Hampton Park VIC Property Investment

Casey · 3976 · Score: 58/100 · Hold

Median House Price
$755K
Rental Yield
3.8%
Vacancy Rate
2.3%
Median Weekly Rent
$550/wk
Median Unit Price
$595K
Population
26,082
Days on Market
32 days
Annual Growth
5.3%
AI Investment Analysis

Hampton Park VIC Investment Brief

HOLD3.8% gross yield on a $754,527 (single source — OnTheHouse only, no peer to validate) median.

THE MARKET

Hampton Park has compounded at 4.2%/yr over 5 years. Median sits in the $754,527 (single source — OnTheHouse only, no peer to validate) band today. Properties are sitting on market for 32 days (roughly balanced conditions).

  • Median house: $754,527 (single source — OnTheHouse only, no peer to validate) | Units: $595,317
  • Gross yield: 3.8% | Net yield: 2.3%
  • 5yr price CAGR: 4.2%/yr | 3yr forecast: 13.5%/yr
  • Population: 26,082 | Owner-occupier rate: 68% | Affluence: Below Average
  • Supply pipeline: Low — Price growth outpacing new supply, limited development pipeline

RENTAL SNAPSHOT

  • Vacancy: 2.3% (improving) | Rental demand: High
  • Median weekly rent: $550/wk | Days on market: 32 (stable)
  • Balanced market — vacancy manageable but monitor trend.

SHORT-TERM RENTAL

Insufficient STR data for this suburb. Run a specific address analysis for property-level STR projections.

INFRASTRUCTURE & CATALYSTS

  • No major confirmed infrastructure projects on record.
  • Transport: Standard suburban transport access

BULL CASE

If Hampton Park maintains 3%+ annual growth and vacancy stays below 1.6%, median prices could reach $867,706 within 3 years with yields compressing slightly as capital values rise.

BEAR CASE

A market correction or interest rate shock could see prices in Hampton Park pull back 10-15% from $754,527, with vacancy rising to 4.1% and rental yields softening as tenants gain leverage.

KEY RISKS

  • No significant risk factors identified for this suburb

COMPARABLE MARKETS

  • Rawson (VIC): $672,000 median, 1.7% yield, 0.0% 1yr growth
  • Tanjil South (VIC): $932,309 median, 1.2% yield, 7.5% 1yr growth
  • Lake Tyers Beach (VIC): $605,861 median, 3.5% yield, 0.0% 1yr growth

THE PLAY

Hampton Park offers balanced fundamentals but does not present an urgent buying signal. The market is in a cooling phase with moderate vacancy risk. Monitor vacancy trends and price movements over the next 6-12 months. Only enter if a property can be acquired at or below median pricing with yields exceeding 4.3%.

  • Entry range: $679,074$829,980
  • Minimum gross yield to target: 4.5%
  • Watch signal: vacancy dropping below 2% and days on market holding under 35

This analysis is for informational purposes only and does not constitute financial, legal, or investment advice. Seek professional advice before making investment decisions.

Gentrification Index

Early gentrification signals4.5/10
Low socioeconomic base — classic gentrification precondition
Moderate capital growth (4.2% CAGR)
Active development pipeline (21547 approvals) — supply attracting new residents
Strong public transport infrastructure — supports walkable gentrification

Growth Forecast

high confidence
1yr Forecast
4.2%
p.a.
2yr Forecast
3.9%
p.a.
5yr Forecast
3.4%
p.a.

Basis: 5yr CAGR 4.2% + 10yr CAGR 4.8%

Growth drivers
  • +Low rental vacancy (2.3%) — constrained supply
  • +Premium transport infrastructure — supports long-term capital growth
Headwinds
  • High supply pipeline (21547 new approvals) — may cap price growth

Suburb Metric Thresholds

2 green8 yellow6 red
Rental Vacancy Rate
2.3 high impact
Days on Market
32 high impact
Weekly Rent (house)
550 medium impact
5yr Price CAGR
4.23 high impact
10yr Price CAGR
4.75 high impact
1yr Price Growth
5.34 medium impact
Population Growth
0.43 high impact
Median Household Income
1538 medium impact
Unemployment Rate
8.1 medium impact
Public Transport Score
42 medium impact
School Zone Quality
5.9 medium impact
Distance to CBD
36.84 medium impact
SEIFA Advantage/Disadvantage
2 medium impact
Owner Occupier Rate
67.8 medium impact
Gross Rental Yield (%)
3.79 high impact
Net Rental Yield (%)
2.29 high impact

Macro Environment

Macro Indicators

Cash Rate

4.35%

0.25%

Cash rate as at 2026-05-06 · Credit data 2026-04

Suburb Supply & Demand

Suburb Supply Pipeline — New Dwelling Approvals

3,683

2020

4,692

2021

4,788

2022

4,712

2023

3,672

2025

New dwelling approvals — higher numbers mean more future supply

Socio-Economic Profile

Source: ABS Census 2021

SEIFA Index · Postcode 3976

Most disadvantagedLeast disadvantaged

Decile 1 of 10 — High disadvantage

Population

26,082

Education (IEO)

3/10

Econ. Resources (IER)

3/10

10-Year Investment Projection

Modelled on Hampton Park VIC data — rent, capital growth, tax, and depreciation over 10 years.

Pre-filled: $550/wk median rent for Hampton Park. Capital growth and rent increase are editable assumptions.

Schools

In your catchment

Kilberry Valley Primary School
PrimaryGovernment
5.4/10
Hampton Park Secondary College
SecondaryGovernment
4.1/10

These are the government-school zones containing this suburb centroid. Specific addresses within the suburb may fall in different catchments — confirm with the school directly.

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Data sourced from ABS, state government property sales, and Airbnb market analytics. For informational purposes only — not financial advice.