamentals but does not present an urgent buying signal. The market is in a stable phase with moderate vacancy risk. Monitor vacancy trends and price movements over the next 6-12 months. Only enter if a property can be acquired at or below median pricing with yields exceeding 4.0%.

  • Entry range: $2,840,879$3,472,185
  • Minimum gross yield to target: 4.5%
  • Watch signal: vacancy dropping below 2% and days on market falling below 35

This analysis is for informational purposes only and does not constitute financial, legal, or investment advice. Seek professional advice before making investment decisions.

Gentrification Index

Pre-gentrification2.5/10
High SEIFA decile — already upgraded or established affluent area
Moderate capital growth (4.3% CAGR)
Mixed tenure (36% renters) — transitional suburb profile
Active development pipeline (25451 approvals) — supply attracting new residents

Growth Forecast

high confidence
1yr Forecast
3.8%
p.a.
2yr Forecast
3.5%
p.a.
5yr Forecast
3.0%
p.a.

Basis: 5yr CAGR 4.3% + 10yr CAGR 4.2%

Growth drivers
  • +Above-average population growth (2.1%/yr)
Headwinds
  • High supply pipeline (25451 new approvals) — may cap price growth

Suburb Metric Thresholds

3 green10 yellow3 red
Rental Vacancy Rate
2.5 high impact
Days on Market
39 high impact
Weekly Rent (house)
1400 medium impact
5yr Price CAGR
4.35 high impact
10yr Price CAGR
4.19 high impact
1yr Price Growth
7.5 medium impact
Population Growth
2.11 high impact
Median Household Income
1751 medium impact
Unemployment Rate
4.5 medium impact
Public Transport Score
6 medium impact
School Zone Quality
6.3 medium impact
Distance to CBD
75.63 medium impact
SEIFA Advantage/Disadvantage
7 medium impact
Owner Occupier Rate
61.1 medium impact
Gross Rental Yield (%)
2.31 high impact
Net Rental Yield (%)
0.81 high impact

Macro Environment

Macro Indicators

Cash Rate

4.35%

0.25%

Cash rate as at 2026-05-06 · Credit data 2026-04

Suburb Supply & Demand

Suburb Supply Pipeline — New Dwelling Approvals

4,508

2020

5,232

2021

5,649

2022

5,944

2023

4,118

2025

New dwelling approvals — higher numbers mean more future supply

Socio-Economic Profile

Source: ABS Census 2021

SEIFA Index · Postcode 4218

Most disadvantagedLeast disadvantaged

Decile 8 of 10 — Low disadvantage

Population

35,371

Education (IEO)

8/10

Econ. Resources (IER)

6/10

10-Year Investment Projection

Modelled on Mermaid Beach QLD data — rent, capital growth, tax, and depreciation over 10 years.

Pre-filled: $1400/wk median rent for Mermaid Beach. Capital growth and rent increase are editable assumptions.

Schools

In your catchment

Broadbeach SS
PrimaryGovernment
7.5/10
Miami SHS
SecondaryGovernment
6.7/10

These are the government-school zones containing this suburb centroid. Specific addresses within the suburb may fall in different catchments — confirm with the school directly.

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Data sourced from ABS, state government property sales, and Airbnb market analytics. For informational purposes only — not financial advice.

Mermaid Beach QLD Property Market — Median, Growth, Yield | Estait