Meadow Springs WA Property Investment

Mandurah · 6210 · Score: 56/100 · Hold

Median House Price
$958K
Rental Yield
3.5%
Vacancy Rate
2.3%
Median Weekly Rent
$650/wk
Median Unit Price
$741K
Population
9,160
Days on Market
38 days
Annual Growth
8.3%

Meadow Springs Short-Term Rental (Airbnb) Market

Avg Nightly Rate
$351/night
Occupancy Rate
%
Est. Annual Revenue
$83K
AI Investment Analysis

Meadow Springs WA Investment Brief

HOLD3.5% gross yield on a $958,480 (single source — OnTheHouse only, no peer to validate) median.

THE MARKET

Meadow Springs has compounded at 2.1%/yr over 5 years. Median sits in the $958,480 (single source — OnTheHouse only, no peer to validate) band today. Properties are sitting on market for 38 days (roughly balanced conditions).

  • Median house: $958,480 (single source — OnTheHouse only, no peer to validate) | Units: $740,565
  • Gross yield: 3.5% | Net yield: 2.0%
  • 5yr price CAGR: 2.1%/yr | 3yr forecast: 13.5%/yr
  • Population: 9,160 | Owner-occupier rate: 68% | Affluence: Below Average
  • Supply pipeline: Low — Price growth outpacing new supply, limited development pipeline

RENTAL SNAPSHOT

  • Vacancy: 2.3% (improving) | Rental demand: High
  • Median weekly rent: $650/wk | Days on market: 38 (stable)
  • Balanced market — vacancy manageable but monitor trend.

SHORT-TERM RENTAL

Insufficient STR data for this suburb. Run a specific address analysis for property-level STR projections.

INFRASTRUCTURE & CATALYSTS

  • No major confirmed infrastructure projects on record.
  • Transport: Lakelands Station station 3.0km away

BULL CASE

If Meadow Springs maintains 3%+ annual growth and vacancy stays below 1.6%, median prices could reach $1,102,252 within 3 years with yields compressing slightly as capital values rise.

BEAR CASE

A market correction or interest rate shock could see prices in Meadow Springs pull back 10-15% from $958,480, with vacancy rising to 4.1% and rental yields softening as tenants gain leverage.

KEY RISKS

  • Distance from CBD may limit long-term capital growth potential

COMPARABLE MARKETS

  • Mandurah (WA): $746,319 median, 3.8% yield, 16.5% 1yr growth
  • Balga (WA): $750,000 median, 5.0% yield, 14.1% 1yr growth
  • Girrawheen (WA): $775,000 median, 4.4% yield, 16.5% 1yr growth

THE PLAY

Meadow Springs offers balanced fundamentals but does not present an urgent buying signal. The market is in a recovery phase with moderate vacancy risk. Monitor vacancy trends and price movements over the next 6-12 months. Only enter if a property can be acquired at or below median pricing with yields exceeding 4.0%.

  • Entry range: $862,632$1,054,328
  • Minimum gross yield to target: 4.5%
  • Watch signal: vacancy dropping below 2% and days on market falling below 35

This analysis is for informational purposes only and does not constitute financial, legal, or investment advice. Seek professional advice before making investment decisions.

Gentrification Index

Early gentrification signals4.0/10
Low socioeconomic base — classic gentrification precondition
Active development pipeline (4973 approvals) — supply attracting new residents
Strong public transport infrastructure — supports walkable gentrification

Growth Forecast

high confidence
1yr Forecast
2.5%
p.a.
2yr Forecast
2.3%
p.a.
5yr Forecast
2.0%
p.a.

Basis: 5yr CAGR 2.1% + 10yr CAGR 3.0%

Growth drivers
  • +Above-average population growth (1.9%/yr)
  • +Low rental vacancy (2.3%) — constrained supply
  • +Premium transport infrastructure — supports long-term capital growth
Headwinds
  • High supply pipeline (4973 new approvals) — may cap price growth

Suburb Metric Thresholds

4 green5 yellow7 red
Rental Vacancy Rate
2.3 high impact
Days on Market
38 high impact
Weekly Rent (house)
650 medium impact
5yr Price CAGR
2.09 high impact
10yr Price CAGR
3.04 high impact
1yr Price Growth
8.33 medium impact
Population Growth
1.89 high impact
Median Household Income
1222 medium impact
Unemployment Rate
7.2 medium impact
Public Transport Score
25 medium impact
School Zone Quality
5.9 medium impact
Distance to CBD
61.75 medium impact
SEIFA Advantage/Disadvantage
3 medium impact
Owner Occupier Rate
67.6 medium impact
Gross Rental Yield (%)
3.53 high impact
Net Rental Yield (%)
2.03 high impact

Macro Environment

Macro Indicators

Cash Rate

4.35%

0.25%

Cash rate as at 2026-05-06 · Credit data 2026-04

Suburb Supply & Demand

Suburb Supply Pipeline — New Dwelling Approvals

542

2020

1,254

2021

873

2022

847

2023

1,457

2025

New dwelling approvals — higher numbers mean more future supply

Socio-Economic Profile

Source: ABS Census 2021

SEIFA Index · Postcode 6210

Most disadvantagedLeast disadvantaged

Decile 3 of 10 — High disadvantage

Population

75,034

Education (IEO)

2/10

Econ. Resources (IER)

5/10

10-Year Investment Projection

Modelled on Meadow Springs WA data — rent, capital growth, tax, and depreciation over 10 years.

Pre-filled: $650/wk median rent for Meadow Springs. Capital growth and rent increase are editable assumptions.

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Data sourced from ABS, state government property sales, and Airbnb market analytics. For informational purposes only — not financial advice.