Wonga Park VIC Property Investment

Maroondah · 3115 · Score: 66/100 · Buy

Median House Price
$1.45M
Rental Yield
3.0%
Vacancy Rate
2.2%
Median Weekly Rent
$835/wk
Median Unit Price
$1.01M
Population
3,843
Days on Market
32 days
Annual Growth
11.0%
AI Investment Analysis

Wonga Park VIC Investment Brief

BUY3.0% gross yield on a $1,445,948 (pending peer validation) median.

THE MARKET

Wonga Park has compounded at 6.2%/yr over 5 years. Median sits in the $1,445,948 (pending peer validation) band today. Properties are sitting on market for 32 days (roughly balanced conditions).

  • Median house: $1,445,948 (pending peer validation) | Units: $1,012,953
  • Gross yield: 3.0% | Net yield: 1.5%
  • 5yr price CAGR: 6.2%/yr | 3yr forecast: 3.9%/yr
  • Population: 3,843 | Owner-occupier rate: 93% | Affluence: Very High
  • Supply pipeline: Moderate — Development activity consistent with long-term averages

RENTAL SNAPSHOT

  • Vacancy: 2.2% (improving) | Rental demand: High
  • Median weekly rent: $835/wk | Days on market: 32 (stable)
  • Balanced market — vacancy manageable but monitor trend.

SHORT-TERM RENTAL

Insufficient STR data for this suburb. Run a specific address analysis for property-level STR projections.

INFRASTRUCTURE & CATALYSTS

  • Angliss Hospital Expansion (Under Delivery)
  • Transport: Standard suburban transport access

BULL CASE

If Wonga Park maintains 3%+ annual growth and vacancy stays below 1.5%, median prices could reach $1,662,840 within 3 years with yields compressing slightly as capital values rise.

BEAR CASE

A market correction or interest rate shock could see prices in Wonga Park pull back 10-15% from $1,445,948, with vacancy rising to 4.0% and rental yields softening as tenants gain leverage.

KEY RISKS

  • Bushfire risk: HIGH (planning_overlay) — confirm BAL rating and any bushfire overlay obligations for the property

COMPARABLE MARKETS

  • Flemington (VIC): $1,200,000 median, 2.8% yield, 2.3% 1yr growth
  • Altona East (VIC): $1,250,000 median, 1.7% yield, 0.0% 1yr growth
  • Carlton (VIC): $1,400,000 median, 3.1% yield, 8.7% 1yr growth

THE PLAY

Wonga Park presents a compelling investment opportunity. The combination of solid fundamentals and high rental demand supports entry at current price levels. Proceed with due diligence on specific properties. Target gross yields above 3.0% and prioritise properties with value-add potential. Consider timing entry around the current stable phase of the market cycle.

  • Entry range: $1,301,353$1,590,543
  • Minimum gross yield to target: 4.5%
  • Watch signal: vacancy dropping below 2% and days on market holding under 35

This analysis is for informational purposes only and does not constitute financial, legal, or investment advice. Seek professional advice before making investment decisions.

Gentrification Index

Pre-gentrification2.5/10
High SEIFA decile — already upgraded or established affluent area
Moderate capital growth (6.2% CAGR)
Outer suburban location (27.4km to CBD) — slower gentrification cycle
Active development pipeline (3115 approvals) — supply attracting new residents

Growth Forecast

high confidence
1yr Forecast
5.5%
p.a.
2yr Forecast
5.1%
p.a.
5yr Forecast
4.4%
p.a.

Basis: 5yr CAGR 6.2% + 10yr CAGR 5.8%

Growth drivers
  • +Low rental vacancy (2.2%) — constrained supply
Headwinds
  • High supply pipeline (3115 new approvals) — may cap price growth

Suburb Metric Thresholds

8 green4 yellow4 red
Rental Vacancy Rate
2.2 high impact
Days on Market
32 high impact
Weekly Rent (house)
835 medium impact
5yr Price CAGR
6.15 high impact
10yr Price CAGR
5.77 high impact
1yr Price Growth
10.96 medium impact
Population Growth
0.25 high impact
Median Household Income
2790 medium impact
Unemployment Rate
3.1 medium impact
Public Transport Score
0 medium impact
School Zone Quality
7.7 medium impact
Distance to CBD
27.45 medium impact
SEIFA Advantage/Disadvantage
9 medium impact
Owner Occupier Rate
93.1 medium impact
Gross Rental Yield (%)
3 high impact
Net Rental Yield (%)
1.5 high impact

Macro Environment

Macro Indicators

Cash Rate

4.35%

0.25%

Cash rate as at 2026-05-06 · Credit data 2026-04

Suburb Supply & Demand

Suburb Supply Pipeline — New Dwelling Approvals

884

2020

546

2021

655

2022

675

2023

355

2025

New dwelling approvals — higher numbers mean more future supply

Socio-Economic Profile

Source: ABS Census 2021

SEIFA Index · Postcode 3115

Most disadvantagedLeast disadvantaged

Decile 10 of 10 — Low disadvantage

Population

3,843

Education (IEO)

8/10

Econ. Resources (IER)

10/10

10-Year Investment Projection

Modelled on Wonga Park VIC data — rent, capital growth, tax, and depreciation over 10 years.

Pre-filled: $835/wk median rent for Wonga Park. Capital growth and rent increase are editable assumptions.

Schools

In your catchment

Wonga Park Primary School
PrimaryGovernment
7.7/10
Mooroolbark College
SecondaryGovernment
5.9/10

These are the government-school zones containing this suburb centroid. Specific addresses within the suburb may fall in different catchments — confirm with the school directly.

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Data sourced from ABS, state government property sales, and Airbnb market analytics. For informational purposes only — not financial advice.