Burwood NSW Property Investment
Burwood · 2134 · Score: 68/100 · Buy
Burwood Short-Term Rental (Airbnb) Market
Burwood NSW Investment Brief
BUY — 1.7% gross yield on a $3,015,360 median.
THE MARKET
Burwood has compounded at 5.4%/yr over 5 years — a house that cost $2,318,121 in 2021 is worth $3,015,360 today. Properties are sitting on market for 43 days (roughly balanced conditions). At the same growth rate, today's median reaches $3,922,313 by 2031.
- Median house: $3,015,360 | Units: $939,356
- Gross yield: 1.7% | Net yield: 0.2%
- 5yr price CAGR: 5.4%/yr | 3yr forecast: 13.5%/yr
- Population: 18,224 | Owner-occupier rate: 37% | Affluence: High
- Supply pipeline: Moderate — Strong population growth likely attracting new development approvals
RENTAL SNAPSHOT
- Vacancy: 1.6% (improving) | Rental demand: High
- Median weekly rent: $1,000/wk | Days on market: 43 (stable)
- Landlord market — rents likely to keep rising.
SHORT-TERM RENTAL
- Median nightly rate: $499/night | Occupancy: 40%
- Estimated annual STR gross: ~$72,899/yr
- vs long-term rent: $52,000/yr (+40% STR premium — factor in higher management costs)
INFRASTRUCTURE & CATALYSTS
- Sydney Metro City & Southwest (Operational)
- Sydney Gateway (Under Construction)
- WestConnex Motorway (Operational)
- New Intercity Fleet (NSW Trains) (Under Delivery)
- Transport: Burwood station 0.2km away
BULL CASE
If Burwood maintains 3%+ annual growth and vacancy stays below 1.1%, median prices could reach $3,467,664 within 3 years with yields compressing slightly as capital values rise.
BEAR CASE
A market correction or interest rate shock could see prices in Burwood pull back 10-15% from $3,015,360, with vacancy rising to 2.9% and rental yields softening as tenants gain leverage.
KEY RISKS
- Premium price point limits buyer pool and increases interest rate sensitivity
COMPARABLE MARKETS
- Pinkett (NSW): $2,650,000 median, 0.8% yield, 0.0% 1yr growth
- New Mexico (NSW): $3,120,000 median, 0.7% yield, 0.0% 1yr growth
- Seal Rocks (NSW): $2,500,000 median, 1.0% yield, 6.3% 1yr growth
THE PLAY
Burwood presents a compelling investment opportunity. The combination of solid fundamentals and high rental demand supports entry at current price levels. Proceed with due diligence on specific properties. Target gross yields above 1.7% and prioritise properties with value-add potential. Consider timing entry around the current boom phase of the market cycle.
- Entry range: $2,713,824 – $3,316,896
- Minimum gross yield to target: 4.5%
- Watch signal: vacancy staying below 2% and days on market falling below 35
This analysis is for informational purposes only and does not constitute financial, legal, or investment advice. Seek professional advice before making investment decisions.
Gentrification Index
Growth Forecast
high confidenceBasis: 5yr CAGR 5.4% + 10yr CAGR 3.6%
- +Strong population growth (2.6%/yr) driving demand
- +Low rental vacancy (1.6%) — constrained supply
- +Premium transport infrastructure — supports long-term capital growth
- −High supply pipeline (2075 new approvals) — may cap price growth
Suburb Metric Thresholds
Macro Environment
Macro Indicators
Cash Rate
4.35%
▲ 0.25%Cash rate as at 2026-05-06 · Credit data 2026-04
Suburb Supply & Demand
Suburb Supply Pipeline — New Dwelling Approvals
314
2020
175
2021
114
2022
362
2023
1,110
2025
New dwelling approvals — higher numbers mean more future supply
Socio-Economic Profile
Source: ABS Census 2021SEIFA Index · Postcode 2134
Decile 2 of 10 — High disadvantage
Population
18,224
Education (IEO)
9/10
Econ. Resources (IER)
1/10
10-Year Investment Projection
Modelled on Burwood NSW data — rent, capital growth, tax, and depreciation over 10 years.
Pre-filled: $1000/wk median rent for Burwood. Capital growth and rent increase are editable assumptions.
Schools
In your catchment
These are the government-school zones containing this suburb centroid. Specific addresses within the suburb may fall in different catchments — confirm with the school directly.
Analyse a Property in Burwood
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Analyse a Property →Data sourced from ABS, state government property sales, and Airbnb market analytics. For informational purposes only — not financial advice.