Kingston On Murray SA Property Investment

Loxton Waikerie · 5331 · Score: 49/100 · Caution

Median House Price
$435K
Rental Yield
1.8%
Vacancy Rate
1.8%
Median Weekly Rent
$150/wk
Median Unit Price
N/A
Population
312
Days on Market
30 days
Annual Growth
12.7%

Kingston On Murray Short-Term Rental (Airbnb) Market

Avg Nightly Rate
$649.31/night
Occupancy Rate
42%
Est. Annual Revenue
$100K
AI Investment Analysis

Kingston On Murray SA Investment Brief

CAUTION1.8% gross yield on a $435,238 (pending peer validation) median.

THE MARKET

Kingston On Murray has compounded at 5.6%/yr over 5 years. Median sits in the $435,238 (pending peer validation) band today. Properties are sitting on market for 30 days (roughly balanced conditions).

  • Median house: $435,238 (pending peer validation) | Units: $0
  • Gross yield: 1.8% | Net yield: 0.3%
  • 5yr price CAGR: 5.6%/yr | 3yr forecast: 13.5%/yr
  • Population: 312 | Owner-occupier rate: 82% | Affluence: Average
  • Supply pipeline: Low — Price growth outpacing new supply, limited development pipeline

RENTAL SNAPSHOT

  • Vacancy: 1.8% (improving) | Rental demand: High
  • Median weekly rent: $150/wk | Days on market: 30 (stable)
  • Landlord market — rents likely to keep rising.

SHORT-TERM RENTAL

  • Median nightly rate: $649/night | Occupancy: 42%
  • Estimated annual STR gross: ~$99,539/yr
  • vs long-term rent: $7,800/yr (+1176% STR premium — factor in higher management costs)

INFRASTRUCTURE & CATALYSTS

  • Project EnergyConnect (SA Link) (Under Construction)
  • Transport: Berri station 26.2km away

BULL CASE

If Kingston On Murray maintains 3%+ annual growth and vacancy stays below 1.3%, median prices could reach $500,524 within 3 years with yields compressing slightly as capital values rise.

BEAR CASE

A market correction or interest rate shock could see prices in Kingston On Murray pull back 10-15% from $435,238, with vacancy rising to 3.2% and rental yields softening as tenants gain leverage.

KEY RISKS

  • Distance from CBD may limit long-term capital growth potential

COMPARABLE MARKETS

  • Keyneton (SA): $536,907 median, 2.4% yield, 5.3% 1yr growth
  • Cummins (SA): $438,044 median, 2.1% yield, 11.4% 1yr growth
  • Jamestown (SA): $378,681 median, 5.7% yield, -1.5% 1yr growth

THE PLAY

Kingston On Murray carries elevated risk that outweighs potential returns at current levels. A cooling market combined with low vacancy risk warrants caution. Avoid new acquisitions unless significant discount to median pricing is achievable. Re-evaluate if vacancy falls below 2.5% or annual price growth exceeds 3%.

  • Entry range: $391,714$478,762
  • Minimum gross yield to target: 4.5%
  • Watch signal: vacancy staying below 2% and days on market holding under 35

This analysis is for informational purposes only and does not constitute financial, legal, or investment advice. Seek professional advice before making investment decisions.

Gentrification Index

Early gentrification signals4.0/10
Low socioeconomic base — classic gentrification precondition
Moderate capital growth (5.6% CAGR)
Active development pipeline (229 approvals) — supply attracting new residents

Growth Forecast

low confidence
1yr Forecast
5.3%
p.a.
2yr Forecast
4.8%
p.a.
5yr Forecast
4.2%
p.a.

Basis: 5yr CAGR 5.6% + 10yr CAGR 7.9%

Growth drivers
  • +Low rental vacancy (1.8%) — constrained supply
Headwinds
  • Population decline (-0.3%/yr) — demand headwind
  • High supply pipeline (229 new approvals) — may cap price growth

Suburb Metric Thresholds

5 green3 yellow8 red
Rental Vacancy Rate
1.8 high impact
Days on Market
30 high impact
Weekly Rent (house)
150 medium impact
5yr Price CAGR
5.59 high impact
10yr Price CAGR
7.87 high impact
1yr Price Growth
12.66 medium impact
Population Growth
-0.32 high impact
Median Household Income
1257 medium impact
Unemployment Rate
3 medium impact
Public Transport Score
0 medium impact
School Zone Quality
4.8 medium impact
Distance to CBD
175.64 medium impact
SEIFA Advantage/Disadvantage
4 medium impact
Owner Occupier Rate
81.7 medium impact
Gross Rental Yield (%)
1.79 high impact
Net Rental Yield (%)
0.29 high impact

Macro Environment

Macro Indicators

Cash Rate

4.35%

0.25%

Cash rate as at 2026-05-06 · Credit data 2026-04

Suburb Supply & Demand

Suburb Supply Pipeline — New Dwelling Approvals

25

2020

49

2021

48

2022

50

2023

57

2025

New dwelling approvals — higher numbers mean more future supply

Socio-Economic Profile

Source: ABS Census 2021

SEIFA Index · Postcode 5331

Most disadvantagedLeast disadvantaged

Decile 4 of 10 — Average

Population

312

Education (IEO)

3/10

Econ. Resources (IER)

4/10

10-Year Investment Projection

Modelled on Kingston On Murray SA data — rent, capital growth, tax, and depreciation over 10 years.

Pre-filled: $150/wk median rent for Kingston On Murray. Capital growth and rent increase are editable assumptions.

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Data sourced from ABS, state government property sales, and Airbnb market analytics. For informational purposes only — not financial advice.