Marble Bar WA Property Investment
Port Hedland · 6760 · Score: 42/100 · Caution
Marble Bar Short-Term Rental (Airbnb) Market
Marble Bar WA Investment Brief
CAUTION — 1.5% gross yield on a $337,922 (pending peer validation) median.
THE MARKET
Marble Bar has compounded at 1.6%/yr over 5 years. Median sits in the $337,922 (pending peer validation) band today. Properties are sitting on market for 45 days (roughly balanced conditions).
- Median house: $337,922 (pending peer validation) | Units: $213,973
- Gross yield: 1.5% | Net yield: 0.0%
- 5yr price CAGR: 1.6%/yr | 3yr forecast: 1.8%/yr
- Population: 927 | Owner-occupier rate: 22% | Affluence: Low
- Supply pipeline: Moderate — Strong population growth likely attracting new development approvals
RENTAL SNAPSHOT
- Vacancy: 3.0% (stable) | Rental demand: Moderate
- Median weekly rent: $100/wk | Days on market: 45 (stable)
- Tenant market — vacancy elevated, negotiate hard on rent.
SHORT-TERM RENTAL
- Median nightly rate: $740/night | Occupancy: 37%
- Estimated annual STR gross: ~$99,869/yr
- vs long-term rent: $5,200/yr (+1821% STR premium — factor in higher management costs)
INFRASTRUCTURE & CATALYSTS
- No major confirmed infrastructure projects on record.
- Transport: Standard suburban transport access
BULL CASE
If Marble Bar maintains 8%+ annual growth and vacancy stays below 2.1%, median prices could reach $388,610 within 3 years with yields compressing slightly as capital values rise.
BEAR CASE
A market correction or interest rate shock could see prices in Marble Bar pull back 10-15% from $337,922, with vacancy rising to 5.0% and rental yields softening as tenants gain leverage.
KEY RISKS
- Distance from CBD may limit long-term capital growth potential
COMPARABLE MARKETS
- Useless Loop (WA): $322,000 median, 3.5% yield, 0.0% 1yr growth
- Wongan Hills (WA): $355,000 median, 4.1% yield, 32.0% 1yr growth
- Moora (WA): $307,000 median, 6.5% yield, 0.8% 1yr growth
THE PLAY
Marble Bar carries elevated risk that outweighs potential returns at current levels. A growth market combined with moderate vacancy risk warrants caution. Avoid new acquisitions unless significant discount to median pricing is achievable. Re-evaluate if vacancy falls below 2.5% or annual price growth exceeds 3%.
- Entry range: $304,130 – $371,714
- Minimum gross yield to target: 4.5%
- Watch signal: vacancy dropping below 2% and days on market falling below 35
This analysis is for informational purposes only and does not constitute financial, legal, or investment advice. Seek professional advice before making investment decisions.
Gentrification Index
Growth Forecast
low confidenceBasis: National long-run average (no local data)
- +Strong population growth (7.9%/yr) driving demand
- −High supply pipeline (126 new approvals) — may cap price growth
Suburb Metric Thresholds
Macro Environment
Macro Indicators
Cash Rate
4.35%
▲ 0.25%Cash rate as at 2026-05-06 · Credit data 2026-04
Suburb Supply & Demand
Suburb Supply Pipeline — New Dwelling Approvals
5
2020
31
2021
34
2022
11
2023
45
2025
New dwelling approvals — higher numbers mean more future supply
Socio-Economic Profile
Source: ABS Census 2021SEIFA Index · Postcode 6760
Decile 1 of 10 — High disadvantage
Population
927
Education (IEO)
1/10
Econ. Resources (IER)
1/10
10-Year Investment Projection
Modelled on Marble Bar WA data — rent, capital growth, tax, and depreciation over 10 years.
Pre-filled: $100/wk median rent for Marble Bar. Capital growth and rent increase are editable assumptions.
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Analyse a Property →Data sourced from ABS, state government property sales, and Airbnb market analytics. For informational purposes only — not financial advice.