Deeragun QLD Property Investment

Townsville · 4818 · Score: 58/100 · Hold

Median House Price
$692K
Rental Yield
4.1%
Vacancy Rate
3.0%
Median Weekly Rent
$550/wk
Median Unit Price
$580K
Population
4,273
Days on Market
45 days
Annual Growth
19.0%

Deeragun Short-Term Rental (Airbnb) Market

Avg Nightly Rate
$426/night
Occupancy Rate
44%
Est. Annual Revenue
$68K
AI Investment Analysis

Deeragun QLD Investment Brief

HOLD4.1% gross yield on a $691,753 median.

THE MARKET

Deeragun has compounded at 0.5%/yr over 5 years — a house that cost $674,716 in 2021 is worth $691,753 today. Properties are sitting on market for 45 days (roughly balanced conditions). At the same growth rate, today's median reaches $709,221 by 2031.

  • Median house: $691,753 | Units: $580,181
  • Gross yield: 4.1% | Net yield: 2.6%
  • 5yr price CAGR: 0.5%/yr | 3yr forecast: 13.5%/yr
  • Population: 4,273 | Owner-occupier rate: 66% | Affluence: Above Average
  • Supply pipeline: Moderate — Strong population growth likely attracting new development approvals

RENTAL SNAPSHOT

  • Vacancy: 3.0% (stable) | Rental demand: Moderate
  • Median weekly rent: $550/wk | Days on market: 45 (stable)
  • Tenant market — vacancy elevated, negotiate hard on rent.

SHORT-TERM RENTAL

  • Median nightly rate: $426/night | Occupancy: 44%
  • Estimated annual STR gross: ~$68,416/yr
  • vs long-term rent: $28,600/yr (+139% STR premium — factor in higher management costs)

INFRASTRUCTURE & CATALYSTS

  • No major confirmed infrastructure projects on record.
  • Transport: Townsville station 15.0km away

BULL CASE

If Deeragun maintains 3%+ annual growth and vacancy stays below 2.1%, median prices could reach $795,516 within 3 years with yields compressing slightly as capital values rise.

BEAR CASE

A market correction or interest rate shock could see prices in Deeragun pull back 10-15% from $691,753, with vacancy rising to 5.0% and rental yields softening as tenants gain leverage.

KEY RISKS

  • Distance from CBD may limit long-term capital growth potential
  • - Flood risk: MODERATE (qld_elevation_proxy) — part of the suburb sits near waterways or in a mapped flood-prone area

COMPARABLE MARKETS

  • Westwood (QLD): $747,318 median, 2.3% yield, 23.0% 1yr growth
  • Yarraman (QLD): $515,179 median, 3.7% yield, 21.1% 1yr growth
  • Crawford (QLD): $501,403 median, 2.7% yield, 15.8% 1yr growth

THE PLAY

Deeragun offers balanced fundamentals but does not present an urgent buying signal. The market is in a recovery phase with moderate vacancy risk. Monitor vacancy trends and price movements over the next 6-12 months. Only enter if a property can be acquired at or below median pricing with yields exceeding 4.6%.

  • Entry range: $622,578$760,928
  • Minimum gross yield to target: 4.5%
  • Watch signal: vacancy dropping below 2% and days on market falling below 35

This analysis is for informational purposes only and does not constitute financial, legal, or investment advice. Seek professional advice before making investment decisions.

Gentrification Index

Pre-gentrification3.5/10
Low socioeconomic base — classic gentrification precondition
Active development pipeline (4124 approvals) — supply attracting new residents

Growth Forecast

high confidence
1yr Forecast
1.1%
p.a.
2yr Forecast
1.0%
p.a.
5yr Forecast
0.9%
p.a.

Basis: 5yr CAGR 0.5% + 10yr CAGR 2.1%

Growth drivers
  • +Strong population growth (2.5%/yr) driving demand
Headwinds
  • High supply pipeline (4124 new approvals) — may cap price growth

Suburb Metric Thresholds

4 green6 yellow6 red
Rental Vacancy Rate
3 high impact
Days on Market
45 high impact
Weekly Rent (house)
550 medium impact
5yr Price CAGR
0.46 high impact
10yr Price CAGR
2.14 high impact
1yr Price Growth
18.96 medium impact
Population Growth
2.55 high impact
Median Household Income
2074 medium impact
Unemployment Rate
4 medium impact
Public Transport Score
0 medium impact
School Zone Quality
5.2 medium impact
Distance to CBD
1120.49 medium impact
SEIFA Advantage/Disadvantage
3 medium impact
Owner Occupier Rate
65.7 medium impact
Gross Rental Yield (%)
4.13 high impact
Net Rental Yield (%)
2.63 high impact

Macro Environment

Macro Indicators

Cash Rate

4.35%

0.25%

Cash rate as at 2026-05-06 · Credit data 2026-04

Suburb Supply & Demand

Suburb Supply Pipeline — New Dwelling Approvals

516

2020

1,107

2021

826

2022

727

2023

948

2025

New dwelling approvals — higher numbers mean more future supply

Socio-Economic Profile

Source: ABS Census 2021

SEIFA Index · Postcode 4818

Most disadvantagedLeast disadvantaged

Decile 7 of 10 — Average

Population

32,004

Education (IEO)

4/10

Econ. Resources (IER)

8/10

10-Year Investment Projection

Modelled on Deeragun QLD data — rent, capital growth, tax, and depreciation over 10 years.

Pre-filled: $550/wk median rent for Deeragun. Capital growth and rent increase are editable assumptions.

Schools

In your catchment

Bohlevale SS
PrimaryGovernment
4/10
Northern Beaches SHS
SecondaryGovernment
4.6/10

These are the government-school zones containing this suburb centroid. Specific addresses within the suburb may fall in different catchments — confirm with the school directly.

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Data sourced from ABS, state government property sales, and Airbnb market analytics. For informational purposes only — not financial advice.