Kirrawee NSW Property Investment
Sutherland · 2232 · Score: 68/100 · Buy
Kirrawee NSW Investment Brief
BUY — 2.9% gross yield on a $1,773,747 median.
THE MARKET
Median house price in Kirrawee sits at $1,773,747 with 42 days on market and a 1.6% vacancy rate. This is a tight rental market right now.
- Median house: $1,773,747 | Units: $966,332
- Gross yield: 2.9% | Net yield: 1.4%
- 5yr price CAGR: -0.3%/yr | 3yr forecast: 13.5%/yr
- Population: 11,007 | Owner-occupier rate: 70% | Affluence: Very High
- Supply pipeline: Low — Price growth outpacing new supply, limited development pipeline
RENTAL SNAPSHOT
- Vacancy: 1.6% (improving) | Rental demand: High
- Median weekly rent: $1,000/wk | Days on market: 42 (stable)
- Landlord market — rents likely to keep rising.
SHORT-TERM RENTAL
Insufficient STR data for this suburb. Run a specific address analysis for property-level STR projections.
INFRASTRUCTURE & CATALYSTS
- Sydney Gateway (Under Construction)
- Sydney Metro City & Southwest (Operational)
- New Intercity Fleet (NSW Trains) (Under Delivery)
- Transport: Kirrawee station 0.1km away
BULL CASE
If Kirrawee maintains 3%+ annual growth and vacancy stays below 1.1%, median prices could reach $2,039,809 within 3 years with yields compressing slightly as capital values rise.
BEAR CASE
A market correction or interest rate shock could see prices in Kirrawee pull back 10-15% from $1,773,747, with vacancy rising to 2.9% and rental yields softening as tenants gain leverage.
KEY RISKS
- No significant risk factors identified for this suburb
COMPARABLE MARKETS
- Canley Vale (NSW): $1,345,042 median, 2.7% yield, 30.0% 1yr growth
- Holroyd (NSW): $1,497,415 median, 2.5% yield, 4.2% 1yr growth
- Berala (NSW): $1,695,375 median, 2.3% yield, 5.1% 1yr growth
THE PLAY
Kirrawee presents a compelling investment opportunity. The combination of solid fundamentals and high rental demand supports entry at current price levels. Proceed with due diligence on specific properties. Target gross yields above 2.9% and prioritise properties with value-add potential. Consider timing entry around the current recovery phase of the market cycle.
- Entry range: $1,596,372 – $1,951,122
- Minimum gross yield to target: 4.5%
- Watch signal: vacancy staying below 2% and days on market falling below 35
This analysis is for informational purposes only and does not constitute financial, legal, or investment advice. Seek professional advice before making investment decisions.
Gentrification Index
Growth Forecast
medium confidenceBasis: 3yr growth 7.0% (discounted)
- +Low rental vacancy (1.6%) — constrained supply
- +Premium transport infrastructure — supports long-term capital growth
- −High supply pipeline (5667 new approvals) — may cap price growth
Suburb Metric Thresholds
Macro Environment
Macro Indicators
Cash Rate
4.35%
▲ 0.25%Cash rate as at 2026-05-06 · Credit data 2026-04
Suburb Supply & Demand
Suburb Supply Pipeline — New Dwelling Approvals
1,113
2020
1,488
2021
1,323
2022
998
2023
745
2025
New dwelling approvals — higher numbers mean more future supply
Socio-Economic Profile
Source: ABS Census 2021SEIFA Index · Postcode 2232
Decile 9 of 10 — Low disadvantage
Population
35,304
Education (IEO)
9/10
Econ. Resources (IER)
8/10
10-Year Investment Projection
Modelled on Kirrawee NSW data — rent, capital growth, tax, and depreciation over 10 years.
Pre-filled: $1000/wk median rent for Kirrawee. Capital growth and rent increase are editable assumptions.
Schools
In your catchment
These are the government-school zones containing this suburb centroid. Specific addresses within the suburb may fall in different catchments — confirm with the school directly.
Nearby Suburbs
Analyse a Property in Kirrawee
Get instant STR rules, granny flat feasibility, rental yield, and full investment strategy comparison for any address in Kirrawee.
Analyse a Property →Data sourced from ABS, state government property sales, and Airbnb market analytics. For informational purposes only — not financial advice.