Claymore NSW Property Investment
Campbelltown (NSW) · 2559 · Score: 49/100 · Caution
Claymore Short-Term Rental (Airbnb) Market
Claymore NSW Investment Brief
CAUTION — 3.3% gross yield on a $1,171,577 (pending peer validation) median.
THE MARKET
Claymore has compounded at 2.5%/yr over 5 years. Median sits in the $1,171,577 (pending peer validation) band today. Properties are sitting on market for 42 days (roughly balanced conditions).
- Median house: $1,171,577 (pending peer validation) | Units: $708,805
- Gross yield: 3.3% | Net yield: 1.8%
- 5yr price CAGR: 2.5%/yr | 3yr forecast: 13.5%/yr
- Population: 2,579 | Owner-occupier rate: 31% | Affluence: Low
- Supply pipeline: Low — Price growth outpacing new supply, limited development pipeline
RENTAL SNAPSHOT
- Vacancy: 2.1% (improving) | Rental demand: High
- Median weekly rent: $750/wk | Days on market: 42 (stable)
- Balanced market — vacancy manageable but monitor trend.
SHORT-TERM RENTAL
- Median nightly rate: $522/night | Occupancy: 40%
- Estimated annual STR gross: ~$76,203/yr
- vs long-term rent: $39,000/yr (+95% STR premium — factor in higher management costs)
INFRASTRUCTURE & CATALYSTS
- New Intercity Fleet (NSW Trains) (Under Delivery)
- Transport: Leumeah station 2.1km away
BULL CASE
If Claymore maintains 3%+ annual growth and vacancy stays below 1.5%, median prices could reach $1,347,314 within 3 years with yields compressing slightly as capital values rise.
BEAR CASE
A market correction or interest rate shock could see prices in Claymore pull back 10-15% from $1,171,577, with vacancy rising to 3.8% and rental yields softening as tenants gain leverage.
KEY RISKS
- No significant risk factors identified for this suburb
COMPARABLE MARKETS
- Lake Illawarra (NSW): $982,570 median, 3.4% yield, 10.6% 1yr growth
- Blackett (NSW): $920,447 median, 2.9% yield, 9.7% 1yr growth
- Austral Eden (NSW): $842,500 median, 3.0% yield, 0.0% 1yr growth
THE PLAY
Claymore carries elevated risk that outweighs potential returns at current levels. A recovery market combined with moderate vacancy risk warrants caution. Avoid new acquisitions unless significant discount to median pricing is achievable. Re-evaluate if vacancy falls below 2.5% or annual price growth exceeds 3%.
- Entry range: $1,054,419 – $1,288,735
- Minimum gross yield to target: 4.5%
- Watch signal: vacancy dropping below 2% and days on market falling below 35
This analysis is for informational purposes only and does not constitute financial, legal, or investment advice. Seek professional advice before making investment decisions.
Gentrification Index
Growth Forecast
low confidenceBasis: 5yr CAGR 15.5% + 10yr CAGR 6.9%
- +Low rental vacancy (2.1%) — constrained supply
- −Population decline (-0.5%/yr) — demand headwind
- −High supply pipeline (6809 new approvals) — may cap price growth
Suburb Metric Thresholds
Macro Environment
Macro Indicators
Cash Rate
4.35%
▲ 0.25%Cash rate as at 2026-05-06 · Credit data 2026-04
Suburb Supply & Demand
Suburb Supply Pipeline — New Dwelling Approvals
1,678
2020
1,679
2021
1,217
2022
1,030
2023
1,205
2025
New dwelling approvals — higher numbers mean more future supply
Socio-Economic Profile
Source: ABS Census 2021SEIFA Index · Postcode 2559
Decile 1 of 10 — High disadvantage
Population
2,991
Education (IEO)
1/10
Econ. Resources (IER)
1/10
10-Year Investment Projection
Modelled on Claymore NSW data — rent, capital growth, tax, and depreciation over 10 years.
Pre-filled: $750/wk median rent for Claymore. Capital growth and rent increase are editable assumptions.
Schools
In your catchment
These are the government-school zones containing this suburb centroid. Specific addresses within the suburb may fall in different catchments — confirm with the school directly.
Nearby Suburbs
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Analyse a Property →Data sourced from ABS, state government property sales, and Airbnb market analytics. For informational purposes only — not financial advice.