Lakemba NSW Property Investment
Canterbury-Bankstown · 2195 · Score: 56/100 · Hold
Lakemba NSW Investment Brief
HOLD — 2.9% gross yield on a $1,445,469 median.
THE MARKET
Median house price in Lakemba sits at $1,445,469 with 42 days on market and a 1.6% vacancy rate. This is a tight rental market right now.
- Median house: $1,445,469 | Units: $567,217
- Gross yield: 2.9% | Net yield: 1.4%
- 5yr price CAGR: -0.3%/yr | 3yr forecast: 13.5%/yr
- Population: 17,092 | Owner-occupier rate: 40% | Affluence: Low
- Supply pipeline: Low — Price growth outpacing new supply, limited development pipeline
RENTAL SNAPSHOT
- Vacancy: 1.6% (improving) | Rental demand: High
- Median weekly rent: $800/wk | Days on market: 42 (stable)
- Landlord market — rents likely to keep rising.
SHORT-TERM RENTAL
Insufficient STR data for this suburb. Run a specific address analysis for property-level STR projections.
INFRASTRUCTURE & CATALYSTS
- WestConnex Motorway (Operational)
- Sydney Metro City & Southwest (Operational)
- Sydney Gateway (Under Construction)
- Sydney Metro West (Under Construction)
- Transport: Well-connected inner-city location
BULL CASE
If Lakemba maintains 3%+ annual growth and vacancy stays below 1.1%, median prices could reach $1,662,289 within 3 years with yields compressing slightly as capital values rise.
BEAR CASE
A market correction or interest rate shock could see prices in Lakemba pull back 10-15% from $1,445,469, with vacancy rising to 2.9% and rental yields softening as tenants gain leverage.
KEY RISKS
- No significant risk factors identified for this suburb
COMPARABLE MARKETS
- Canley Vale (NSW): $1,345,042 median, 2.7% yield, 30.0% 1yr growth
- Holroyd (NSW): $1,497,415 median, 2.5% yield, 4.2% 1yr growth
- Berala (NSW): $1,695,375 median, 2.3% yield, 5.1% 1yr growth
THE PLAY
Lakemba offers balanced fundamentals but does not present an urgent buying signal. The market is in a recovery phase with low vacancy risk. Monitor vacancy trends and price movements over the next 6-12 months. Only enter if a property can be acquired at or below median pricing with yields exceeding 4.0%.
- Entry range: $1,300,922 – $1,590,016
- Minimum gross yield to target: 4.5%
- Watch signal: vacancy staying below 2% and days on market falling below 35
This analysis is for informational purposes only and does not constitute financial, legal, or investment advice. Seek professional advice before making investment decisions.
Gentrification Index
Growth Forecast
low confidenceBasis: 3yr growth 13.8% (discounted)
- +Low rental vacancy (1.6%) — constrained supply
- +Premium transport infrastructure — supports long-term capital growth
- −Population decline (-0.0%/yr) — demand headwind
- −High supply pipeline (9190 new approvals) — may cap price growth
Suburb Metric Thresholds
Macro Environment
Macro Indicators
Cash Rate
4.35%
▲ 0.25%Cash rate as at 2026-05-06 · Credit data 2026-04
Suburb Supply & Demand
Suburb Supply Pipeline — New Dwelling Approvals
2,412
2020
1,873
2021
1,985
2022
1,502
2023
1,418
2025
New dwelling approvals — higher numbers mean more future supply
Socio-Economic Profile
Source: ABS Census 2021SEIFA Index · Postcode 2195
Decile 1 of 10 — High disadvantage
Population
27,103
Education (IEO)
5/10
Econ. Resources (IER)
1/10
10-Year Investment Projection
Modelled on Lakemba NSW data — rent, capital growth, tax, and depreciation over 10 years.
Pre-filled: $800/wk median rent for Lakemba. Capital growth and rent increase are editable assumptions.
Schools
In your catchment
These are the government-school zones containing this suburb centroid. Specific addresses within the suburb may fall in different catchments — confirm with the school directly.
Nearby Suburbs
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Analyse a Property →Data sourced from ABS, state government property sales, and Airbnb market analytics. For informational purposes only — not financial advice.