Exmouth WA Property Investment

Ashburton · 6707 · Score: 63/100 · Hold

Median House Price
$974K
Rental Yield
5.1%
Vacancy Rate
3.0%
Median Weekly Rent
$950/wk
Median Unit Price
$653K
Population
2,806
Days on Market
45 days
Annual Growth
12.7%

Exmouth Short-Term Rental (Airbnb) Market

Avg Nightly Rate
$427.56/night
Occupancy Rate
40.84%
Est. Annual Revenue
$64K
AI Investment Analysis

Exmouth WA Investment Brief

HOLD5.1% gross yield on a $973,652 (pending peer validation) median.

THE MARKET

Exmouth has compounded at 2.6%/yr over 5 years. Median sits in the $973,652 (pending peer validation) band today. Properties are sitting on market for 45 days (roughly balanced conditions).

  • Median house: $973,652 (pending peer validation) | Units: $652,811
  • Gross yield: 5.1% | Net yield: 3.6%
  • 5yr price CAGR: 2.6%/yr | 3yr forecast: 13.5%/yr
  • Population: 2,806 | Owner-occupier rate: 54% | Affluence: High
  • Supply pipeline: Moderate — Strong population growth likely attracting new development approvals

RENTAL SNAPSHOT

  • Vacancy: 3.0% (stable) | Rental demand: Moderate
  • Median weekly rent: $950/wk | Days on market: 45 (stable)
  • Tenant market — vacancy elevated, negotiate hard on rent.

SHORT-TERM RENTAL

  • Median nightly rate: $428/night | Occupancy: 41%
  • Estimated annual STR gross: ~$63,735/yr
  • vs long-term rent: $49,400/yr (+29% STR premium — factor in higher management costs)

INFRASTRUCTURE & CATALYSTS

  • No major confirmed infrastructure projects on record.
  • Transport: Standard suburban transport access

BULL CASE

If Exmouth maintains 3%+ annual growth and vacancy stays below 2.1%, median prices could reach $1,119,700 within 3 years with yields compressing slightly as capital values rise.

BEAR CASE

A market correction or interest rate shock could see prices in Exmouth pull back 10-15% from $973,652, with vacancy rising to 5.0% and rental yields softening as tenants gain leverage.

KEY RISKS

  • Distance from CBD may limit long-term capital growth potential

COMPARABLE MARKETS

  • Waggrakine (WA): $681,672 median, 4.7% yield, 15.2% 1yr growth
  • Strathalbyn (WA): $850,000 median, 2.2% yield, 23.1% 1yr growth
  • Chidlow (WA): $1,130,398 median, 1.8% yield, 0.0% 1yr growth

THE PLAY

Exmouth offers balanced fundamentals but does not present an urgent buying signal. The market is in a recovery phase with moderate vacancy risk. Monitor vacancy trends and price movements over the next 6-12 months. Only enter if a property can be acquired at or below median pricing with yields exceeding 5.6%.

  • Entry range: $876,287$1,071,017
  • Minimum gross yield to target: 5.4%
  • Watch signal: vacancy dropping below 2% and days on market falling below 35

This analysis is for informational purposes only and does not constitute financial, legal, or investment advice. Seek professional advice before making investment decisions.

Gentrification Index

Pre-gentrification3.0/10
Middle-tier SEIFA — moderate gentrification pressure
Mixed tenure (41% renters) — transitional suburb profile
Active development pipeline (63 approvals) — supply attracting new residents

Growth Forecast

high confidence
1yr Forecast
3.7%
p.a.
2yr Forecast
3.4%
p.a.
5yr Forecast
2.9%
p.a.

Basis: 5yr CAGR 2.6% + 10yr CAGR 4.0%

Growth drivers
  • +Strong population growth (2.5%/yr) driving demand
Headwinds
  • Moderate supply pipeline (63 approvals)

Suburb Metric Thresholds

4 green8 yellow4 red
Rental Vacancy Rate
3 high impact
Days on Market
45 high impact
Weekly Rent (house)
950 medium impact
5yr Price CAGR
2.61 high impact
10yr Price CAGR
3.99 high impact
1yr Price Growth
12.74 medium impact
Population Growth
2.53 high impact
Median Household Income
1983 medium impact
Unemployment Rate
2.6 medium impact
Public Transport Score
0 medium impact
School Zone Quality
6.5 medium impact
Distance to CBD
1127.24 medium impact
SEIFA Advantage/Disadvantage
5 medium impact
Owner Occupier Rate
54.3 medium impact
Gross Rental Yield (%)
5.07 high impact
Net Rental Yield (%)
3.57 high impact

Macro Environment

Macro Indicators

Cash Rate

4.35%

0.25%

Cash rate as at 2026-05-06 · Credit data 2026-04

Suburb Supply & Demand

Suburb Supply Pipeline — New Dwelling Approvals

2

2020

14

2021

10

2022

20

2023

17

2025

New dwelling approvals — higher numbers mean more future supply

Socio-Economic Profile

Source: ABS Census 2021

SEIFA Index · Postcode 6707

Most disadvantagedLeast disadvantaged

Decile 8 of 10 — Low disadvantage

Population

3,074

Education (IEO)

4/10

Econ. Resources (IER)

5/10

10-Year Investment Projection

Modelled on Exmouth WA data — rent, capital growth, tax, and depreciation over 10 years.

Pre-filled: $950/wk median rent for Exmouth. Capital growth and rent increase are editable assumptions.

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Data sourced from ABS, state government property sales, and Airbnb market analytics. For informational purposes only — not financial advice.