Wahroonga NSW Property Investment

Hornsby · 2076 · Score: 71/100 · Buy

Median House Price
$2.78M
Rental Yield
2.5%
Vacancy Rate
1.6%
Median Weekly Rent
$1325/wk
Median Unit Price
$1.13M
Population
17,853
Days on Market
65 days
Annual Growth
4.4%
AI Investment Analysis

Wahroonga NSW Investment Brief

BUY$2,783,191 median with 10.1%/yr growth over 5 years.

THE MARKET

Wahroonga has compounded at 10.1%/yr over 5 years — a house that cost $1,720,309 in 2021 is worth $2,783,191 today. Properties are sitting on market for 65 days (buyers have negotiating room). At the same growth rate, today's median reaches $4,502,768 by 2031.

  • Median house: $2,783,191 | Units: $1,130,612
  • Gross yield: 2.5% | Net yield: 1.0%
  • 5yr price CAGR: 10.1%/yr | 3yr forecast: 9.9%/yr
  • Population: 17,853 | Owner-occupier rate: 79% | Affluence: Very High
  • Supply pipeline: Low — Price growth outpacing new supply, limited development pipeline

RENTAL SNAPSHOT

  • Vacancy: 1.6% (improving) | Rental demand: High
  • Median weekly rent: $1,325/wk | Days on market: 65 (worsening)
  • Landlord market — rents likely to keep rising.

SHORT-TERM RENTAL

Insufficient STR data for this suburb. Run a specific address analysis for property-level STR projections.

INFRASTRUCTURE & CATALYSTS

  • NorthConnex Tunnel (Operational)
  • Beaches Link Tunnel (Sydney) (Announced)
  • Sydney Metro West (Under Construction)
  • Parramatta Light Rail Stage 1 (Operational)
  • Transport: Wahroonga station 0.6km away

BULL CASE

If Wahroonga maintains 3%+ annual growth and vacancy stays below 1.1%, median prices could reach $3,200,670 within 3 years with yields compressing slightly as capital values rise.

BEAR CASE

A market correction or interest rate shock could see prices in Wahroonga pull back 10-15% from $2,783,191, with vacancy rising to 2.9% and rental yields softening as tenants gain leverage.

KEY RISKS

  • Premium price point limits buyer pool and increases interest rate sensitivity

COMPARABLE MARKETS

  • Pinkett (NSW): $2,650,000 median, 0.8% yield, 0.0% 1yr growth
  • Lovedale (NSW): $2,022,982 median, 1.4% yield, 14.6% 1yr growth
  • New Mexico (NSW): $3,120,000 median, 0.7% yield, 0.0% 1yr growth

THE PLAY

Wahroonga presents a compelling investment opportunity. The combination of solid fundamentals and high rental demand supports entry at current price levels. Proceed with due diligence on specific properties. Target gross yields above 2.5% and prioritise properties with value-add potential. Consider timing entry around the current above_trend phase of the market cycle.

  • Entry range: $2,504,872$3,061,510
  • Minimum gross yield to target: 4.5%
  • Watch signal: vacancy staying below 2% and days on market falling below 35

This analysis is for informational purposes only and does not constitute financial, legal, or investment advice. Seek professional advice before making investment decisions.

Gentrification Index

Active gentrification6.0/10
High SEIFA decile — already upgraded or established affluent area
Strong capital growth (10.1% CAGR) — above national average
Inner/middle ring location (19.0km to CBD) — high gentrification corridor
Active development pipeline (2252 approvals) — supply attracting new residents
Strong public transport infrastructure — supports walkable gentrification

Growth Forecast

low confidence
1yr Forecast
8.6%
p.a.
2yr Forecast
7.9%
p.a.
5yr Forecast
6.9%
p.a.

Basis: 5yr CAGR 10.1% + 10yr CAGR 8.9%

Growth drivers
  • +Low rental vacancy (1.6%) — constrained supply
Headwinds
  • Slow market (65 days avg) — buyer hesitancy
  • High supply pipeline (2252 new approvals) — may cap price growth

Suburb Metric Thresholds

9 green4 yellow3 red
Rental Vacancy Rate
1.6 high impact
Days on Market
65 high impact
Weekly Rent (house)
1325 medium impact
5yr Price CAGR
10.07 high impact
10yr Price CAGR
8.93 high impact
1yr Price Growth
4.4 medium impact
Population Growth
0.56 high impact
Median Household Income
2923 medium impact
Unemployment Rate
4 medium impact
Public Transport Score
7.3 medium impact
School Zone Quality
7.5 medium impact
Distance to CBD
19.04 medium impact
SEIFA Advantage/Disadvantage
10 medium impact
Owner Occupier Rate
79.1 medium impact
Gross Rental Yield (%)
2.48 high impact
Net Rental Yield (%)
0.98 high impact

Macro Environment

Macro Indicators

Cash Rate

4.35%

0.25%

Cash rate as at 2026-05-06 · Credit data 2026-05

Suburb Supply & Demand

Suburb Supply Pipeline — New Dwelling Approvals

627

2020

418

2021

423

2022

391

2023

393

2025

New dwelling approvals — higher numbers mean more future supply

Socio-Economic Profile

Source: ABS Census 2021

SEIFA Index · Postcode 2076

Most disadvantagedLeast disadvantaged

Decile 10 of 10 — Low disadvantage

Population

25,340

Education (IEO)

10/10

Econ. Resources (IER)

10/10

10-Year Investment Projection

Modelled on Wahroonga NSW data — rent, capital growth, tax, and depreciation over 10 years.

Pre-filled: $1325/wk median rent for Wahroonga. Capital growth and rent increase are editable assumptions.

Schools

In your catchment

Warrawee PS
PrimaryGovernment
9.3/10
Turramurra HS
SecondaryGovernment
8.3/10

These are the government-school zones containing this suburb centroid. Specific addresses within the suburb may fall in different catchments — confirm with the school directly.

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Data sourced from ABS, state government property sales, and Airbnb market analytics. For informational purposes only — not financial advice.