Tallebudgera Valley QLD Property Investment

Gold Coast · 4228 · Score: 60/100 · Hold

Median House Price
$2.29M
Rental Yield
2.5%
Vacancy Rate
2.6%
Median Weekly Rent
$1100/wk
Median Unit Price
$1.12M
Population
1,762
Days on Market
40 days
Annual Growth
-0.7%

Tallebudgera Valley Short-Term Rental (Airbnb) Market

Avg Nightly Rate
$760.31/night
Occupancy Rate
44%
Est. Annual Revenue
$122K
AI Investment Analysis

Tallebudgera Valley QLD Investment Brief

HOLD2.5% gross yield on a $2,288,389 (single source — OnTheHouse only, no peer to validate) median.

THE MARKET

Tallebudgera Valley has compounded at 6.2%/yr over 5 years. Median sits in the $2,288,389 (single source — OnTheHouse only, no peer to validate) band today. Properties are sitting on market for 40 days (roughly balanced conditions).

  • Median house: $2,288,389 (single source — OnTheHouse only, no peer to validate) | Units: $1,121,835
  • Gross yield: 2.5% | Net yield: 1.0%
  • 5yr price CAGR: 6.2%/yr | 3yr forecast: 13.5%/yr
  • Population: 1,762 | Owner-occupier rate: 87% | Affluence: Very High
  • Supply pipeline: Low — Price growth outpacing new supply, limited development pipeline

RENTAL SNAPSHOT

  • Vacancy: 2.6% (stable) | Rental demand: Moderate
  • Median weekly rent: $1,100/wk | Days on market: 40 (stable)
  • Balanced market — vacancy manageable but monitor trend.

SHORT-TERM RENTAL

  • Median nightly rate: $760/night | Occupancy: 44%
  • Estimated annual STR gross: ~$122,106/yr
  • vs long-term rent: $57,200/yr (+113% STR premium — factor in higher management costs)

INFRASTRUCTURE & CATALYSTS

  • Gold Coast Light Rail Stage 4 (Airport Extension) (Under Procurement)
  • Gold Coast Light Rail Stage 3 (Operational)
  • Transport: Standard suburban transport access

BULL CASE

If Tallebudgera Valley maintains 3%+ annual growth and vacancy stays below 1.8%, median prices could reach $2,631,647 within 3 years with yields compressing slightly as capital values rise.

BEAR CASE

A market correction or interest rate shock could see prices in Tallebudgera Valley pull back 10-15% from $2,288,389, with vacancy rising to 4.7% and rental yields softening as tenants gain leverage.

KEY RISKS

  • Premium price point limits buyer pool and increases interest rate sensitivity
  • - Distance from CBD may limit long-term capital growth potential

COMPARABLE MARKETS

  • Sheldon (QLD): $1,826,105 median, 1.8% yield, 10.9% 1yr growth
  • Wilston (QLD): $1,992,493 median, 2.1% yield, 2.8% 1yr growth
  • Wishart (QLD): $1,618,366 median, 2.6% yield, 23.1% 1yr growth

THE PLAY

Tallebudgera Valley offers balanced fundamentals but does not present an urgent buying signal. The market is in a stable phase with moderate vacancy risk. Monitor vacancy trends and price movements over the next 6-12 months. Only enter if a property can be acquired at or below median pricing with yields exceeding 4.0%.

  • Entry range: $2,059,550$2,517,228
  • Minimum gross yield to target: 4.5%
  • Watch signal: vacancy dropping below 2% and days on market falling below 35

This analysis is for informational purposes only and does not constitute financial, legal, or investment advice. Seek professional advice before making investment decisions.

Gentrification Index

Pre-gentrification2.0/10
High SEIFA decile — already upgraded or established affluent area
Moderate capital growth (6.2% CAGR)
Active development pipeline (25451 approvals) — supply attracting new residents

Growth Forecast

high confidence
1yr Forecast
5.3%
p.a.
2yr Forecast
4.9%
p.a.
5yr Forecast
4.2%
p.a.

Basis: 5yr CAGR 6.2% + 10yr CAGR 5.8%

Headwinds
  • High supply pipeline (25451 new approvals) — may cap price growth

Suburb Metric Thresholds

5 green6 yellow5 red
Rental Vacancy Rate
2.6 high impact
Days on Market
40 high impact
Weekly Rent (house)
1100 medium impact
5yr Price CAGR
6.22 high impact
10yr Price CAGR
5.81 high impact
1yr Price Growth
-0.68 medium impact
Population Growth
1.06 high impact
Median Household Income
2330 medium impact
Unemployment Rate
4.7 medium impact
Public Transport Score
0 medium impact
School Zone Quality
6.7 medium impact
Distance to CBD
86.23 medium impact
SEIFA Advantage/Disadvantage
9 medium impact
Owner Occupier Rate
87.3 medium impact
Gross Rental Yield (%)
2.5 high impact
Net Rental Yield (%)
1 high impact

Macro Environment

Macro Indicators

Cash Rate

4.35%

0.25%

Cash rate as at 2026-05-06 · Credit data 2026-04

Suburb Supply & Demand

Suburb Supply Pipeline — New Dwelling Approvals

4,508

2020

5,232

2021

5,649

2022

5,944

2023

4,118

2025

New dwelling approvals — higher numbers mean more future supply

Socio-Economic Profile

Source: ABS Census 2021

SEIFA Index · Postcode 4228

Most disadvantagedLeast disadvantaged

Decile 9 of 10 — Low disadvantage

Population

5,585

Education (IEO)

7/10

Econ. Resources (IER)

10/10

10-Year Investment Projection

Modelled on Tallebudgera Valley QLD data — rent, capital growth, tax, and depreciation over 10 years.

Pre-filled: $1100/wk median rent for Tallebudgera Valley. Capital growth and rent increase are editable assumptions.

Schools

In your catchment

Ingleside SS
PrimaryGovernment
6.7/10
Elanora SHS
SecondaryGovernment
6.4/10

These are the government-school zones containing this suburb centroid. Specific addresses within the suburb may fall in different catchments — confirm with the school directly.

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Data sourced from ABS, state government property sales, and Airbnb market analytics. For informational purposes only — not financial advice.