Forth TAS Property Investment
Latrobe (Tas.) · 7310 · Score: 48/100 · Caution
Forth Short-Term Rental (Airbnb) Market
Forth TAS Investment Brief
CAUTION — 1.8% gross yield on a $739,705 median.
THE MARKET
Forth has compounded at 3.5%/yr over 5 years — a house that cost $622,812 in 2021 is worth $739,705 today. Properties are sitting on market for 45 days (roughly balanced conditions). At the same growth rate, today's median reaches $878,537 by 2031.
- Median house: $739,705 | Units: $402,006
- Gross yield: 1.8% | Net yield: 0.3%
- 5yr price CAGR: 3.5%/yr | 3yr forecast: 13.5%/yr
- Population: 738 | Owner-occupier rate: 67% | Affluence: Low
- Supply pipeline: Low — Price growth outpacing new supply, limited development pipeline
RENTAL SNAPSHOT
- Vacancy: 2.8% (stable) | Rental demand: Moderate
- Median weekly rent: $250/wk | Days on market: 45 (stable)
- Balanced market — vacancy manageable but monitor trend.
SHORT-TERM RENTAL
Insufficient STR data for this suburb. Run a specific address analysis for property-level STR projections.
INFRASTRUCTURE & CATALYSTS
- No major confirmed infrastructure projects on record.
- Transport: Standard suburban transport access
BULL CASE
If Forth maintains 3%+ annual growth and vacancy stays below 2.0%, median prices could reach $850,661 within 3 years with yields compressing slightly as capital values rise.
BEAR CASE
A market correction or interest rate shock could see prices in Forth pull back 10-15% from $739,705, with vacancy rising to 5.0% and rental yields softening as tenants gain leverage.
KEY RISKS
- Distance from CBD may limit long-term capital growth potential
COMPARABLE MARKETS
- West Ulverstone (TAS): $607,146 median, 4.2% yield, 16.4% 1yr growth
- Glenorchy (TAS): $595,500 median, 5.1% yield, 9.3% 1yr growth
- Hagley (TAS): $645,672 median, 1.6% yield, 16.4% 1yr growth
THE PLAY
Forth carries elevated risk that outweighs potential returns at current levels. A stable market combined with moderate vacancy risk warrants caution. Avoid new acquisitions unless significant discount to median pricing is achievable. Re-evaluate if vacancy falls below 2.5% or annual price growth exceeds 3%.
- Entry range: $665,734 – $813,676
- Minimum gross yield to target: 4.5%
- Watch signal: vacancy dropping below 2% and days on market falling below 35
This analysis is for informational purposes only and does not constitute financial, legal, or investment advice. Seek professional advice before making investment decisions.
Gentrification Index
Growth Forecast
high confidenceBasis: 5yr CAGR 3.5% + 10yr CAGR 3.6%
- −High supply pipeline (715 new approvals) — may cap price growth
Suburb Metric Thresholds
Macro Environment
Macro Indicators
Cash Rate
4.35%
▲ 0.25%Cash rate as at 2026-05-06 · Credit data 2026-04
Suburb Supply & Demand
Suburb Supply Pipeline — New Dwelling Approvals
127
2020
192
2021
143
2022
118
2023
135
2025
New dwelling approvals — higher numbers mean more future supply
Socio-Economic Profile
Source: ABS Census 2021SEIFA Index · Postcode 7310
Decile 2 of 10 — High disadvantage
Population
28,635
Education (IEO)
2/10
Econ. Resources (IER)
2/10
10-Year Investment Projection
Modelled on Forth TAS data — rent, capital growth, tax, and depreciation over 10 years.
Pre-filled: $250/wk median rent for Forth. Capital growth and rent increase are editable assumptions.
Schools
In your catchment
These are the government-school zones containing this suburb centroid. Specific addresses within the suburb may fall in different catchments — confirm with the school directly.
Nearby Suburbs
Analyse a Property in Forth
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Analyse a Property →Data sourced from ABS, state government property sales, and Airbnb market analytics. For informational purposes only — not financial advice.