Bunyip VIC Property Investment

Cardinia · 3815 · Score: 68/100 · Buy

Median House Price
$930K
Rental Yield
3.4%
Vacancy Rate
2.4%
Median Weekly Rent
$615/wk
Median Unit Price
$544K
Population
3,131
Days on Market
39 days
Annual Growth
31.6%

Bunyip Short-Term Rental (Airbnb) Market

Avg Nightly Rate
$703/night
Occupancy Rate
48%
Est. Annual Revenue
$123K
AI Investment Analysis

Bunyip VIC Investment Brief

BUY3.4% gross yield on a $930,000 (pending peer validation) median.

THE MARKET

Bunyip has compounded at 5.9%/yr over 5 years. Median sits in the $930,000 (pending peer validation) band today. Properties are sitting on market for 39 days (roughly balanced conditions).

  • Median house: $930,000 (pending peer validation) | Units: $543,926
  • Gross yield: 3.4% | Net yield: 1.9%
  • 5yr price CAGR: 5.9%/yr | 3yr forecast: 13.5%/yr
  • Population: 3,131 | Owner-occupier rate: 84% | Affluence: High
  • Supply pipeline: Moderate — Strong population growth likely attracting new development approvals

RENTAL SNAPSHOT

  • Vacancy: 2.4% (improving) | Rental demand: High
  • Median weekly rent: $615/wk | Days on market: 39 (stable)
  • Balanced market — vacancy manageable but monitor trend.

SHORT-TERM RENTAL

  • Median nightly rate: $703/night | Occupancy: 48%
  • Estimated annual STR gross: ~$123,166/yr
  • vs long-term rent: $31,980/yr (+285% STR premium — factor in higher management costs)

INFRASTRUCTURE & CATALYSTS

  • No major confirmed infrastructure projects on record.
  • Transport: Standard suburban transport access

BULL CASE

If Bunyip maintains 4%+ annual growth and vacancy stays below 1.7%, median prices could reach $1,069,500 within 3 years with yields compressing slightly as capital values rise.

BEAR CASE

A market correction or interest rate shock could see prices in Bunyip pull back 10-15% from $930,000, with vacancy rising to 4.3% and rental yields softening as tenants gain leverage.

KEY RISKS

  • Flood risk: HIGH (planning_overlay) — order a flood certificate for the specific address before commit
  • - Distance from CBD may limit long-term capital growth potential

COMPARABLE MARKETS

  • Hazelwood North (VIC): $1,027,334 median, 1.1% yield, 14.9% 1yr growth
  • Ardmona (VIC): $672,000 median, 1.9% yield, 7.5% 1yr growth
  • Undera (VIC): $672,000 median, 1.9% yield, 7.5% 1yr growth

THE PLAY

Bunyip presents a compelling investment opportunity. The combination of solid fundamentals and high rental demand supports entry at current price levels. Proceed with due diligence on specific properties. Target gross yields above 3.4% and prioritise properties with value-add potential. Consider timing entry around the current stable phase of the market cycle.

  • Entry range: $837,000$1,023,000
  • Minimum gross yield to target: 4.5%
  • Watch signal: vacancy dropping below 2% and days on market falling below 35

This analysis is for informational purposes only and does not constitute financial, legal, or investment advice. Seek professional advice before making investment decisions.

Gentrification Index

Pre-gentrification3.0/10
Middle-tier SEIFA — moderate gentrification pressure
Moderate capital growth (5.9% CAGR)
Active development pipeline (6437 approvals) — supply attracting new residents

Growth Forecast

high confidence
1yr Forecast
6.3%
p.a.
2yr Forecast
5.8%
p.a.
5yr Forecast
5.0%
p.a.

Basis: 5yr CAGR 5.9% + 10yr CAGR 6.2%

Growth drivers
  • +Strong population growth (4.1%/yr) driving demand
  • +Low rental vacancy (2.4%) — constrained supply
Headwinds
  • High supply pipeline (6437 new approvals) — may cap price growth

Suburb Metric Thresholds

6 green6 yellow4 red
Rental Vacancy Rate
2.4 high impact
Days on Market
39 high impact
Weekly Rent (house)
615 medium impact
5yr Price CAGR
5.92 high impact
10yr Price CAGR
6.18 high impact
1yr Price Growth
31.58 medium impact
Population Growth
4.09 high impact
Median Household Income
1928 medium impact
Unemployment Rate
2.4 medium impact
Public Transport Score
3.8 medium impact
School Zone Quality
6.2 medium impact
Distance to CBD
73.52 medium impact
SEIFA Advantage/Disadvantage
6 medium impact
Owner Occupier Rate
84.3 medium impact
Gross Rental Yield (%)
3.44 high impact
Net Rental Yield (%)
1.94 high impact

Macro Environment

Macro Indicators

Cash Rate

4.35%

0.25%

Cash rate as at 2026-05-06 · Credit data 2026-04

Suburb Supply & Demand

Suburb Supply Pipeline — New Dwelling Approvals

1,097

2020

1,458

2021

1,315

2022

1,136

2023

1,431

2025

New dwelling approvals — higher numbers mean more future supply

Socio-Economic Profile

Source: ABS Census 2021

SEIFA Index · Postcode 3815

Most disadvantagedLeast disadvantaged

Decile 8 of 10 — Low disadvantage

Population

3,693

Education (IEO)

5/10

Econ. Resources (IER)

9/10

10-Year Investment Projection

Modelled on Bunyip VIC data — rent, capital growth, tax, and depreciation over 10 years.

Pre-filled: $615/wk median rent for Bunyip. Capital growth and rent increase are editable assumptions.

Schools

In your catchment

Bunyip Primary School
PrimaryGovernment
6/10
Drouin Secondary College
SecondaryGovernment
5.6/10

These are the government-school zones containing this suburb centroid. Specific addresses within the suburb may fall in different catchments — confirm with the school directly.

Analyse a Property in Bunyip

Get instant STR rules, granny flat feasibility, rental yield, and full investment strategy comparison for any address in Bunyip.

Analyse a Property →

Data sourced from ABS, state government property sales, and Airbnb market analytics. For informational purposes only — not financial advice.