Lynbrook VIC Property Investment
Greater Dandenong · 3975 · Score: 71/100 · Buy
Lynbrook VIC Investment Brief
BUY — 3.6% gross yield on a $903,000 median.
THE MARKET
Lynbrook has compounded at 4.0%/yr over 5 years — a house that cost $742,200 in 2021 is worth $903,000 today. Properties are sitting on market for 32 days (roughly balanced conditions). At the same growth rate, today's median reaches $1,098,638 by 2031.
- Median house: $903,000 | Units: $695,000
- Gross yield: 3.6% | Net yield: 2.1%
- 5yr price CAGR: 4.0%/yr | 3yr forecast: 13.5%/yr
- Population: 9,121 | Owner-occupier rate: 78% | Affluence: High
- Supply pipeline: Moderate — Strong population growth likely attracting new development approvals
RENTAL SNAPSHOT
- Vacancy: 2.3% (improving) | Rental demand: High
- Median weekly rent: $625/wk | Days on market: 32 (stable)
- Balanced market — vacancy manageable but monitor trend.
SHORT-TERM RENTAL
Insufficient STR data for this suburb. Run a specific address analysis for property-level STR projections.
INFRASTRUCTURE & CATALYSTS
- No major confirmed infrastructure projects on record.
- Transport: Standard suburban transport access
BULL CASE
If Lynbrook maintains 3%+ annual growth and vacancy stays below 1.6%, median prices could reach $1,038,450 within 3 years with yields compressing slightly as capital values rise.
BEAR CASE
A market correction or interest rate shock could see prices in Lynbrook pull back 10-15% from $903,000, with vacancy rising to 4.1% and rental yields softening as tenants gain leverage.
KEY RISKS
- No significant risk factors identified for this suburb
COMPARABLE MARKETS
- Hazelwood North (VIC): $1,027,334 median, 1.1% yield, 14.9% 1yr growth
- Rawson (VIC): $672,000 median, 1.7% yield, 0.0% 1yr growth
- Tanjil South (VIC): $932,309 median, 1.2% yield, 7.5% 1yr growth
THE PLAY
Lynbrook presents a compelling investment opportunity. The combination of solid fundamentals and high rental demand supports entry at current price levels. Proceed with due diligence on specific properties. Target gross yields above 3.6% and prioritise properties with value-add potential. Consider timing entry around the current stable phase of the market cycle.
- Entry range: $812,700 – $993,300
- Minimum gross yield to target: 4.5%
- Watch signal: vacancy dropping below 2% and days on market holding under 35
This analysis is for informational purposes only and does not constitute financial, legal, or investment advice. Seek professional advice before making investment decisions.
Gentrification Index
Growth Forecast
high confidenceBasis: 5yr CAGR 4.0% + 10yr CAGR 3.9%
- +Strong population growth (3.4%/yr) driving demand
- +Low rental vacancy (2.3%) — constrained supply
- −High supply pipeline (3314 new approvals) — may cap price growth
Suburb Metric Thresholds
Macro Environment
Macro Indicators
Cash Rate
4.35%
▲ 0.25%Cash rate as at 2026-05-06 · Credit data 2026-04
Suburb Supply & Demand
Suburb Supply Pipeline — New Dwelling Approvals
622
2020
833
2021
940
2022
430
2023
489
2025
New dwelling approvals — higher numbers mean more future supply
Socio-Economic Profile
Source: ABS Census 2021SEIFA Index · Postcode 3975
Decile 7 of 10 — Average
Population
18,048
Education (IEO)
7/10
Econ. Resources (IER)
9/10
10-Year Investment Projection
Modelled on Lynbrook VIC data — rent, capital growth, tax, and depreciation over 10 years.
Pre-filled: $625/wk median rent for Lynbrook. Capital growth and rent increase are editable assumptions.
Schools
In your catchment
These are the government-school zones containing this suburb centroid. Specific addresses within the suburb may fall in different catchments — confirm with the school directly.
Nearby Suburbs
Analyse a Property in Lynbrook
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Analyse a Property →Data sourced from ABS, state government property sales, and Airbnb market analytics. For informational purposes only — not financial advice.