Lake Coogee WA Property Investment

Cockburn · 6166 · Score: 75/100 · Buy

Median House Price
$902K
Rental Yield
3.9%
Vacancy Rate
0.9%
Median Weekly Rent
$825/wk
Median Unit Price
$775K
Population
4,768
Days on Market
18 days
Annual Growth
17.1%

Lake Coogee Short-Term Rental (Airbnb) Market

Avg Nightly Rate
$297.29/night
Occupancy Rate
%
Est. Annual Revenue
$71K
AI Investment Analysis

Lake Coogee WA Investment Brief

BUY3.9% gross yield on a $902,000$1,060,000 (sources disagree, range shown — do NOT quote a single number) median.

THE MARKET

Lake Coogee has compounded at 2.9%/yr over 5 years. Median sits in the $902,000$1,060,000 (sources disagree, range shown — do NOT quote a single number) band today. Properties are sitting on market for 18 days (sellers have the leverage).

  • Median house: $902,000$1,060,000 (sources disagree, range shown — do NOT quote a single number) | Units: $774,973
  • Gross yield: 3.9% | Net yield: 2.4%
  • 5yr price CAGR: 2.9%/yr | 3yr forecast: 13.5%/yr
  • Population: 4,768 | Owner-occupier rate: 84% | Affluence: High
  • Supply pipeline: Moderate — Strong population growth likely attracting new development approvals

RENTAL SNAPSHOT

  • Vacancy: 0.9% (improving) | Rental demand: Very High
  • Median weekly rent: $825/wk | Days on market: 18 (improving)
  • Landlord market — rents likely to keep rising.

SHORT-TERM RENTAL

Insufficient STR data for this suburb. Run a specific address analysis for property-level STR projections.

INFRASTRUCTURE & CATALYSTS

  • METRONET (Perth Rail Expansion) (Under Construction)
  • Transport: Standard suburban transport access

BULL CASE

If Lake Coogee maintains 3%+ annual growth and vacancy stays below 0.8%, median prices could reach $1,265,000 within 3 years with yields compressing slightly as capital values rise.

BEAR CASE

A market correction or interest rate shock could see prices in Lake Coogee pull back 10-15% from $1,100,000, with vacancy rising to 1.6% and rental yields softening as tenants gain leverage.

KEY RISKS

  • No significant risk factors identified for this suburb

COMPARABLE MARKETS

  • Girrawheen (WA): $775,000 median, 4.4% yield, 16.5% 1yr growth
  • Mirrabooka (WA): $800,000 median, 4.5% yield, 13.2% 1yr growth
  • Champion Lakes (WA): $857,315 median, 4.5% yield, 3.4% 1yr growth

THE PLAY

Lake Coogee presents a compelling investment opportunity. The combination of solid fundamentals and very high rental demand supports entry at current price levels. Proceed with due diligence on specific properties. Target gross yields above 3.9% and prioritise properties with value-add potential. Consider timing entry around the current recovery phase of the market cycle.

  • Entry range: $990,000$1,210,000
  • Minimum gross yield to target: 4.5%
  • Watch signal: vacancy staying below 2% and days on market holding under 35

This analysis is for informational purposes only and does not constitute financial, legal, or investment advice. Seek professional advice before making investment decisions.

Gentrification Index

Pre-gentrification2.5/10
High SEIFA decile — already upgraded or established affluent area
Outer suburban location (20.9km to CBD) — slower gentrification cycle
Active development pipeline (5782 approvals) — supply attracting new residents
Strong public transport infrastructure — supports walkable gentrification

Growth Forecast

high confidence
1yr Forecast
4.8%
p.a.
2yr Forecast
4.4%
p.a.
5yr Forecast
3.8%
p.a.

Basis: 5yr CAGR 2.9% + 10yr CAGR 5.1%

Growth drivers
  • +Strong population growth (2.6%/yr) driving demand
  • +Very tight rental market (vacancy 0.9%) — upward price pressure
  • +Fast sales (18 days avg) — strong buyer demand
Headwinds
  • High supply pipeline (5782 new approvals) — may cap price growth

Suburb Metric Thresholds

10 green3 yellow3 red
Rental Vacancy Rate
0.9 high impact
Days on Market
18 high impact
Weekly Rent (house)
825 medium impact
5yr Price CAGR
2.92 high impact
10yr Price CAGR
5.14 high impact
1yr Price Growth
17.14 medium impact
Population Growth
2.56 high impact
Median Household Income
2119 medium impact
Unemployment Rate
3.5 medium impact
Public Transport Score
6.8 medium impact
School Zone Quality
7 medium impact
Distance to CBD
20.95 medium impact
SEIFA Advantage/Disadvantage
8 medium impact
Owner Occupier Rate
83.7 medium impact
Gross Rental Yield (%)
3.9 high impact
Net Rental Yield (%)
2.4 high impact

Macro Environment

Macro Indicators

Cash Rate

4.35%

0.25%

Cash rate as at 2026-05-06 · Credit data 2026-04

Suburb Supply & Demand

Suburb Supply Pipeline — New Dwelling Approvals

1,120

2020

1,836

2021

1,034

2022

779

2023

1,013

2025

New dwelling approvals — higher numbers mean more future supply

Socio-Economic Profile

Source: ABS Census 2021

SEIFA Index · Postcode 6166

Most disadvantagedLeast disadvantaged

Decile 8 of 10 — Low disadvantage

Population

10,792

Education (IEO)

6/10

Econ. Resources (IER)

9/10

10-Year Investment Projection

Modelled on Lake Coogee WA data — rent, capital growth, tax, and depreciation over 10 years.

Pre-filled: $825/wk median rent for Lake Coogee. Capital growth and rent increase are editable assumptions.

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Data sourced from ABS, state government property sales, and Airbnb market analytics. For informational purposes only — not financial advice.