Concord NSW Property Investment

Canada Bay · 2137 · Score: 72/100 · Buy

Median House Price
$3.18M
Rental Yield
1.9%
Vacancy Rate
1.6%
Median Weekly Rent
$1150/wk
Median Unit Price
$1.16M
Population
14,551
Days on Market
55 days
Annual Growth
14.5%
AI Investment Analysis

Concord NSW Investment Brief

BUY1.9% gross yield on a $3,177,267 median.

THE MARKET

Concord has compounded at 4.2%/yr over 5 years — a house that cost $2,586,516 in 2021 is worth $3,177,267 today. Properties are sitting on market for 55 days (buyers have negotiating room). At the same growth rate, today's median reaches $3,902,944 by 2031.

  • Median house: $3,177,267 | Units: $1,155,541
  • Gross yield: 1.9% | Net yield: 0.4%
  • 5yr price CAGR: 4.2%/yr | 3yr forecast: 13.5%/yr
  • Population: 14,551 | Owner-occupier rate: 65% | Affluence: Very High
  • Supply pipeline: Low — Price growth outpacing new supply, limited development pipeline

RENTAL SNAPSHOT

  • Vacancy: 1.6% (improving) | Rental demand: High
  • Median weekly rent: $1,150/wk | Days on market: 55 (worsening)
  • Landlord market — rents likely to keep rising.

SHORT-TERM RENTAL

Insufficient STR data for this suburb. Run a specific address analysis for property-level STR projections.

INFRASTRUCTURE & CATALYSTS

  • Sydney Metro City & Southwest (Operational)
  • WestConnex Motorway (Operational)
  • Sydney Gateway (Under Construction)
  • New Intercity Fleet (NSW Trains) (Under Delivery)
  • Transport: North Strathfield station 1.9km away

BULL CASE

If Concord maintains 3%+ annual growth and vacancy stays below 1.1%, median prices could reach $3,653,857 within 3 years with yields compressing slightly as capital values rise.

BEAR CASE

A market correction or interest rate shock could see prices in Concord pull back 10-15% from $3,177,267, with vacancy rising to 2.9% and rental yields softening as tenants gain leverage.

KEY RISKS

  • Premium price point limits buyer pool and increases interest rate sensitivity

COMPARABLE MARKETS

  • Pinkett (NSW): $2,650,000 median, 0.8% yield, 0.0% 1yr growth
  • New Mexico (NSW): $3,120,000 median, 0.7% yield, 0.0% 1yr growth
  • Seal Rocks (NSW): $2,500,000 median, 1.0% yield, 6.3% 1yr growth

THE PLAY

Concord presents a compelling investment opportunity. The combination of solid fundamentals and high rental demand supports entry at current price levels. Proceed with due diligence on specific properties. Target gross yields above 1.9% and prioritise properties with value-add potential. Consider timing entry around the current recovery phase of the market cycle.

  • Entry range: $2,859,540$3,494,994
  • Minimum gross yield to target: 4.5%
  • Watch signal: vacancy staying below 2% and days on market falling below 35

This analysis is for informational purposes only and does not constitute financial, legal, or investment advice. Seek professional advice before making investment decisions.

Gentrification Index

Early gentrification signals4.0/10
High SEIFA decile — already upgraded or established affluent area
Moderate capital growth (4.2% CAGR)
Inner/middle ring location (9.5km to CBD) — high gentrification corridor
Active development pipeline (3159 approvals) — supply attracting new residents
Strong public transport infrastructure — supports walkable gentrification

Growth Forecast

high confidence
1yr Forecast
5.8%
p.a.
2yr Forecast
5.3%
p.a.
5yr Forecast
4.6%
p.a.

Basis: 5yr CAGR 4.2% + 10yr CAGR 8.8%

Growth drivers
  • +Low rental vacancy (1.6%) — constrained supply
  • +Premium transport infrastructure — supports long-term capital growth
Headwinds
  • High supply pipeline (3159 new approvals) — may cap price growth

Suburb Metric Thresholds

10 green3 yellow3 red
Rental Vacancy Rate
1.6 high impact
Days on Market
55 high impact
Weekly Rent (house)
1150 medium impact
5yr Price CAGR
4.19 high impact
10yr Price CAGR
8.76 high impact
1yr Price Growth
14.5 medium impact
Population Growth
0.9 high impact
Median Household Income
2377 medium impact
Unemployment Rate
4 medium impact
Public Transport Score
47 medium impact
School Zone Quality
8.2 medium impact
Distance to CBD
9.5 medium impact
SEIFA Advantage/Disadvantage
10 medium impact
Owner Occupier Rate
65.3 medium impact
Gross Rental Yield (%)
1.88 high impact
Net Rental Yield (%)
0.38 high impact

Macro Environment

Macro Indicators

Cash Rate

4.35%

0.25%

Cash rate as at 2026-05-06 · Credit data 2026-04

Suburb Supply & Demand

Suburb Supply Pipeline — New Dwelling Approvals

629

2020

313

2021

288

2022

762

2023

1,167

2025

New dwelling approvals — higher numbers mean more future supply

Socio-Economic Profile

Source: ABS Census 2021

SEIFA Index · Postcode 2137

Most disadvantagedLeast disadvantaged

Decile 9 of 10 — Low disadvantage

Population

27,726

Education (IEO)

10/10

Econ. Resources (IER)

8/10

10-Year Investment Projection

Modelled on Concord NSW data — rent, capital growth, tax, and depreciation over 10 years.

Pre-filled: $1150/wk median rent for Concord. Capital growth and rent increase are editable assumptions.

Schools

In your catchment

Concord PS
PrimaryGovernment
7.2/10
Concord HS
SecondaryGovernment
7.4/10

These are the government-school zones containing this suburb centroid. Specific addresses within the suburb may fall in different catchments — confirm with the school directly.

Analyse a Property in Concord

Get instant STR rules, granny flat feasibility, rental yield, and full investment strategy comparison for any address in Concord.

Analyse a Property →

Data sourced from ABS, state government property sales, and Airbnb market analytics. For informational purposes only — not financial advice.