Wiley Park NSW Property Investment

Canterbury-Bankstown · 2195 · Score: 54/100 · Hold

Median House Price
$1.40M
Rental Yield
2.8%
Vacancy Rate
1.6%
Median Weekly Rent
$750/wk
Median Unit Price
$580K
Population
10,016
Days on Market
32 days
Annual Growth
15.5%

Wiley Park Short-Term Rental (Airbnb) Market

Avg Nightly Rate
$445.75/night
Occupancy Rate
40%
Est. Annual Revenue
$65K
AI Investment Analysis

Wiley Park NSW Investment Brief

HOLD2.8% gross yield on a $1,396,855 (single source — OnTheHouse only, no peer to validate) median.

THE MARKET

Median house price in Wiley Park sits at $1,396,855 (single source — OnTheHouse only, no peer to validate) with 32 days on market and a 1.6% vacancy rate. This is a tight rental market right now.

  • Median house: $1,396,855 (single source — OnTheHouse only, no peer to validate) | Units: $580,282
  • Gross yield: 2.8% | Net yield: 1.3%
  • 5yr price CAGR: -0.4%/yr | 3yr forecast: 13.5%/yr
  • Population: 10,016 | Owner-occupier rate: 40% | Affluence: Low
  • Supply pipeline: Low — Price growth outpacing new supply, limited development pipeline

RENTAL SNAPSHOT

  • Vacancy: 1.6% (improving) | Rental demand: High
  • Median weekly rent: $750/wk | Days on market: 32 (stable)
  • Landlord market — rents likely to keep rising.

SHORT-TERM RENTAL

  • Median nightly rate: $446/night | Occupancy: 40%
  • Estimated annual STR gross: ~$65,080/yr
  • vs long-term rent: $39,000/yr (+67% STR premium — factor in higher management costs)

INFRASTRUCTURE & CATALYSTS

  • WestConnex Motorway (Operational)
  • Sydney Metro City & Southwest (Operational)
  • Sydney Gateway (Under Construction)
  • Sydney Metro West (Under Construction)
  • Transport: Well-connected inner-city location

BULL CASE

If Wiley Park maintains 3%+ annual growth and vacancy stays below 1.1%, median prices could reach $1,606,383 within 3 years with yields compressing slightly as capital values rise.

BEAR CASE

A market correction or interest rate shock could see prices in Wiley Park pull back 10-15% from $1,396,855, with vacancy rising to 2.9% and rental yields softening as tenants gain leverage.

KEY RISKS

  • No significant risk factors identified for this suburb

COMPARABLE MARKETS

  • Canley Vale (NSW): $1,345,042 median, 2.7% yield, 30.0% 1yr growth
  • Holroyd (NSW): $1,497,415 median, 2.5% yield, 4.2% 1yr growth
  • Berala (NSW): $1,695,375 median, 2.3% yield, 5.1% 1yr growth

THE PLAY

Wiley Park offers balanced fundamentals but does not present an urgent buying signal. The market is in a recovery phase with low vacancy risk. Monitor vacancy trends and price movements over the next 6-12 months. Only enter if a property can be acquired at or below median pricing with yields exceeding 4.0%.

  • Entry range: $1,257,170$1,536,541
  • Minimum gross yield to target: 4.5%
  • Watch signal: vacancy staying below 2% and days on market holding under 35

This analysis is for informational purposes only and does not constitute financial, legal, or investment advice. Seek professional advice before making investment decisions.

Gentrification Index

Active gentrification7.0/10
Low socioeconomic base — classic gentrification precondition
Moderate capital growth (5.9% CAGR)
Inner/middle ring location (14.3km to CBD) — high gentrification corridor
High renter base (57%) — room for tenure upgrade as area improves
Active development pipeline (9190 approvals) — supply attracting new residents
Strong public transport infrastructure — supports walkable gentrification

Growth Forecast

low confidence
1yr Forecast
3.1%
p.a.
2yr Forecast
2.9%
p.a.
5yr Forecast
2.5%
p.a.

Basis: 3yr growth 5.9% (discounted)

Growth drivers
  • +Low rental vacancy (1.6%) — constrained supply
  • +Premium transport infrastructure — supports long-term capital growth
Headwinds
  • Population decline (-0.0%/yr) — demand headwind
  • High supply pipeline (9190 new approvals) — may cap price growth

Suburb Metric Thresholds

5 green3 yellow8 red
Rental Vacancy Rate
1.6 high impact
Days on Market
32 high impact
Weekly Rent (house)
750 medium impact
5yr Price CAGR
-0.43 high impact
10yr Price CAGR
4.83 high impact
1yr Price Growth
15.5 medium impact
Population Growth
-0.04 high impact
Median Household Income
1234 medium impact
Unemployment Rate
12.8 medium impact
Public Transport Score
8 medium impact
School Zone Quality
5.8 medium impact
Distance to CBD
14.33 medium impact
SEIFA Advantage/Disadvantage
2 medium impact
Owner Occupier Rate
39.9 medium impact
Gross Rental Yield (%)
2.79 high impact
Net Rental Yield (%)
1.29 high impact

Macro Environment

Macro Indicators

Cash Rate

4.35%

0.25%

Cash rate as at 2026-05-06 · Credit data 2026-04

Suburb Supply & Demand

Suburb Supply Pipeline — New Dwelling Approvals

2,412

2020

1,873

2021

1,985

2022

1,502

2023

1,418

2025

New dwelling approvals — higher numbers mean more future supply

Socio-Economic Profile

Source: ABS Census 2021

SEIFA Index · Postcode 2195

Most disadvantagedLeast disadvantaged

Decile 1 of 10 — High disadvantage

Population

27,103

Education (IEO)

5/10

Econ. Resources (IER)

1/10

10-Year Investment Projection

Modelled on Wiley Park NSW data — rent, capital growth, tax, and depreciation over 10 years.

Pre-filled: $750/wk median rent for Wiley Park. Capital growth and rent increase are editable assumptions.

Schools

In your catchment

Wiley Park PS
PrimaryGovernment
5.8/10
Wiley Park GHS
SecondaryGovernment
5.1/10
Belmore BHS
SecondaryGovernment
5/10
Sir Joseph Banks HS
SecondaryGovernment
5/10

These are the government-school zones containing this suburb centroid. Specific addresses within the suburb may fall in different catchments — confirm with the school directly.

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Data sourced from ABS, state government property sales, and Airbnb market analytics. For informational purposes only — not financial advice.