Gladesville NSW Property Investment
Hunters Hill · 2111 · Score: 69/100 · Buy
Gladesville Short-Term Rental (Airbnb) Market
Gladesville NSW Investment Brief
BUY — $2,955,423 median with 10.6%/yr growth over 5 years.
THE MARKET
Gladesville has compounded at 10.6%/yr over 5 years — a house that cost $1,785,846 in 2021 is worth $2,955,423 today. Properties are sitting on market for 90 days (buyers have negotiating room). At the same growth rate, today's median reaches $4,890,973 by 2031.
- Median house: $2,955,423 | Units: $848,352
- Gross yield: 2.0% | Net yield: 0.5%
- 5yr price CAGR: 10.6%/yr | 3yr forecast: 13.5%/yr
- Population: 12,867 | Owner-occupier rate: 62% | Affluence: Very High
- Supply pipeline: Low — Price growth outpacing new supply, limited development pipeline
RENTAL SNAPSHOT
- Vacancy: 1.6% (improving) | Rental demand: High
- Median weekly rent: $1,150/wk | Days on market: 90 (worsening)
- Landlord market — rents likely to keep rising.
SHORT-TERM RENTAL
- Median nightly rate: $567/night | Occupancy: 40%
- Estimated annual STR gross: ~$82,782/yr
- vs long-term rent: $59,800/yr (+38% STR premium — factor in higher management costs)
INFRASTRUCTURE & CATALYSTS
- Sydney Metro City & Southwest (Operational)
- New Intercity Fleet (NSW Trains) (Under Delivery)
- Beaches Link Tunnel (Sydney) (Announced)
- Sydney Gateway (Under Construction)
- Transport: Well-connected inner-city location
BULL CASE
If Gladesville maintains 3%+ annual growth and vacancy stays below 1.1%, median prices could reach $3,398,736 within 3 years with yields compressing slightly as capital values rise.
BEAR CASE
A market correction or interest rate shock could see prices in Gladesville pull back 10-15% from $2,955,423, with vacancy rising to 2.9% and rental yields softening as tenants gain leverage.
KEY RISKS
- Premium price point limits buyer pool and increases interest rate sensitivity
COMPARABLE MARKETS
- Pinkett (NSW): $2,650,000 median, 0.8% yield, 0.0% 1yr growth
- New Mexico (NSW): $3,120,000 median, 0.7% yield, 0.0% 1yr growth
- Mount View (NSW): $2,300,000 median, 1.2% yield, 0.0% 1yr growth
THE PLAY
Gladesville presents a compelling investment opportunity. The combination of solid fundamentals and high rental demand supports entry at current price levels. Proceed with due diligence on specific properties. Target gross yields above 2.0% and prioritise properties with value-add potential. Consider timing entry around the current above_trend phase of the market cycle.
- Entry range: $2,659,881 – $3,250,965
- Minimum gross yield to target: 4.5%
- Watch signal: vacancy staying below 2% and days on market falling below 35
This analysis is for informational purposes only and does not constitute financial, legal, or investment advice. Seek professional advice before making investment decisions.
Gentrification Index
Growth Forecast
low confidenceBasis: 5yr CAGR 1.9% + 10yr CAGR 4.0%
- +Low rental vacancy (1.6%) — constrained supply
- −Slow market (90 days avg) — buyer hesitancy
- −High supply pipeline (133 new approvals) — may cap price growth
Suburb Metric Thresholds
Macro Environment
Macro Indicators
Cash Rate
4.35%
▲ 0.25%Cash rate as at 2026-05-06 · Credit data 2026-04
Suburb Supply & Demand
Suburb Supply Pipeline — New Dwelling Approvals
9
2020
24
2021
35
2022
34
2023
31
2025
New dwelling approvals — higher numbers mean more future supply
Socio-Economic Profile
Source: ABS Census 2021SEIFA Index · Postcode 2111
Decile 10 of 10 — Low disadvantage
Population
15,456
Education (IEO)
10/10
Econ. Resources (IER)
8/10
10-Year Investment Projection
Modelled on Gladesville NSW data — rent, capital growth, tax, and depreciation over 10 years.
Pre-filled: $1150/wk median rent for Gladesville. Capital growth and rent increase are editable assumptions.
Schools
In your catchment
These are the government-school zones containing this suburb centroid. Specific addresses within the suburb may fall in different catchments — confirm with the school directly.
Nearby Suburbs
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Analyse a Property →Data sourced from ABS, state government property sales, and Airbnb market analytics. For informational purposes only — not financial advice.