Oran Park NSW Property Investment
Wollondilly · 2570 · Score: 71/100 · Buy
Oran Park Short-Term Rental (Airbnb) Market
Oran Park NSW Investment Brief
BUY — $1,283,778 (single source — OnTheHouse only, no peer to validate) median with 8.3%/yr growth over 5 years.
THE MARKET
Oran Park has compounded at 8.3%/yr over 5 years. Median sits in the $1,283,778 (single source — OnTheHouse only, no peer to validate) band today. Properties are sitting on market for 44 days (roughly balanced conditions).
- Median house: $1,283,778 (single source — OnTheHouse only, no peer to validate) | Units: $881,352
- Gross yield: 3.2% | Net yield: 1.7%
- 5yr price CAGR: 8.3%/yr | 3yr forecast: 13.5%/yr
- Population: 17,624 | Owner-occupier rate: 73% | Affluence: High
- Supply pipeline: Moderate — Strong population growth likely attracting new development approvals
RENTAL SNAPSHOT
- Vacancy: 2.2% (improving) | Rental demand: High
- Median weekly rent: $780/wk | Days on market: 44 (stable)
- Balanced market — vacancy manageable but monitor trend.
SHORT-TERM RENTAL
- Median nightly rate: $491/night | Occupancy: 40%
- Estimated annual STR gross: ~$71,658/yr
- vs long-term rent: $40,560/yr (+77% STR premium — factor in higher management costs)
INFRASTRUCTURE & CATALYSTS
- Western Sydney International (Nancy-Bird Walton) Airport (Under Construction)
- Sydney Metro - Western Sydney Airport Line (Under Construction)
- New Intercity Fleet (NSW Trains) (Under Delivery)
- Transport: Standard suburban transport access
BULL CASE
If Oran Park maintains 10%+ annual growth and vacancy stays below 1.5%, median prices could reach $1,476,345 within 3 years with yields compressing slightly as capital values rise.
BEAR CASE
A market correction or interest rate shock could see prices in Oran Park pull back 10-15% from $1,283,778, with vacancy rising to 4.0% and rental yields softening as tenants gain leverage.
KEY RISKS
- No significant risk factors identified for this suburb
COMPARABLE MARKETS
- Lake Illawarra (NSW): $982,570 median, 3.4% yield, 10.6% 1yr growth
- Blackett (NSW): $920,447 median, 2.9% yield, 9.7% 1yr growth
- Macquarie Fields (NSW): $1,027,033 median, 3.1% yield, 7.6% 1yr growth
THE PLAY
Oran Park presents a compelling investment opportunity. The combination of solid fundamentals and high rental demand supports entry at current price levels. Proceed with due diligence on specific properties. Target gross yields above 3.2% and prioritise properties with value-add potential. Consider timing entry around the current stable phase of the market cycle.
- Entry range: $1,155,400 – $1,412,156
- Minimum gross yield to target: 4.5%
- Watch signal: vacancy dropping below 2% and days on market falling below 35
This analysis is for informational purposes only and does not constitute financial, legal, or investment advice. Seek professional advice before making investment decisions.
Gentrification Index
Growth Forecast
high confidenceBasis: 5yr CAGR 8.3% + 10yr CAGR 8.3%
- +Strong population growth (9.7%/yr) driving demand
- +Low rental vacancy (2.2%) — constrained supply
- −High supply pipeline (3766 new approvals) — may cap price growth
Suburb Metric Thresholds
Macro Environment
Macro Indicators
Cash Rate
4.35%
▲ 0.25%Cash rate as at 2026-05-06 · Credit data 2026-04
Suburb Supply & Demand
Suburb Supply Pipeline — New Dwelling Approvals
407
2020
780
2021
765
2022
1,028
2023
786
2025
New dwelling approvals — higher numbers mean more future supply
Socio-Economic Profile
Source: ABS Census 2021SEIFA Index · Postcode 2570
Decile 8 of 10 — Low disadvantage
Population
63,663
Education (IEO)
7/10
Econ. Resources (IER)
10/10
10-Year Investment Projection
Modelled on Oran Park NSW data — rent, capital growth, tax, and depreciation over 10 years.
Pre-filled: $780/wk median rent for Oran Park. Capital growth and rent increase are editable assumptions.
Schools
In your catchment
These are the government-school zones containing this suburb centroid. Specific addresses within the suburb may fall in different catchments — confirm with the school directly.
Nearby Suburbs
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Analyse a Property →Data sourced from ABS, state government property sales, and Airbnb market analytics. For informational purposes only — not financial advice.