Ulverstone TAS Property Investment
Kentish · 7315 · Score: 52/100 · Hold
Ulverstone Short-Term Rental (Airbnb) Market
Ulverstone TAS Investment Brief
HOLD — 4.0% gross yield on a $616,712 median.
THE MARKET
Ulverstone has compounded at 3.6%/yr over 5 years — a house that cost $516,754 in 2021 is worth $616,712 today. Properties are sitting on market for 45 days (roughly balanced conditions). At the same growth rate, today's median reaches $736,006 by 2031.
- Median house: $616,712 | Units: $506,183
- Gross yield: 4.0% | Net yield: 2.5%
- 5yr price CAGR: 3.6%/yr | 3yr forecast: 13.5%/yr
- Population: 6,653 | Owner-occupier rate: 74% | Affluence: Below Average
- Supply pipeline: Low — Price growth outpacing new supply, limited development pipeline
RENTAL SNAPSHOT
- Vacancy: 2.8% (stable) | Rental demand: Moderate
- Median weekly rent: $480/wk | Days on market: 45 (stable)
- Balanced market — vacancy manageable but monitor trend.
SHORT-TERM RENTAL
Insufficient STR data for this suburb. Run a specific address analysis for property-level STR projections.
INFRASTRUCTURE & CATALYSTS
- No major confirmed infrastructure projects on record.
- Transport: Don Village station 11.0km away
BULL CASE
If Ulverstone maintains 3%+ annual growth and vacancy stays below 2.0%, median prices could reach $709,219 within 3 years with yields compressing slightly as capital values rise.
BEAR CASE
A market correction or interest rate shock could see prices in Ulverstone pull back 10-15% from $616,712, with vacancy rising to 5.0% and rental yields softening as tenants gain leverage.
KEY RISKS
- Distance from CBD may limit long-term capital growth potential
COMPARABLE MARKETS
- West Ulverstone (TAS): $607,146 median, 4.2% yield, 16.4% 1yr growth
- George Town (TAS): $465,431 median, 4.8% yield, 25.1% 1yr growth
- Hagley (TAS): $645,672 median, 1.6% yield, 16.4% 1yr growth
THE PLAY
Ulverstone offers balanced fundamentals but does not present an urgent buying signal. The market is in a cooling phase with moderate vacancy risk. Monitor vacancy trends and price movements over the next 6-12 months. Only enter if a property can be acquired at or below median pricing with yields exceeding 4.5%.
- Entry range: $555,041 – $678,383
- Minimum gross yield to target: 4.5%
- Watch signal: vacancy dropping below 2% and days on market falling below 35
This analysis is for informational purposes only and does not constitute financial, legal, or investment advice. Seek professional advice before making investment decisions.
Gentrification Index
Growth Forecast
high confidenceBasis: 5yr CAGR 3.6% + 10yr CAGR 4.4%
- −High supply pipeline (157 new approvals) — may cap price growth
Suburb Metric Thresholds
Macro Environment
Macro Indicators
Cash Rate
4.35%
▲ 0.25%Cash rate as at 2026-05-06 · Credit data 2026-04
Suburb Supply & Demand
Suburb Supply Pipeline — New Dwelling Approvals
33
2020
50
2021
33
2022
22
2023
19
2025
New dwelling approvals — higher numbers mean more future supply
Socio-Economic Profile
Source: ABS Census 2021SEIFA Index · Postcode 7315
Decile 2 of 10 — High disadvantage
Population
15,635
Education (IEO)
2/10
Econ. Resources (IER)
3/10
10-Year Investment Projection
Modelled on Ulverstone TAS data — rent, capital growth, tax, and depreciation over 10 years.
Pre-filled: $480/wk median rent for Ulverstone. Capital growth and rent increase are editable assumptions.
Schools
In your catchment
These are the government-school zones containing this suburb centroid. Specific addresses within the suburb may fall in different catchments — confirm with the school directly.
Nearby Suburbs
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Analyse a Property →Data sourced from ABS, state government property sales, and Airbnb market analytics. For informational purposes only — not financial advice.