Middle Swan WA Property Investment
Kalamunda · 6056 · Score: 64/100 · Hold
Middle Swan Short-Term Rental (Airbnb) Market
Middle Swan WA Investment Brief
HOLD — 4.0% gross yield on a $668,500–$740,000 (sources disagree, range shown — do NOT quote a single number) median.
THE MARKET
Middle Swan has compounded at 2.8%/yr over 5 years. Median sits in the $668,500–$740,000 (sources disagree, range shown — do NOT quote a single number) band today. Properties are sitting on market for 18 days (sellers have the leverage).
- Median house: $668,500–$740,000 (sources disagree, range shown — do NOT quote a single number) | Units: $557,361
- Gross yield: 4.0% | Net yield: 2.5%
- 5yr price CAGR: 2.8%/yr | 3yr forecast: 13.5%/yr
- Population: 2,852 | Owner-occupier rate: 69% | Affluence: Average
- Supply pipeline: Low — Price growth outpacing new supply, limited development pipeline
RENTAL SNAPSHOT
- Vacancy: 0.9% (improving) | Rental demand: Very High
- Median weekly rent: $620/wk | Days on market: 18 (improving)
- Landlord market — rents likely to keep rising.
SHORT-TERM RENTAL
Insufficient STR data for this suburb. Run a specific address analysis for property-level STR projections.
INFRASTRUCTURE & CATALYSTS
- METRONET (Perth Rail Expansion) (Under Construction)
- Transport: Midland station 2.6km away
BULL CASE
If Middle Swan maintains 3%+ annual growth and vacancy stays below 0.8%, median prices could reach $920,000 within 3 years with yields compressing slightly as capital values rise.
BEAR CASE
A market correction or interest rate shock could see prices in Middle Swan pull back 10-15% from $800,000, with vacancy rising to 1.6% and rental yields softening as tenants gain leverage.
KEY RISKS
- No significant risk factors identified for this suburb
COMPARABLE MARKETS
- Mandurah (WA): $746,319 median, 3.8% yield, 16.5% 1yr growth
- Balga (WA): $750,000 median, 5.0% yield, 14.1% 1yr growth
- Girrawheen (WA): $775,000 median, 4.4% yield, 16.5% 1yr growth
THE PLAY
Middle Swan offers balanced fundamentals but does not present an urgent buying signal. The market is in a recovery phase with low vacancy risk. Monitor vacancy trends and price movements over the next 6-12 months. Only enter if a property can be acquired at or below median pricing with yields exceeding 4.5%.
- Entry range: $720,000 – $880,000
- Minimum gross yield to target: 4.5%
- Watch signal: vacancy staying below 2% and days on market holding under 35
This analysis is for informational purposes only and does not constitute financial, legal, or investment advice. Seek professional advice before making investment decisions.
Gentrification Index
Growth Forecast
high confidenceBasis: 5yr CAGR 2.8% + 10yr CAGR 4.1%
- +Very tight rental market (vacancy 0.9%) — upward price pressure
- +Fast sales (18 days avg) — strong buyer demand
- −High supply pipeline (1220 new approvals) — may cap price growth
Suburb Metric Thresholds
Macro Environment
Macro Indicators
Cash Rate
4.35%
▲ 0.25%Cash rate as at 2026-05-06 · Credit data 2026-04
Suburb Supply & Demand
Suburb Supply Pipeline — New Dwelling Approvals
170
2020
412
2021
284
2022
142
2023
212
2025
New dwelling approvals — higher numbers mean more future supply
Socio-Economic Profile
Source: ABS Census 2021SEIFA Index · Postcode 6056
Decile 4 of 10 — Average
Population
41,172
Education (IEO)
3/10
Econ. Resources (IER)
5/10
10-Year Investment Projection
Modelled on Middle Swan WA data — rent, capital growth, tax, and depreciation over 10 years.
Pre-filled: $620/wk median rent for Middle Swan. Capital growth and rent increase are editable assumptions.
Nearby Suburbs
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Analyse a Property →Data sourced from ABS, state government property sales, and Airbnb market analytics. For informational purposes only — not financial advice.