Northampton WA Property Investment

Northampton · 6535 · Score: 46/100 · Caution

Median House Price
$399K
Rental Yield
6.2%
Vacancy Rate
3.0%
Median Weekly Rent
$475/wk
Median Unit Price
$255K
Population
830
Days on Market
45 days
Annual Growth
21.7%

Northampton Short-Term Rental (Airbnb) Market

Avg Nightly Rate
$245.9/night
Occupancy Rate
30.8%
Est. Annual Revenue
$27K
AI Investment Analysis

Northampton WA Investment Brief

CAUTION6.2% gross yield on a $399,000 (pending peer validation) median.

THE MARKET

Northampton has compounded at 1.4%/yr over 5 years. Median sits in the $399,000 (pending peer validation) band today. Properties are sitting on market for 45 days (roughly balanced conditions).

  • Median house: $399,000 (pending peer validation) | Units: $254,807
  • Gross yield: 6.2% | Net yield: 4.7%
  • 5yr price CAGR: 1.4%/yr | 3yr forecast: 13.5%/yr
  • Population: 830 | Owner-occupier rate: 75% | Affluence: Below Average
  • Supply pipeline: Low — Price growth outpacing new supply, limited development pipeline

RENTAL SNAPSHOT

  • Vacancy: 3.0% (stable) | Rental demand: Moderate
  • Median weekly rent: $475/wk | Days on market: 45 (stable)
  • Tenant market — vacancy elevated, negotiate hard on rent.

SHORT-TERM RENTAL

  • Median nightly rate: $246/night | Occupancy: 31%
  • Estimated annual STR gross: ~$27,644/yr
  • vs long-term rent: $24,700/yr (+12% STR premium — factor in higher management costs)

INFRASTRUCTURE & CATALYSTS

  • No major confirmed infrastructure projects on record.
  • Transport: Nabawa station 22.6km away

BULL CASE

If Northampton maintains 3%+ annual growth and vacancy stays below 2.1%, median prices could reach $458,850 within 3 years with yields compressing slightly as capital values rise.

BEAR CASE

A market correction or interest rate shock could see prices in Northampton pull back 10-15% from $399,000, with vacancy rising to 5.0% and rental yields softening as tenants gain leverage.

KEY RISKS

  • Distance from CBD may limit long-term capital growth potential

COMPARABLE MARKETS

  • Badgingarra (WA): $450,000 median, 2.3% yield, 14.0% 1yr growth
  • Frankland River (WA): $342,634 median, 2.4% yield, 9.3% 1yr growth
  • Wagin (WA): $379,354 median, 4.6% yield, -3.5% 1yr growth

THE PLAY

Northampton carries elevated risk that outweighs potential returns at current levels. A recovery market combined with moderate vacancy risk warrants caution. Avoid new acquisitions unless significant discount to median pricing is achievable. Re-evaluate if vacancy falls below 2.5% or annual price growth exceeds 3%.

  • Entry range: $359,100$438,900
  • Minimum gross yield to target: 6.5%
  • Watch signal: vacancy dropping below 2% and days on market falling below 35

This analysis is for informational purposes only and does not constitute financial, legal, or investment advice. Seek professional advice before making investment decisions.

Gentrification Index

Pre-gentrification3.5/10
Low socioeconomic base — classic gentrification precondition
Active development pipeline (145 approvals) — supply attracting new residents

Growth Forecast

high confidence
1yr Forecast
1.5%
p.a.
2yr Forecast
1.4%
p.a.
5yr Forecast
1.2%
p.a.

Basis: 5yr CAGR 1.4% + 10yr CAGR 3.4%

Headwinds
  • High supply pipeline (145 new approvals) — may cap price growth

Suburb Metric Thresholds

4 green4 yellow8 red
Rental Vacancy Rate
3 high impact
Days on Market
45 high impact
Weekly Rent (house)
475 medium impact
5yr Price CAGR
1.45 high impact
10yr Price CAGR
3.4 high impact
1yr Price Growth
21.72 medium impact
Population Growth
0.16 high impact
Median Household Income
1068 medium impact
Unemployment Rate
5 medium impact
Public Transport Score
0 medium impact
School Zone Quality
4.2 medium impact
Distance to CBD
417.22 medium impact
SEIFA Advantage/Disadvantage
3 medium impact
Owner Occupier Rate
74.9 medium impact
Gross Rental Yield (%)
6.19 high impact
Net Rental Yield (%)
4.69 high impact

Macro Environment

Macro Indicators

Cash Rate

4.35%

0.25%

Cash rate as at 2026-05-06 · Credit data 2026-04

Suburb Supply & Demand

Suburb Supply Pipeline — New Dwelling Approvals

15

2020

31

2021

42

2022

26

2023

31

2025

New dwelling approvals — higher numbers mean more future supply

Socio-Economic Profile

Source: ABS Census 2021

SEIFA Index · Postcode 6535

Most disadvantagedLeast disadvantaged

Decile 2 of 10 — High disadvantage

Population

1,609

Education (IEO)

2/10

Econ. Resources (IER)

4/10

10-Year Investment Projection

Modelled on Northampton WA data — rent, capital growth, tax, and depreciation over 10 years.

Pre-filled: $475/wk median rent for Northampton. Capital growth and rent increase are editable assumptions.

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Data sourced from ABS, state government property sales, and Airbnb market analytics. For informational purposes only — not financial advice.