Wembley Downs WA Property Investment

Cambridge · 6019 · Score: 77/100 · Buy

Median House Price
$1.59M
Rental Yield
2.9%
Vacancy Rate
0.9%
Median Weekly Rent
$1075/wk
Median Unit Price
$872K
Population
6,743
Days on Market
18 days
Annual Growth
6.0%

Wembley Downs Short-Term Rental (Airbnb) Market

Avg Nightly Rate
$335.79/night
Occupancy Rate
%
Est. Annual Revenue
$80K
AI Investment Analysis

Wembley Downs WA Investment Brief

BUY2.9% gross yield on a $1,595,000$1,930,000 (sources disagree, range shown — do NOT quote a single number) median.

THE MARKET

Wembley Downs has compounded at 2.8%/yr over 5 years. Median sits in the $1,595,000$1,930,000 (sources disagree, range shown — do NOT quote a single number) band today. Properties are sitting on market for 18 days (sellers have the leverage).

  • Median house: $1,595,000$1,930,000 (sources disagree, range shown — do NOT quote a single number) | Units: $871,854
  • Gross yield: 2.9% | Net yield: 1.4%
  • 5yr price CAGR: 2.8%/yr | 3yr forecast: 13.5%/yr
  • Population: 6,743 | Owner-occupier rate: 64% | Affluence: Very High
  • Supply pipeline: Low — Price growth outpacing new supply, limited development pipeline

RENTAL SNAPSHOT

  • Vacancy: 0.9% (improving) | Rental demand: Very High
  • Median weekly rent: $1,075/wk | Days on market: 18 (improving)
  • Landlord market — rents likely to keep rising.

SHORT-TERM RENTAL

Insufficient STR data for this suburb. Run a specific address analysis for property-level STR projections.

INFRASTRUCTURE & CATALYSTS

  • METRONET (Perth Rail Expansion) (Under Construction)
  • Perth City Deal (Under Delivery)
  • Transport: Stirling station 3.7km away

BULL CASE

If Wembley Downs maintains 3%+ annual growth and vacancy stays below 0.8%, median prices could reach $2,254,000 within 3 years with yields compressing slightly as capital values rise.

BEAR CASE

A market correction or interest rate shock could see prices in Wembley Downs pull back 10-15% from $1,960,000, with vacancy rising to 1.6% and rental yields softening as tenants gain leverage.

KEY RISKS

  • No significant risk factors identified for this suburb

COMPARABLE MARKETS

  • North Perth (WA): $1,835,414 median, 2.5% yield, 18.8% 1yr growth
  • Booragoon (WA): $1,935,724 median, 2.5% yield, 51.1% 1yr growth
  • Mount Pleasant (WA): $2,152,430 median, 2.4% yield, 3.6% 1yr growth

THE PLAY

Wembley Downs presents a compelling investment opportunity. The combination of solid fundamentals and very high rental demand supports entry at current price levels. Proceed with due diligence on specific properties. Target gross yields above 2.9% and prioritise properties with value-add potential. Consider timing entry around the current recovery phase of the market cycle.

  • Entry range: $1,764,000$2,156,000
  • Minimum gross yield to target: 4.5%
  • Watch signal: vacancy staying below 2% and days on market holding under 35

This analysis is for informational purposes only and does not constitute financial, legal, or investment advice. Seek professional advice before making investment decisions.

Gentrification Index

Pre-gentrification3.5/10
High SEIFA decile — already upgraded or established affluent area
Inner/middle ring location (9.2km to CBD) — high gentrification corridor
Active development pipeline (566 approvals) — supply attracting new residents
Strong public transport infrastructure — supports walkable gentrification

Growth Forecast

high confidence
1yr Forecast
4.1%
p.a.
2yr Forecast
3.7%
p.a.
5yr Forecast
3.2%
p.a.

Basis: 5yr CAGR 2.8% + 10yr CAGR 4.0%

Growth drivers
  • +Above-average population growth (2.2%/yr)
  • +Very tight rental market (vacancy 0.9%) — upward price pressure
  • +Fast sales (18 days avg) — strong buyer demand
  • +Premium transport infrastructure — supports long-term capital growth
Headwinds
  • High supply pipeline (566 new approvals) — may cap price growth

Suburb Metric Thresholds

10 green3 yellow3 red
Rental Vacancy Rate
0.9 high impact
Days on Market
18 high impact
Weekly Rent (house)
1075 medium impact
5yr Price CAGR
2.82 high impact
10yr Price CAGR
4.05 high impact
1yr Price Growth
5.98 medium impact
Population Growth
2.25 high impact
Median Household Income
2188 medium impact
Unemployment Rate
3.6 medium impact
Public Transport Score
30 medium impact
School Zone Quality
8.5 medium impact
Distance to CBD
9.25 medium impact
SEIFA Advantage/Disadvantage
10 medium impact
Owner Occupier Rate
64 medium impact
Gross Rental Yield (%)
2.85 high impact
Net Rental Yield (%)
1.35 high impact

Macro Environment

Macro Indicators

Cash Rate

4.35%

0.25%

Cash rate as at 2026-05-06 · Credit data 2026-04

Suburb Supply & Demand

Suburb Supply Pipeline — New Dwelling Approvals

174

2020

105

2021

67

2022

104

2023

116

2025

New dwelling approvals — higher numbers mean more future supply

Socio-Economic Profile

Source: ABS Census 2021

SEIFA Index · Postcode 6019

Most disadvantagedLeast disadvantaged

Decile 10 of 10 — Low disadvantage

Population

24,351

Education (IEO)

10/10

Econ. Resources (IER)

7/10

10-Year Investment Projection

Modelled on Wembley Downs WA data — rent, capital growth, tax, and depreciation over 10 years.

Pre-filled: $1075/wk median rent for Wembley Downs. Capital growth and rent increase are editable assumptions.

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Data sourced from ABS, state government property sales, and Airbnb market analytics. For informational purposes only — not financial advice.