Lucindale SA Property Investment
Wattle Range · 5272 · Score: 53/100 · Hold
Lucindale Short-Term Rental (Airbnb) Market
Lucindale SA Investment Brief
HOLD — 2.7% gross yield on a $287,495 (pending peer validation) median.
THE MARKET
Lucindale has compounded at 2.6%/yr over 5 years. Median sits in the $287,495 (pending peer validation) band today. Properties are sitting on market for 30 days (roughly balanced conditions).
- Median house: $287,495 (pending peer validation) | Units: $0
- Gross yield: 2.7% | Net yield: 1.2%
- 5yr price CAGR: 2.6%/yr | 3yr forecast: 13.5%/yr
- Population: 637 | Owner-occupier rate: 70% | Affluence: High
- Supply pipeline: Moderate — Strong population growth likely attracting new development approvals
RENTAL SNAPSHOT
- Vacancy: 1.8% (improving) | Rental demand: High
- Median weekly rent: $150/wk | Days on market: 30 (stable)
- Landlord market — rents likely to keep rising.
SHORT-TERM RENTAL
- Median nightly rate: $518/night | Occupancy: 42%
- Estimated annual STR gross: ~$79,362/yr
- vs long-term rent: $7,800/yr (+917% STR premium — factor in higher management costs)
INFRASTRUCTURE & CATALYSTS
- No major confirmed infrastructure projects on record.
- Transport: Standard suburban transport access
BULL CASE
If Lucindale maintains 3%+ annual growth and vacancy stays below 1.3%, median prices could reach $330,619 within 3 years with yields compressing slightly as capital values rise.
BEAR CASE
A market correction or interest rate shock could see prices in Lucindale pull back 10-15% from $287,495, with vacancy rising to 3.2% and rental yields softening as tenants gain leverage.
KEY RISKS
- Distance from CBD may limit long-term capital growth potential
COMPARABLE MARKETS
- Light Pass (SA): $326,000 median, 4.7% yield, 12.1% 1yr growth
- Morgan (SA): $355,160 median, 2.6% yield, 0.0% 1yr growth
- Lameroo (SA): $247,728 median, 3.4% yield, 14.5% 1yr growth
THE PLAY
Lucindale offers balanced fundamentals but does not present an urgent buying signal. The market is in a boom phase with low vacancy risk. Monitor vacancy trends and price movements over the next 6-12 months. Only enter if a property can be acquired at or below median pricing with yields exceeding 4.0%.
- Entry range: $258,746 – $316,244
- Minimum gross yield to target: 4.5%
- Watch signal: vacancy staying below 2% and days on market holding under 35
This analysis is for informational purposes only and does not constitute financial, legal, or investment advice. Seek professional advice before making investment decisions.
Gentrification Index
Growth Forecast
high confidenceBasis: 5yr CAGR 2.6% + 10yr CAGR 1.4%
- +Strong population growth (2.7%/yr) driving demand
- +Low rental vacancy (1.8%) — constrained supply
- −High supply pipeline (192 new approvals) — may cap price growth
Suburb Metric Thresholds
Macro Environment
Macro Indicators
Cash Rate
4.35%
▲ 0.25%Cash rate as at 2026-05-06 · Credit data 2026-04
Suburb Supply & Demand
Suburb Supply Pipeline — New Dwelling Approvals
33
2020
41
2021
42
2022
47
2023
29
2025
New dwelling approvals — higher numbers mean more future supply
Socio-Economic Profile
Source: ABS Census 2021SEIFA Index · Postcode 5272
Decile 7 of 10 — Average
Population
908
Education (IEO)
6/10
Econ. Resources (IER)
8/10
10-Year Investment Projection
Modelled on Lucindale SA data — rent, capital growth, tax, and depreciation over 10 years.
Pre-filled: $150/wk median rent for Lucindale. Capital growth and rent increase are editable assumptions.
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Analyse a Property →Data sourced from ABS, state government property sales, and Airbnb market analytics. For informational purposes only — not financial advice.