Kirup WA Property Investment

Donnybrook-Balingup · 6251 · Score: 43/100 · Caution

Median House Price
$690K
Rental Yield
2.1%
Vacancy Rate
3.0%
Median Weekly Rent
$285/wk
Median Unit Price
$277K
Population
156
Days on Market
45 days
Annual Growth
13.0%

Kirup Short-Term Rental (Airbnb) Market

Avg Nightly Rate
$300.4/night
Occupancy Rate
%
Est. Annual Revenue
$71K
AI Investment Analysis

Kirup WA Investment Brief

CAUTION2.1% gross yield on a $690,000 (pending peer validation) median.

THE MARKET

Kirup has compounded at 4.4%/yr over 5 years. Median sits in the $690,000 (pending peer validation) band today. Properties are sitting on market for 45 days (roughly balanced conditions).

  • Median house: $690,000 (pending peer validation) | Units: $277,400
  • Gross yield: 2.1% | Net yield: 0.7%
  • 5yr price CAGR: 4.4%/yr | 3yr forecast: 13.5%/yr
  • Population: 156 | Owner-occupier rate: 80% | Affluence: Average
  • Supply pipeline: Low — Price growth outpacing new supply, limited development pipeline

RENTAL SNAPSHOT

  • Vacancy: 3.0% (stable) | Rental demand: Moderate
  • Median weekly rent: $285/wk | Days on market: 45 (stable)
  • Tenant market — vacancy elevated, negotiate hard on rent.

SHORT-TERM RENTAL

Insufficient STR data for this suburb. Run a specific address analysis for property-level STR projections.

INFRASTRUCTURE & CATALYSTS

  • No major confirmed infrastructure projects on record.
  • Transport: Boyanup station 29.7km away

BULL CASE

If Kirup maintains 3%+ annual growth and vacancy stays below 2.1%, median prices could reach $793,500 within 3 years with yields compressing slightly as capital values rise.

BEAR CASE

A market correction or interest rate shock could see prices in Kirup pull back 10-15% from $690,000, with vacancy rising to 5.0% and rental yields softening as tenants gain leverage.

KEY RISKS

  • Distance from CBD may limit long-term capital growth potential

COMPARABLE MARKETS

  • Mandurah (WA): $746,319 median, 3.8% yield, 16.5% 1yr growth
  • Balga (WA): $750,000 median, 5.0% yield, 14.1% 1yr growth
  • Girrawheen (WA): $775,000 median, 4.4% yield, 16.5% 1yr growth

THE PLAY

Kirup carries elevated risk that outweighs potential returns at current levels. A stable market combined with moderate vacancy risk warrants caution. Avoid new acquisitions unless significant discount to median pricing is achievable. Re-evaluate if vacancy falls below 2.5% or annual price growth exceeds 3%.

  • Entry range: $621,000$759,000
  • Minimum gross yield to target: 4.5%
  • Watch signal: vacancy dropping below 2% and days on market falling below 35

This analysis is for informational purposes only and does not constitute financial, legal, or investment advice. Seek professional advice before making investment decisions.

Gentrification Index

Early gentrification signals4.0/10
Low socioeconomic base — classic gentrification precondition
Moderate capital growth (4.4% CAGR)
Active development pipeline (219 approvals) — supply attracting new residents

Growth Forecast

low confidence
1yr Forecast
2.8%
p.a.
2yr Forecast
2.6%
p.a.
5yr Forecast
2.3%
p.a.

Basis: 5yr CAGR 4.4% + 10yr CAGR 4.3%

Headwinds
  • Population decline (-4.2%/yr) — demand headwind
  • High supply pipeline (219 new approvals) — may cap price growth

Suburb Metric Thresholds

2 green6 yellow8 red
Rental Vacancy Rate
3 high impact
Days on Market
45 high impact
Weekly Rent (house)
285 medium impact
5yr Price CAGR
4.37 high impact
10yr Price CAGR
4.32 high impact
1yr Price Growth
12.98 medium impact
Population Growth
-4.24 high impact
Median Household Income
1267 medium impact
Unemployment Rate
4.4 medium impact
Public Transport Score
0 medium impact
School Zone Quality
5.4 medium impact
Distance to CBD
195.63 medium impact
SEIFA Advantage/Disadvantage
4 medium impact
Owner Occupier Rate
80.5 medium impact
Gross Rental Yield (%)
2.15 high impact
Net Rental Yield (%)
0.65 high impact

Macro Environment

Macro Indicators

Cash Rate

4.35%

0.25%

Cash rate as at 2026-05-06 · Credit data 2026-04

Suburb Supply & Demand

Suburb Supply Pipeline — New Dwelling Approvals

30

2020

69

2021

43

2022

26

2023

51

2025

New dwelling approvals — higher numbers mean more future supply

Socio-Economic Profile

Source: ABS Census 2021

SEIFA Index · Postcode 6251

Most disadvantagedLeast disadvantaged

Decile 4 of 10 — Average

Population

310

Education (IEO)

3/10

Econ. Resources (IER)

7/10

10-Year Investment Projection

Modelled on Kirup WA data — rent, capital growth, tax, and depreciation over 10 years.

Pre-filled: $285/wk median rent for Kirup. Capital growth and rent increase are editable assumptions.

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Data sourced from ABS, state government property sales, and Airbnb market analytics. For informational purposes only — not financial advice.

Kirup WA Property Market — Median, Growth, Yield | Estait