Nar Nar Goon VIC Property Investment
Cardinia · 3812 · Score: 63/100 · Hold
Nar Nar Goon Short-Term Rental (Airbnb) Market
Nar Nar Goon VIC Investment Brief
HOLD — 3.5% gross yield on a $1,017,460 (pending peer validation) median.
THE MARKET
Nar Nar Goon has compounded at 4.2%/yr over 5 years. Median sits in the $1,017,460 (pending peer validation) band today. Properties are sitting on market for 38 days (roughly balanced conditions).
- Median house: $1,017,460 (pending peer validation) | Units: $492,049
- Gross yield: 3.5% | Net yield: 2.0%
- 5yr price CAGR: 4.2%/yr | 3yr forecast: 13.5%/yr
- Population: 1,023 | Owner-occupier rate: 82% | Affluence: High
- Supply pipeline: Low — Price growth outpacing new supply, limited development pipeline
RENTAL SNAPSHOT
- Vacancy: 2.3% (improving) | Rental demand: High
- Median weekly rent: $685/wk | Days on market: 38 (stable)
- Balanced market — vacancy manageable but monitor trend.
SHORT-TERM RENTAL
- Median nightly rate: $527/night | Occupancy: 48%
- Estimated annual STR gross: ~$92,364/yr
- vs long-term rent: $35,620/yr (+159% STR premium — factor in higher management costs)
INFRASTRUCTURE & CATALYSTS
- No major confirmed infrastructure projects on record.
- Transport: Standard suburban transport access
BULL CASE
If Nar Nar Goon maintains 3%+ annual growth and vacancy stays below 1.6%, median prices could reach $1,170,079 within 3 years with yields compressing slightly as capital values rise.
BEAR CASE
A market correction or interest rate shock could see prices in Nar Nar Goon pull back 10-15% from $1,017,460, with vacancy rising to 4.1% and rental yields softening as tenants gain leverage.
KEY RISKS
- Distance from CBD may limit long-term capital growth potential
COMPARABLE MARKETS
- Hazelwood North (VIC): $1,027,334 median, 1.1% yield, 14.9% 1yr growth
- Tanjil South (VIC): $932,309 median, 1.2% yield, 7.5% 1yr growth
- Hampton Park (VIC): $754,527 median, 3.8% yield, 5.3% 1yr growth
THE PLAY
Nar Nar Goon offers balanced fundamentals but does not present an urgent buying signal. The market is in a cooling phase with moderate vacancy risk. Monitor vacancy trends and price movements over the next 6-12 months. Only enter if a property can be acquired at or below median pricing with yields exceeding 4.0%.
- Entry range: $915,714 – $1,119,206
- Minimum gross yield to target: 4.5%
- Watch signal: vacancy dropping below 2% and days on market falling below 35
This analysis is for informational purposes only and does not constitute financial, legal, or investment advice. Seek professional advice before making investment decisions.
Gentrification Index
Growth Forecast
high confidenceBasis: 5yr CAGR 4.2% + 10yr CAGR 5.5%
- +Low rental vacancy (2.3%) — constrained supply
- −High supply pipeline (6437 new approvals) — may cap price growth
Suburb Metric Thresholds
Macro Environment
Macro Indicators
Cash Rate
4.35%
▲ 0.25%Cash rate as at 2026-05-06 · Credit data 2026-04
Suburb Supply & Demand
Suburb Supply Pipeline — New Dwelling Approvals
1,097
2020
1,458
2021
1,315
2022
1,136
2023
1,431
2025
New dwelling approvals — higher numbers mean more future supply
Socio-Economic Profile
Source: ABS Census 2021SEIFA Index · Postcode 3812
Decile 8 of 10 — Low disadvantage
Population
2,488
Education (IEO)
5/10
Econ. Resources (IER)
9/10
10-Year Investment Projection
Modelled on Nar Nar Goon VIC data — rent, capital growth, tax, and depreciation over 10 years.
Pre-filled: $685/wk median rent for Nar Nar Goon. Capital growth and rent increase are editable assumptions.
Schools
In your catchment
These are the government-school zones containing this suburb centroid. Specific addresses within the suburb may fall in different catchments — confirm with the school directly.
Nearby Suburbs
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Analyse a Property →Data sourced from ABS, state government property sales, and Airbnb market analytics. For informational purposes only — not financial advice.