Deeragun QLD Property Investment
Townsville · 4818 · Score: 58/100 · Hold
Deeragun Short-Term Rental (Airbnb) Market
Deeragun QLD Investment Brief
HOLD — 4.1% gross yield on a $691,753 median.
THE MARKET
Deeragun has compounded at 0.5%/yr over 5 years — a house that cost $674,716 in 2021 is worth $691,753 today. Properties are sitting on market for 45 days (roughly balanced conditions). At the same growth rate, today's median reaches $709,221 by 2031.
- Median house: $691,753 | Units: $580,181
- Gross yield: 4.1% | Net yield: 2.6%
- 5yr price CAGR: 0.5%/yr | 3yr forecast: 13.5%/yr
- Population: 4,273 | Owner-occupier rate: 66% | Affluence: Above Average
- Supply pipeline: Moderate — Strong population growth likely attracting new development approvals
RENTAL SNAPSHOT
- Vacancy: 3.0% (stable) | Rental demand: Moderate
- Median weekly rent: $550/wk | Days on market: 45 (stable)
- Tenant market — vacancy elevated, negotiate hard on rent.
SHORT-TERM RENTAL
- Median nightly rate: $426/night | Occupancy: 44%
- Estimated annual STR gross: ~$68,416/yr
- vs long-term rent: $28,600/yr (+139% STR premium — factor in higher management costs)
INFRASTRUCTURE & CATALYSTS
- No major confirmed infrastructure projects on record.
- Transport: Townsville station 15.0km away
BULL CASE
If Deeragun maintains 3%+ annual growth and vacancy stays below 2.1%, median prices could reach $795,516 within 3 years with yields compressing slightly as capital values rise.
BEAR CASE
A market correction or interest rate shock could see prices in Deeragun pull back 10-15% from $691,753, with vacancy rising to 5.0% and rental yields softening as tenants gain leverage.
KEY RISKS
- Distance from CBD may limit long-term capital growth potential
- - Flood risk: MODERATE (qld_elevation_proxy) — part of the suburb sits near waterways or in a mapped flood-prone area
COMPARABLE MARKETS
- Westwood (QLD): $747,318 median, 2.3% yield, 23.0% 1yr growth
- Yarraman (QLD): $515,179 median, 3.7% yield, 21.1% 1yr growth
- Crawford (QLD): $501,403 median, 2.7% yield, 15.8% 1yr growth
THE PLAY
Deeragun offers balanced fundamentals but does not present an urgent buying signal. The market is in a recovery phase with moderate vacancy risk. Monitor vacancy trends and price movements over the next 6-12 months. Only enter if a property can be acquired at or below median pricing with yields exceeding 4.6%.
- Entry range: $622,578 – $760,928
- Minimum gross yield to target: 4.5%
- Watch signal: vacancy dropping below 2% and days on market falling below 35
This analysis is for informational purposes only and does not constitute financial, legal, or investment advice. Seek professional advice before making investment decisions.
Gentrification Index
Growth Forecast
high confidenceBasis: 5yr CAGR 0.5% + 10yr CAGR 2.1%
- +Strong population growth (2.5%/yr) driving demand
- −High supply pipeline (4124 new approvals) — may cap price growth
Suburb Metric Thresholds
Macro Environment
Macro Indicators
Cash Rate
4.35%
▲ 0.25%Cash rate as at 2026-05-06 · Credit data 2026-04
Suburb Supply & Demand
Suburb Supply Pipeline — New Dwelling Approvals
516
2020
1,107
2021
826
2022
727
2023
948
2025
New dwelling approvals — higher numbers mean more future supply
Socio-Economic Profile
Source: ABS Census 2021SEIFA Index · Postcode 4818
Decile 7 of 10 — Average
Population
32,004
Education (IEO)
4/10
Econ. Resources (IER)
8/10
10-Year Investment Projection
Modelled on Deeragun QLD data — rent, capital growth, tax, and depreciation over 10 years.
Pre-filled: $550/wk median rent for Deeragun. Capital growth and rent increase are editable assumptions.
Schools
In your catchment
These are the government-school zones containing this suburb centroid. Specific addresses within the suburb may fall in different catchments — confirm with the school directly.
Nearby Suburbs
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Analyse a Property →Data sourced from ABS, state government property sales, and Airbnb market analytics. For informational purposes only — not financial advice.