Ongerup WA Property Investment

Jerramungup · 6336 · Score: 46/100 · Caution

Median House Price
$85K
Rental Yield
8.3%
Vacancy Rate
3.0%
Median Weekly Rent
$135/wk
Median Unit Price
N/A
Population
114
Days on Market
45 days
Annual Growth
14.8%

Ongerup Short-Term Rental (Airbnb) Market

Avg Nightly Rate
$587.56/night
Occupancy Rate
37%
Est. Annual Revenue
$79K
AI Investment Analysis

Ongerup WA Investment Brief

CAUTION8.3% gross yield on a $85,000 (pending peer validation) median.

THE MARKET

Median house price in Ongerup sits at $85,000 (pending peer validation) with 45 days on market and a 3.0% vacancy rate. This is a tenant-favourable market right now.

  • Median house: $85,000 (pending peer validation) | Units: $0
  • Gross yield: 8.3% | Net yield: 6.8%
  • 5yr price CAGR: -0.2%/yr | 3yr forecast: 13.5%/yr
  • Population: 114 | Owner-occupier rate: 59% | Affluence: Above Average
  • Supply pipeline: Low — Price growth outpacing new supply, limited development pipeline

RENTAL SNAPSHOT

  • Vacancy: 3.0% (stable) | Rental demand: Moderate
  • Median weekly rent: $135/wk | Days on market: 45 (stable)
  • Tenant market — vacancy elevated, negotiate hard on rent.

SHORT-TERM RENTAL

  • Median nightly rate: $588/night | Occupancy: 37%
  • Estimated annual STR gross: ~$79,350/yr
  • vs long-term rent: $7,020/yr (+1030% STR premium — factor in higher management costs)

INFRASTRUCTURE & CATALYSTS

  • No major confirmed infrastructure projects on record.
  • Transport: Pingrup (Historical) station 48.0km away

BULL CASE

If Ongerup maintains 3%+ annual growth and vacancy stays below 2.1%, median prices could reach $97,750 within 3 years with yields compressing slightly as capital values rise.

BEAR CASE

A market correction or interest rate shock could see prices in Ongerup pull back 10-15% from $85,000, with vacancy rising to 5.0% and rental yields softening as tenants gain leverage.

KEY RISKS

  • Distance from CBD may limit long-term capital growth potential

COMPARABLE MARKETS

  • Kondinin (WA): $87,000 median, 7.2% yield, 20.8% 1yr growth
  • Wyndham (WA): $100,000 median, 6.4% yield, 25.0% 1yr growth
  • Miling (WA): $80,000 median, 9.0% yield, 0.0% 1yr growth

THE PLAY

Ongerup carries elevated risk that outweighs potential returns at current levels. A recovery market combined with moderate vacancy risk warrants caution. Avoid new acquisitions unless significant discount to median pricing is achievable. Re-evaluate if vacancy falls below 2.5% or annual price growth exceeds 3%.

  • Entry range: $76,500$93,500
  • Minimum gross yield to target: 8.6%
  • Watch signal: vacancy dropping below 2% and days on market falling below 35

This analysis is for informational purposes only and does not constitute financial, legal, or investment advice. Seek professional advice before making investment decisions.

Gentrification Index

Pre-gentrification2.5/10
Middle-tier SEIFA — moderate gentrification pressure
Active development pipeline (93 approvals) — supply attracting new residents

Growth Forecast

low confidence
1yr Forecast
7.2%
p.a.
2yr Forecast
6.6%
p.a.
5yr Forecast
5.7%
p.a.

Basis: 1yr growth 14.8% (heavily discounted — volatile)

Headwinds
  • Moderate supply pipeline (93 approvals)

Suburb Metric Thresholds

4 green4 yellow8 red
Rental Vacancy Rate
3 high impact
Days on Market
45 high impact
Weekly Rent (house)
135 medium impact
5yr Price CAGR
-0.17 high impact
10yr Price CAGR
0.82 high impact
1yr Price Growth
14.82 medium impact
Population Growth
0.78 high impact
Median Household Income
1369 medium impact
Unemployment Rate
2.5 medium impact
Public Transport Score
1.3 medium impact
School Zone Quality
4.6 medium impact
Distance to CBD
331.95 medium impact
SEIFA Advantage/Disadvantage
6 medium impact
Owner Occupier Rate
59.1 medium impact
Gross Rental Yield (%)
8.26 high impact
Net Rental Yield (%)
6.76 high impact

Macro Environment

Macro Indicators

Cash Rate

4.35%

0.25%

Cash rate as at 2026-05-06 · Credit data 2026-04

Suburb Supply & Demand

Suburb Supply Pipeline — New Dwelling Approvals

16

2020

17

2021

20

2022

19

2023

21

2025

New dwelling approvals — higher numbers mean more future supply

Socio-Economic Profile

Source: ABS Census 2021

SEIFA Index · Postcode 6336

Most disadvantagedLeast disadvantaged

Decile 6 of 10 — Average

Population

343

Education (IEO)

7/10

Econ. Resources (IER)

6/10

10-Year Investment Projection

Modelled on Ongerup WA data — rent, capital growth, tax, and depreciation over 10 years.

Pre-filled: $135/wk median rent for Ongerup. Capital growth and rent increase are editable assumptions.

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Data sourced from ABS, state government property sales, and Airbnb market analytics. For informational purposes only — not financial advice.