Forrestdale WA Property Investment

Armadale · 6112 · Score: 71/100 · Buy

Median House Price
$1.07M
Rental Yield
3.6%
Vacancy Rate
0.9%
Median Weekly Rent
$750/wk
Median Unit Price
$911K
Population
1,027
Days on Market
18 days
Annual Growth
15.3%

Forrestdale Short-Term Rental (Airbnb) Market

Avg Nightly Rate
$181.75/night
Occupancy Rate
%
Est. Annual Revenue
$43K
AI Investment Analysis

Forrestdale WA Investment Brief

BUY3.6% gross yield on a $1,071,857 median.

THE MARKET

Forrestdale has compounded at 1.2%/yr over 5 years — a house that cost $1,009,797 in 2021 is worth $1,071,857 today. Properties are sitting on market for 18 days (sellers have the leverage). At the same growth rate, today's median reaches $1,137,731 by 2031.

  • Median house: $1,071,857 | Units: $910,563
  • Gross yield: 3.6% | Net yield: 2.1%
  • 5yr price CAGR: 1.2%/yr | 3yr forecast: 13.5%/yr
  • Population: 1,027 | Owner-occupier rate: 75% | Affluence: Above Average
  • Supply pipeline: Moderate — Strong population growth likely attracting new development approvals

RENTAL SNAPSHOT

  • Vacancy: 0.9% (improving) | Rental demand: Very High
  • Median weekly rent: $750/wk | Days on market: 18 (improving)
  • Landlord market — rents likely to keep rising.

SHORT-TERM RENTAL

Insufficient STR data for this suburb. Run a specific address analysis for property-level STR projections.

INFRASTRUCTURE & CATALYSTS

  • METRONET (Perth Rail Expansion) (Under Construction)
  • Transport: Sherwood station 7.0km away

BULL CASE

If Forrestdale maintains 5%+ annual growth and vacancy stays below 0.8%, median prices could reach $1,232,636 within 3 years with yields compressing slightly as capital values rise.

BEAR CASE

A market correction or interest rate shock could see prices in Forrestdale pull back 10-15% from $1,071,857, with vacancy rising to 1.6% and rental yields softening as tenants gain leverage.

KEY RISKS

  • No significant risk factors identified for this suburb

COMPARABLE MARKETS

  • Girrawheen (WA): $775,000 median, 4.4% yield, 16.5% 1yr growth
  • Mirrabooka (WA): $800,000 median, 4.5% yield, 13.2% 1yr growth
  • Champion Lakes (WA): $857,315 median, 4.5% yield, 3.4% 1yr growth

THE PLAY

Forrestdale presents a compelling investment opportunity. The combination of solid fundamentals and very high rental demand supports entry at current price levels. Proceed with due diligence on specific properties. Target gross yields above 3.6% and prioritise properties with value-add potential. Consider timing entry around the current recovery phase of the market cycle.

  • Entry range: $964,671$1,179,043
  • Minimum gross yield to target: 4.5%
  • Watch signal: vacancy staying below 2% and days on market holding under 35

This analysis is for informational purposes only and does not constitute financial, legal, or investment advice. Seek professional advice before making investment decisions.

Gentrification Index

Pre-gentrification2.0/10
High SEIFA decile — already upgraded or established affluent area
Outer suburban location (23.1km to CBD) — slower gentrification cycle
Active development pipeline (5323 approvals) — supply attracting new residents

Growth Forecast

high confidence
1yr Forecast
3.1%
p.a.
2yr Forecast
2.9%
p.a.
5yr Forecast
2.5%
p.a.

Basis: 5yr CAGR 1.2% + 10yr CAGR 3.5%

Growth drivers
  • +Strong population growth (4.5%/yr) driving demand
  • +Very tight rental market (vacancy 0.9%) — upward price pressure
  • +Fast sales (18 days avg) — strong buyer demand
Headwinds
  • High supply pipeline (5323 new approvals) — may cap price growth

Suburb Metric Thresholds

7 green4 yellow5 red
Rental Vacancy Rate
0.9 high impact
Days on Market
18 high impact
Weekly Rent (house)
750 medium impact
5yr Price CAGR
1.19 high impact
10yr Price CAGR
3.47 high impact
1yr Price Growth
15.31 medium impact
Population Growth
4.53 high impact
Median Household Income
1853 medium impact
Unemployment Rate
6.1 medium impact
Public Transport Score
3.8 medium impact
School Zone Quality
5.7 medium impact
Distance to CBD
23.09 medium impact
SEIFA Advantage/Disadvantage
8 medium impact
Owner Occupier Rate
74.9 medium impact
Gross Rental Yield (%)
3.64 high impact
Net Rental Yield (%)
2.14 high impact

Macro Environment

Macro Indicators

Cash Rate

4.35%

0.25%

Cash rate as at 2026-05-06 · Credit data 2026-04

Suburb Supply & Demand

Suburb Supply Pipeline — New Dwelling Approvals

677

2020

1,539

2021

990

2022

843

2023

1,274

2025

New dwelling approvals — higher numbers mean more future supply

Socio-Economic Profile

Source: ABS Census 2021

SEIFA Index · Postcode 6112

Most disadvantagedLeast disadvantaged

Decile 5 of 10 — Average

Population

70,564

Education (IEO)

5/10

Econ. Resources (IER)

7/10

10-Year Investment Projection

Modelled on Forrestdale WA data — rent, capital growth, tax, and depreciation over 10 years.

Pre-filled: $750/wk median rent for Forrestdale. Capital growth and rent increase are editable assumptions.

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Data sourced from ABS, state government property sales, and Airbnb market analytics. For informational purposes only — not financial advice.