Surfers Paradise QLD Property Investment
Gold Coast · 4217 · Score: 60/100 · Hold
Surfers Paradise Short-Term Rental (Airbnb) Market
Surfers Paradise QLD Investment Brief
HOLD — 2.9% gross yield on a $2,489,466 (single source — OnTheHouse only, no peer to validate) median.
THE MARKET
Surfers Paradise has compounded at 3.2%/yr over 5 years. Median sits in the $2,489,466 (single source — OnTheHouse only, no peer to validate) band today. Properties are sitting on market for 28 days (sellers have the leverage).
- Median house: $2,489,466 (single source — OnTheHouse only, no peer to validate) | Units: $884,448
- Gross yield: 2.9% | Net yield: 1.4%
- 5yr price CAGR: 3.2%/yr | 3yr forecast: 13.5%/yr
- Population: 26,412 | Owner-occupier rate: 55% | Affluence: High
- Supply pipeline: Low — Price growth outpacing new supply, limited development pipeline
RENTAL SNAPSHOT
- Vacancy: 2.0% (improving) | Rental demand: High
- Median weekly rent: $1,400/wk | Days on market: 28 (stable)
- Balanced market — vacancy manageable but monitor trend.
SHORT-TERM RENTAL
- Median nightly rate: $398/night | Occupancy: 44%
- Estimated annual STR gross: ~$63,928/yr
- vs long-term rent: $72,800/yr (comparable — LTR offers simpler management)
INFRASTRUCTURE & CATALYSTS
- Gold Coast Light Rail Stage 3 (Operational)
- Transport: Standard suburban transport access
BULL CASE
If Surfers Paradise maintains 3%+ annual growth and vacancy stays below 1.4%, median prices could reach $2,862,886 within 3 years with yields compressing slightly as capital values rise.
BEAR CASE
A market correction or interest rate shock could see prices in Surfers Paradise pull back 10-15% from $2,489,466, with vacancy rising to 3.6% and rental yields softening as tenants gain leverage.
KEY RISKS
- Flood risk: HIGH (qld_elevation_proxy) — order a flood certificate for the specific address before commit
- - Premium price point limits buyer pool and increases interest rate sensitivity
- - Distance from CBD may limit long-term capital growth potential
COMPARABLE MARKETS
- Sheldon (QLD): $1,826,105 median, 1.8% yield, 10.9% 1yr growth
- Wilston (QLD): $1,992,493 median, 2.1% yield, 2.8% 1yr growth
- Tallebudgera Valley (QLD): $2,288,389 median, 2.5% yield, -0.7% 1yr growth
THE PLAY
Surfers Paradise offers balanced fundamentals but does not present an urgent buying signal. The market is in a stable phase with moderate vacancy risk. Monitor vacancy trends and price movements over the next 6-12 months. Only enter if a property can be acquired at or below median pricing with yields exceeding 4.0%.
- Entry range: $2,240,519 – $2,738,413
- Minimum gross yield to target: 4.5%
- Watch signal: vacancy dropping below 2% and days on market holding under 35
This analysis is for informational purposes only and does not constitute financial, legal, or investment advice. Seek professional advice before making investment decisions.
Gentrification Index
Growth Forecast
high confidenceBasis: 5yr CAGR 3.2% + 10yr CAGR 3.4%
- +Above-average population growth (2.0%/yr)
- +Low rental vacancy (2.0%) — constrained supply
- +Active market (28 days avg)
- −High supply pipeline (25451 new approvals) — may cap price growth
Suburb Metric Thresholds
Macro Environment
Macro Indicators
Cash Rate
4.35%
▲ 0.25%Cash rate as at 2026-05-06 · Credit data 2026-04
Suburb Supply & Demand
Suburb Supply Pipeline — New Dwelling Approvals
4,508
2020
5,232
2021
5,649
2022
5,944
2023
4,118
2025
New dwelling approvals — higher numbers mean more future supply
Socio-Economic Profile
Source: ABS Census 2021SEIFA Index · Postcode 4217
Decile 6 of 10 — Average
Population
45,197
Education (IEO)
8/10
Econ. Resources (IER)
3/10
10-Year Investment Projection
Modelled on Surfers Paradise QLD data — rent, capital growth, tax, and depreciation over 10 years.
Pre-filled: $1400/wk median rent for Surfers Paradise. Capital growth and rent increase are editable assumptions.
Schools
In your catchment
These are the government-school zones containing this suburb centroid. Specific addresses within the suburb may fall in different catchments — confirm with the school directly.
Nearby Suburbs
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Analyse a Property →Data sourced from ABS, state government property sales, and Airbnb market analytics. For informational purposes only — not financial advice.