Bibra Lake WA Property Investment
Fremantle · 6163 · Score: 64/100 · Hold
Bibra Lake Short-Term Rental (Airbnb) Market
Bibra Lake WA Investment Brief
HOLD — 3.5% gross yield on a $921,500–$1,040,000 (sources disagree, range shown — do NOT quote a single number) median.
THE MARKET
Bibra Lake has compounded at 1.8%/yr over 5 years. Median sits in the $921,500–$1,040,000 (sources disagree, range shown — do NOT quote a single number) band today. Properties are sitting on market for 18 days (sellers have the leverage).
- Median house: $921,500–$1,040,000 (sources disagree, range shown — do NOT quote a single number) | Units: $529,034
- Gross yield: 3.5% | Net yield: 2.0%
- 5yr price CAGR: 1.8%/yr | 3yr forecast: 13.5%/yr
- Population: 5,892 | Owner-occupier rate: 70% | Affluence: High
- Supply pipeline: Low — Price growth outpacing new supply, limited development pipeline
RENTAL SNAPSHOT
- Vacancy: 0.9% (improving) | Rental demand: Very High
- Median weekly rent: $800/wk | Days on market: 18 (improving)
- Landlord market — rents likely to keep rising.
SHORT-TERM RENTAL
- Median nightly rate: $409/night | Occupancy: 37%
- Estimated annual STR gross: ~$55,261/yr
- vs long-term rent: $41,600/yr (+33% STR premium — factor in higher management costs)
INFRASTRUCTURE & CATALYSTS
- METRONET (Perth Rail Expansion) (Under Construction)
- Transport: Standard suburban transport access
BULL CASE
If Bibra Lake maintains 3%+ annual growth and vacancy stays below 0.8%, median prices could reach $1,354,792 within 3 years with yields compressing slightly as capital values rise.
BEAR CASE
A market correction or interest rate shock could see prices in Bibra Lake pull back 10-15% from $1,178,080, with vacancy rising to 1.6% and rental yields softening as tenants gain leverage.
KEY RISKS
- No significant risk factors identified for this suburb
COMPARABLE MARKETS
- Champion Lakes (WA): $857,315 median, 4.5% yield, 3.4% 1yr growth
- Guildford (WA): $1,130,000 median, 3.6% yield, 18.3% 1yr growth
- Rockingham (WA): $938,808 median, 3.5% yield, 15.2% 1yr growth
THE PLAY
Bibra Lake offers balanced fundamentals but does not present an urgent buying signal. The market is in a recovery phase with low vacancy risk. Monitor vacancy trends and price movements over the next 6-12 months. Only enter if a property can be acquired at or below median pricing with yields exceeding 4.0%.
- Entry range: $1,060,272 – $1,295,888
- Minimum gross yield to target: 4.5%
- Watch signal: vacancy staying below 2% and days on market holding under 35
This analysis is for informational purposes only and does not constitute financial, legal, or investment advice. Seek professional advice before making investment decisions.
Gentrification Index
Growth Forecast
high confidenceBasis: 5yr CAGR 1.8% + 10yr CAGR 4.4%
- +Above-average population growth (1.7%/yr)
- +Very tight rental market (vacancy 0.9%) — upward price pressure
- +Fast sales (18 days avg) — strong buyer demand
- −High supply pipeline (1206 new approvals) — may cap price growth
Suburb Metric Thresholds
Macro Environment
Macro Indicators
Cash Rate
4.35%
▲ 0.25%Cash rate as at 2026-05-06 · Credit data 2026-04
Suburb Supply & Demand
Suburb Supply Pipeline — New Dwelling Approvals
196
2020
138
2021
156
2022
236
2023
480
2025
New dwelling approvals — higher numbers mean more future supply
Socio-Economic Profile
Source: ABS Census 2021SEIFA Index · Postcode 6163
Decile 6 of 10 — Average
Population
54,704
Education (IEO)
7/10
Econ. Resources (IER)
5/10
10-Year Investment Projection
Modelled on Bibra Lake WA data — rent, capital growth, tax, and depreciation over 10 years.
Pre-filled: $800/wk median rent for Bibra Lake. Capital growth and rent increase are editable assumptions.
Nearby Suburbs
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Analyse a Property →Data sourced from ABS, state government property sales, and Airbnb market analytics. For informational purposes only — not financial advice.