Annangrove NSW Property Investment

Hornsby · 2156 · Score: 69/100 · Buy

Median House Price
$3.52M
Rental Yield
1.6%
Vacancy Rate
1.6%
Median Weekly Rent
$1050/wk
Median Unit Price
$1.19M
Population
1,472
Days on Market
83 days
Annual Growth
14.6%

Annangrove Short-Term Rental (Airbnb) Market

Avg Nightly Rate
$476.38/night
Occupancy Rate
40%
Est. Annual Revenue
$70K
AI Investment Analysis

Annangrove NSW Investment Brief

BUY$3,521,476 median with 13.6%/yr growth over 5 years.

THE MARKET

Annangrove has compounded at 13.6%/yr over 5 years — a house that cost $1,861,372 in 2021 is worth $3,521,476 today. Properties are sitting on market for 83 days (buyers have negotiating room). At the same growth rate, today's median reaches $6,662,180 by 2031.

  • Median house: $3,521,476 | Units: $1,187,537
  • Gross yield: 1.6% | Net yield: 0.1%
  • 5yr price CAGR: 13.6%/yr | 3yr forecast: 13.5%/yr
  • Population: 1,472 | Owner-occupier rate: 83% | Affluence: Very High
  • Supply pipeline: Low — Price growth outpacing new supply, limited development pipeline

RENTAL SNAPSHOT

  • Vacancy: 1.6% (improving) | Rental demand: High
  • Median weekly rent: $1,050/wk | Days on market: 83 (worsening)
  • Landlord market — rents likely to keep rising.

SHORT-TERM RENTAL

  • Median nightly rate: $476/night | Occupancy: 40%
  • Estimated annual STR gross: ~$69,551/yr
  • vs long-term rent: $54,600/yr (+27% STR premium — factor in higher management costs)

INFRASTRUCTURE & CATALYSTS

  • NorthConnex Tunnel (Operational)
  • Parramatta Light Rail Stage 2 (Under Procurement)
  • Parramatta Light Rail Stage 1 (Operational)
  • Sydney Metro West (Under Construction)
  • Transport: Rouse Hill station 4.6km away

BULL CASE

If Annangrove maintains 3%+ annual growth and vacancy stays below 1.1%, median prices could reach $4,049,697 within 3 years with yields compressing slightly as capital values rise.

BEAR CASE

A market correction or interest rate shock could see prices in Annangrove pull back 10-15% from $3,521,476, with vacancy rising to 2.9% and rental yields softening as tenants gain leverage.

KEY RISKS

  • Premium price point limits buyer pool and increases interest rate sensitivity

COMPARABLE MARKETS

  • Pinkett (NSW): $2,650,000 median, 0.8% yield, 0.0% 1yr growth
  • New Mexico (NSW): $3,120,000 median, 0.7% yield, 0.0% 1yr growth
  • Seal Rocks (NSW): $2,500,000 median, 1.0% yield, 6.3% 1yr growth

THE PLAY

Annangrove presents a compelling investment opportunity. The combination of solid fundamentals and high rental demand supports entry at current price levels. Proceed with due diligence on specific properties. Target gross yields above 1.6% and prioritise properties with value-add potential. Consider timing entry around the current stable phase of the market cycle.

  • Entry range: $3,169,328$3,873,624
  • Minimum gross yield to target: 4.5%
  • Watch signal: vacancy staying below 2% and days on market falling below 35

This analysis is for informational purposes only and does not constitute financial, legal, or investment advice. Seek professional advice before making investment decisions.

Gentrification Index

Early gentrification signals4.5/10
High SEIFA decile — already upgraded or established affluent area
Strong capital growth (13.6% CAGR) — above national average
Outer suburban location (34.5km to CBD) — slower gentrification cycle
Active development pipeline (2252 approvals) — supply attracting new residents

Growth Forecast

low confidence
1yr Forecast
12.2%
p.a.
2yr Forecast
11.2%
p.a.
5yr Forecast
9.8%
p.a.

Basis: 5yr CAGR 13.6% + 10yr CAGR 12.6%

Growth drivers
  • +Low rental vacancy (1.6%) — constrained supply
Headwinds
  • Slow market (83 days avg) — buyer hesitancy
  • High supply pipeline (2252 new approvals) — may cap price growth

Suburb Metric Thresholds

10 green3 yellow3 red
Rental Vacancy Rate
1.6 high impact
Days on Market
83 high impact
Weekly Rent (house)
1050 medium impact
5yr Price CAGR
13.62 high impact
10yr Price CAGR
12.6 high impact
1yr Price Growth
14.6 medium impact
Population Growth
0.7 high impact
Median Household Income
2756 medium impact
Unemployment Rate
3.3 medium impact
Public Transport Score
4 medium impact
School Zone Quality
8.2 medium impact
Distance to CBD
34.55 medium impact
SEIFA Advantage/Disadvantage
10 medium impact
Owner Occupier Rate
82.9 medium impact
Gross Rental Yield (%)
1.55 high impact
Net Rental Yield (%)
0.05 high impact

Macro Environment

Macro Indicators

Cash Rate

4.35%

0.25%

Cash rate as at 2026-05-06 · Credit data 2026-04

Suburb Supply & Demand

Suburb Supply Pipeline — New Dwelling Approvals

627

2020

418

2021

423

2022

391

2023

393

2025

New dwelling approvals — higher numbers mean more future supply

Socio-Economic Profile

Source: ABS Census 2021

SEIFA Index · Postcode 2156

Most disadvantagedLeast disadvantaged

Decile 10 of 10 — Low disadvantage

Population

13,403

Education (IEO)

9/10

Econ. Resources (IER)

10/10

10-Year Investment Projection

Modelled on Annangrove NSW data — rent, capital growth, tax, and depreciation over 10 years.

Pre-filled: $1050/wk median rent for Annangrove. Capital growth and rent increase are editable assumptions.

Schools

In your catchment

Annangrove PS
PrimaryGovernment
8.2/10
Galston HS
SecondaryGovernment
6.9/10

These are the government-school zones containing this suburb centroid. Specific addresses within the suburb may fall in different catchments — confirm with the school directly.

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Data sourced from ABS, state government property sales, and Airbnb market analytics. For informational purposes only — not financial advice.