Padthaway SA Property Investment
Wattle Range · 5271 · Score: 53/100 · Hold
Padthaway Short-Term Rental (Airbnb) Market
Padthaway SA Investment Brief
HOLD — 4.5% gross yield on a $259,000–$321,000 (sources disagree, range shown — do NOT quote a single number) median.
THE MARKET
Padthaway has compounded at 3.2%/yr over 5 years. Median sits in the $259,000–$321,000 (sources disagree, range shown — do NOT quote a single number) band today. Properties are sitting on market for 30 days (roughly balanced conditions).
- Median house: $259,000–$321,000 (sources disagree, range shown — do NOT quote a single number) | Units: $0
- Gross yield: 4.5% | Net yield: 3.0%
- 5yr price CAGR: 3.2%/yr | 3yr forecast: 2.9%/yr
- Population: 321 | Owner-occupier rate: 70% | Affluence: Below Average
- Supply pipeline: Moderate — Development activity consistent with long-term averages
RENTAL SNAPSHOT
- Vacancy: 1.8% (improving) | Rental demand: High
- Median weekly rent: $225/wk | Days on market: 30 (stable)
- Landlord market — rents likely to keep rising.
SHORT-TERM RENTAL
- Median nightly rate: $475/night | Occupancy: 42%
- Estimated annual STR gross: ~$72,856/yr
- vs long-term rent: $11,700/yr (+523% STR premium — factor in higher management costs)
INFRASTRUCTURE & CATALYSTS
- No major confirmed infrastructure projects on record.
- Transport: Bordertown station 46.7km away
BULL CASE
If Padthaway maintains 3%+ annual growth and vacancy stays below 1.3%, median prices could reach $297,850 within 3 years with yields compressing slightly as capital values rise.
BEAR CASE
A market correction or interest rate shock could see prices in Padthaway pull back 10-15% from $259,000, with vacancy rising to 3.2% and rental yields softening as tenants gain leverage.
KEY RISKS
- Distance from CBD may limit long-term capital growth potential
COMPARABLE MARKETS
- Light Pass (SA): $326,000 median, 4.7% yield, 12.1% 1yr growth
- Lameroo (SA): $247,728 median, 3.4% yield, 14.5% 1yr growth
- Nangwarry (SA): $305,000 median, 3.2% yield, 22.9% 1yr growth
THE PLAY
Padthaway offers balanced fundamentals but does not present an urgent buying signal. The market is in a cooling phase with low vacancy risk. Monitor vacancy trends and price movements over the next 6-12 months. Only enter if a property can be acquired at or below median pricing with yields exceeding 5.0%.
- Entry range: $233,100 – $284,900
- Minimum gross yield to target: 4.8%
- Watch signal: vacancy staying below 2% and days on market holding under 35
This analysis is for informational purposes only and does not constitute financial, legal, or investment advice. Seek professional advice before making investment decisions.
Gentrification Index
Growth Forecast
high confidenceBasis: 5yr CAGR 3.2% + 10yr CAGR 3.7%
- +Low rental vacancy (1.8%) — constrained supply
- −High supply pipeline (192 new approvals) — may cap price growth
Suburb Metric Thresholds
Macro Environment
Macro Indicators
Cash Rate
4.35%
▲ 0.25%Cash rate as at 2026-05-06 · Credit data 2026-04
Suburb Supply & Demand
Suburb Supply Pipeline — New Dwelling Approvals
33
2020
41
2021
42
2022
47
2023
29
2025
New dwelling approvals — higher numbers mean more future supply
Socio-Economic Profile
Source: ABS Census 2021SEIFA Index · Postcode 5271
Decile 3 of 10 — High disadvantage
Population
7,663
Education (IEO)
3/10
Econ. Resources (IER)
4/10
10-Year Investment Projection
Modelled on Padthaway SA data — rent, capital growth, tax, and depreciation over 10 years.
Pre-filled: $225/wk median rent for Padthaway. Capital growth and rent increase are editable assumptions.
Nearby Suburbs
Analyse a Property in Padthaway
Get instant STR rules, granny flat feasibility, rental yield, and full investment strategy comparison for any address in Padthaway.
Analyse a Property →Data sourced from ABS, state government property sales, and Airbnb market analytics. For informational purposes only — not financial advice.