Southern River WA Property Investment

Gosnells · 6110 · Score: 68/100 · Buy

Median House Price
$1.04M
Rental Yield
4.3%
Vacancy Rate
0.9%
Median Weekly Rent
$850/wk
Median Unit Price
$631K
Population
12,852
Days on Market
18 days
Annual Growth
12.5%

Southern River Short-Term Rental (Airbnb) Market

Avg Nightly Rate
$220/night
Occupancy Rate
%
Est. Annual Revenue
$52K
AI Investment Analysis

Southern River WA Investment Brief

BUY4.2% gross yield on a $1,040,000 (single source — OnTheHouse only, no peer to validate) median.

THE MARKET

Southern River has compounded at 2.0%/yr over 5 years. Median sits in the $1,040,000 (single source — OnTheHouse only, no peer to validate) band today. Properties are sitting on market for 18 days (sellers have the leverage).

  • Median house: $1,040,000 (single source — OnTheHouse only, no peer to validate) | Units: $631,291
  • Gross yield: 4.2% | Net yield: 2.8%
  • 5yr price CAGR: 2.0%/yr | 3yr forecast: 13.5%/yr
  • Population: 12,852 | Owner-occupier rate: 72% | Affluence: Average
  • Supply pipeline: Low — Price growth outpacing new supply, limited development pipeline

RENTAL SNAPSHOT

  • Vacancy: 0.9% (improving) | Rental demand: Very High
  • Median weekly rent: $850/wk | Days on market: 18 (improving)
  • Landlord market — rents likely to keep rising.

SHORT-TERM RENTAL

Insufficient STR data for this suburb. Run a specific address analysis for property-level STR projections.

INFRASTRUCTURE & CATALYSTS

  • METRONET (Perth Rail Expansion) (Under Construction)
  • Transport: Standard suburban transport access

BULL CASE

If Southern River maintains 3%+ annual growth and vacancy stays below 0.8%, median prices could reach $1,196,000 within 3 years with yields compressing slightly as capital values rise.

BEAR CASE

A market correction or interest rate shock could see prices in Southern River pull back 10-15% from $1,040,000, with vacancy rising to 1.6% and rental yields softening as tenants gain leverage.

KEY RISKS

  • No significant risk factors identified for this suburb

COMPARABLE MARKETS

  • Mandurah (WA): $746,319 median, 3.8% yield, 16.5% 1yr growth
  • Balga (WA): $750,000 median, 5.0% yield, 14.1% 1yr growth
  • Girrawheen (WA): $775,000 median, 4.4% yield, 16.5% 1yr growth

THE PLAY

Southern River presents a compelling investment opportunity. The combination of solid fundamentals and very high rental demand supports entry at current price levels. Proceed with due diligence on specific properties. Target gross yields above 4.2% and prioritise properties with value-add potential. Consider timing entry around the current recovery phase of the market cycle.

  • Entry range: $936,000$1,144,000
  • Minimum gross yield to target: 4.5%
  • Watch signal: vacancy staying below 2% and days on market holding under 35

This analysis is for informational purposes only and does not constitute financial, legal, or investment advice. Seek professional advice before making investment decisions.

Gentrification Index

Early gentrification signals4.5/10
Middle-tier SEIFA — moderate gentrification pressure
Inner/middle ring location (19.5km to CBD) — high gentrification corridor
Active development pipeline (2904 approvals) — supply attracting new residents
Strong public transport infrastructure — supports walkable gentrification

Growth Forecast

high confidence
1yr Forecast
3.3%
p.a.
2yr Forecast
3.0%
p.a.
5yr Forecast
2.6%
p.a.

Basis: 5yr CAGR 2.0% + 10yr CAGR 3.9%

Growth drivers
  • +Above-average population growth (1.9%/yr)
  • +Very tight rental market (vacancy 0.9%) — upward price pressure
  • +Fast sales (18 days avg) — strong buyer demand
Headwinds
  • High supply pipeline (2904 new approvals) — may cap price growth

Suburb Metric Thresholds

5 green9 yellow2 red
Rental Vacancy Rate
0.9 high impact
Days on Market
18 high impact
Weekly Rent (house)
850 medium impact
5yr Price CAGR
1.98 high impact
10yr Price CAGR
3.91 high impact
1yr Price Growth
12.5 medium impact
Population Growth
1.89 high impact
Median Household Income
1618 medium impact
Unemployment Rate
7 medium impact
Public Transport Score
6.5 medium impact
School Zone Quality
7 medium impact
Distance to CBD
19.52 medium impact
SEIFA Advantage/Disadvantage
6 medium impact
Owner Occupier Rate
72.1 medium impact
Gross Rental Yield (%)
4.25 high impact
Net Rental Yield (%)
2.75 high impact

Macro Environment

Macro Indicators

Cash Rate

4.35%

0.25%

Cash rate as at 2026-05-06 · Credit data 2026-04

Suburb Supply & Demand

Suburb Supply Pipeline — New Dwelling Approvals

428

2020

815

2021

580

2022

374

2023

707

2025

New dwelling approvals — higher numbers mean more future supply

Socio-Economic Profile

Source: ABS Census 2021

SEIFA Index · Postcode 6110

Most disadvantagedLeast disadvantaged

Decile 3 of 10 — High disadvantage

Population

44,873

Education (IEO)

3/10

Econ. Resources (IER)

6/10

10-Year Investment Projection

Modelled on Southern River WA data — rent, capital growth, tax, and depreciation over 10 years.

Pre-filled: $850/wk median rent for Southern River. Capital growth and rent increase are editable assumptions.

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Data sourced from ABS, state government property sales, and Airbnb market analytics. For informational purposes only — not financial advice.