Newman WA Property Investment

East Pilbara · 6753 · Score: 61/100 · Hold

Median House Price
$384K
Rental Yield
10.8%
Vacancy Rate
3.0%
Median Weekly Rent
$800/wk
Median Unit Price
$297K
Population
6,456
Days on Market
45 days
Annual Growth
18.0%

Newman Short-Term Rental (Airbnb) Market

Avg Nightly Rate
$517.5/night
Occupancy Rate
37%
Est. Annual Revenue
$70K
AI Investment Analysis

Newman WA Investment Brief

HOLD$384,341 median with 24.0%/yr growth over 5 years.

THE MARKET

Newman has compounded at 24.0%/yr over 5 years — a house that cost $131,102 in 2021 is worth $384,341 today. Properties are sitting on market for 45 days (roughly balanced conditions). At the same growth rate, today's median reaches $1,126,744 by 2031.

  • Median house: $384,341 | Units: $297,028
  • Gross yield: 10.8% | Net yield: 9.3%
  • 5yr price CAGR: 24.0%/yr | 3yr forecast: 13.5%/yr
  • Population: 6,456 | Owner-occupier rate: 11% | Affluence: Above Average
  • Supply pipeline: Low — Price growth outpacing new supply, limited development pipeline

RENTAL SNAPSHOT

  • Vacancy: 3.0% (stable) | Rental demand: Moderate
  • Median weekly rent: $800/wk | Days on market: 45 (stable)
  • Tenant market — vacancy elevated, negotiate hard on rent.

SHORT-TERM RENTAL

  • Median nightly rate: $518/night | Occupancy: 37%
  • Estimated annual STR gross: ~$69,888/yr
  • vs long-term rent: $41,600/yr (+68% STR premium — factor in higher management costs)

INFRASTRUCTURE & CATALYSTS

  • Newman Hospital Expansion (completed)
  • Newman Shopping Centre Redevelopment (completed)
  • Transport: Standard suburban transport access

BULL CASE

If Newman maintains 3%+ annual growth and vacancy stays below 2.1%, median prices could reach $441,992 within 3 years with yields compressing slightly as capital values rise.

BEAR CASE

A market correction or interest rate shock could see prices in Newman pull back 10-15% from $384,341, with vacancy rising to 5.0% and rental yields softening as tenants gain leverage.

KEY RISKS

  • Distance from CBD may limit long-term capital growth potential

COMPARABLE MARKETS

  • Badgingarra (WA): $450,000 median, 2.3% yield, 14.0% 1yr growth
  • Useless Loop (WA): $322,000 median, 3.5% yield, 0.0% 1yr growth
  • Wongan Hills (WA): $355,000 median, 4.1% yield, 32.0% 1yr growth

THE PLAY

Newman offers balanced fundamentals but does not present an urgent buying signal. The market is in a boom phase with moderate vacancy risk. Monitor vacancy trends and price movements over the next 6-12 months. Only enter if a property can be acquired at or below median pricing with yields exceeding 11.3%.

  • Entry range: $345,907$422,775
  • Minimum gross yield to target: 11.1%
  • Watch signal: vacancy dropping below 2% and days on market falling below 35

This analysis is for informational purposes only and does not constitute financial, legal, or investment advice. Seek professional advice before making investment decisions.

Gentrification Index

Early gentrification signals4.5/10
Middle-tier SEIFA — moderate gentrification pressure
Strong capital growth (24.0% CAGR) — above national average
High renter base (77%) — room for tenure upgrade as area improves

Growth Forecast

high confidence
1yr Forecast
14.2%
p.a.
2yr Forecast
13.1%
p.a.
5yr Forecast
11.4%
p.a.

Basis: 5yr CAGR 24.0% + 10yr CAGR 16.3%

Headwinds
  • Population decline (-1.4%/yr) — demand headwind

Suburb Metric Thresholds

8 green3 yellow5 red
Rental Vacancy Rate
3 high impact
Days on Market
45 high impact
Weekly Rent (house)
800 medium impact
5yr Price CAGR
24 high impact
10yr Price CAGR
16.32 high impact
1yr Price Growth
18.03 medium impact
Population Growth
-1.35 high impact
Median Household Income
2850 medium impact
Unemployment Rate
3.3 medium impact
Public Transport Score
0 medium impact
School Zone Quality
7.2 medium impact
Distance to CBD
1069.88 medium impact
SEIFA Advantage/Disadvantage
6 medium impact
Owner Occupier Rate
11.3 medium impact
Gross Rental Yield (%)
10.82 high impact
Net Rental Yield (%)
9.32 high impact

Macro Environment

Macro Indicators

Cash Rate

4.35%

0.25%

Cash rate as at 2026-05-06 · Credit data 2026-04

Suburb Supply & Demand

Suburb Supply Pipeline — New Dwelling Approvals

2

2020

0

2021

1

2022

0

2023

8

2025

New dwelling approvals — higher numbers mean more future supply

Socio-Economic Profile

Source: ABS Census 2021

SEIFA Index · Postcode 6753

Most disadvantagedLeast disadvantaged

Decile 5 of 10 — Average

Population

6,761

Education (IEO)

3/10

Econ. Resources (IER)

2/10

10-Year Investment Projection

Modelled on Newman WA data — rent, capital growth, tax, and depreciation over 10 years.

Pre-filled: $800/wk median rent for Newman. Capital growth and rent increase are editable assumptions.

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Data sourced from ABS, state government property sales, and Airbnb market analytics. For informational purposes only — not financial advice.