West Footscray VIC Property Investment

Brimbank · 3012 · Score: 68/100 · Buy

Median House Price
$1.03M
Rental Yield
3.2%
Vacancy Rate
2.2%
Median Weekly Rent
$645/wk
Median Unit Price
$523K
Population
11,729
Days on Market
32 days
Annual Growth
3.3%

West Footscray Short-Term Rental (Airbnb) Market

Avg Nightly Rate
$418.38/night
Occupancy Rate
48%
Est. Annual Revenue
$73K
AI Investment Analysis

West Footscray VIC Investment Brief

BUY3.2% gross yield on a $1,034,647 (single source — OnTheHouse only, no peer to validate) median.

THE MARKET

West Footscray has compounded at 4.4%/yr over 5 years. Median sits in the $1,034,647 (single source — OnTheHouse only, no peer to validate) band today. Properties are sitting on market for 32 days (roughly balanced conditions).

  • Median house: $1,034,647 (single source — OnTheHouse only, no peer to validate) | Units: $523,310
  • Gross yield: 3.2% | Net yield: 1.7%
  • 5yr price CAGR: 4.4%/yr | 3yr forecast: 1.0%/yr
  • Population: 11,729 | Owner-occupier rate: 57% | Affluence: High
  • Supply pipeline: Moderate — Development activity consistent with long-term averages

RENTAL SNAPSHOT

  • Vacancy: 2.2% (stable) | Rental demand: High
  • Median weekly rent: $645/wk | Days on market: 32 (stable)
  • Balanced market — vacancy manageable but monitor trend.

SHORT-TERM RENTAL

  • Median nightly rate: $418/night | Occupancy: 48%
  • Estimated annual STR gross: ~$73,300/yr
  • vs long-term rent: $33,540/yr (+119% STR premium — factor in higher management costs)

INFRASTRUCTURE & CATALYSTS

  • West Gate Tunnel (Melbourne) (Under Construction)
  • Metro Tunnel (Melbourne) (Under Construction)
  • Melbourne Airport Rail (SRL Airport) (Announced)
  • West Gate Tunnel (under_construction)
  • Transport: Well-connected inner-city location

BULL CASE

If West Footscray maintains 3%+ annual growth and vacancy stays below 1.5%, median prices could reach $1,189,844 within 3 years with yields compressing slightly as capital values rise.

BEAR CASE

A market correction or interest rate shock could see prices in West Footscray pull back 10-15% from $1,034,647, with vacancy rising to 4.0% and rental yields softening as tenants gain leverage.

KEY RISKS

  • No significant risk factors identified for this suburb

COMPARABLE MARKETS

  • St Albans (VIC): $731,405 median, 3.5% yield, 12.4% 1yr growth
  • Noble Park (VIC): $825,401 median, 3.5% yield, 6.5% 1yr growth
  • Springvale (VIC): $966,000 median, 3.2% yield, 9.1% 1yr growth

THE PLAY

West Footscray presents a compelling investment opportunity. The combination of solid fundamentals and high rental demand supports entry at current price levels. Proceed with due diligence on specific properties. Target gross yields above 3.2% and prioritise properties with value-add potential. Consider timing entry around the current cooling phase of the market cycle.

  • Entry range: $931,182$1,138,112
  • Minimum gross yield to target: 4.5%
  • Watch signal: vacancy dropping below 2% and days on market holding under 35

This analysis is for informational purposes only and does not constitute financial, legal, or investment advice. Seek professional advice before making investment decisions.

Gentrification Index

Early gentrification signals4.5/10
High SEIFA decile — already upgraded or established affluent area
Moderate capital growth (4.4% CAGR)
Inner/middle ring location (8.2km to CBD) — high gentrification corridor
Mixed tenure (41% renters) — transitional suburb profile
Active development pipeline (3236 approvals) — supply attracting new residents
Strong public transport infrastructure — supports walkable gentrification

Growth Forecast

high confidence
1yr Forecast
4.5%
p.a.
2yr Forecast
4.2%
p.a.
5yr Forecast
3.6%
p.a.

Basis: 5yr CAGR 4.4% + 10yr CAGR 5.3%

Growth drivers
  • +Low rental vacancy (2.2%) — constrained supply
  • +Premium transport infrastructure — supports long-term capital growth
Headwinds
  • High supply pipeline (3236 new approvals) — may cap price growth

Suburb Metric Thresholds

6 green8 yellow2 red
Rental Vacancy Rate
2.2 high impact
Days on Market
32 high impact
Weekly Rent (house)
645 medium impact
5yr Price CAGR
4.38 high impact
10yr Price CAGR
5.34 high impact
1yr Price Growth
3.29 medium impact
Population Growth
0.55 high impact
Median Household Income
1987 medium impact
Unemployment Rate
5.8 medium impact
Public Transport Score
53 medium impact
School Zone Quality
8.3 medium impact
Distance to CBD
8.16 medium impact
SEIFA Advantage/Disadvantage
7 medium impact
Owner Occupier Rate
56.6 medium impact
Gross Rental Yield (%)
3.24 high impact
Net Rental Yield (%)
1.74 high impact

Macro Environment

Macro Indicators

Cash Rate

4.35%

0.25%

Cash rate as at 2026-05-06 · Credit data 2026-04

Suburb Supply & Demand

Suburb Supply Pipeline — New Dwelling Approvals

735

2020

605

2021

808

2022

456

2023

632

2025

New dwelling approvals — higher numbers mean more future supply

Socio-Economic Profile

Source: ABS Census 2021

SEIFA Index · Postcode 3012

Most disadvantagedLeast disadvantaged

Decile 6 of 10 — Average

Population

27,023

Education (IEO)

9/10

Econ. Resources (IER)

3/10

10-Year Investment Projection

Modelled on West Footscray VIC data — rent, capital growth, tax, and depreciation over 10 years.

Pre-filled: $645/wk median rent for West Footscray. Capital growth and rent increase are editable assumptions.

Schools

In your catchment

Footscray West Primary School
PrimaryGovernment
8.3/10
Footscray High School
SecondaryGovernment
No data

These are the government-school zones containing this suburb centroid. Specific addresses within the suburb may fall in different catchments — confirm with the school directly.

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Data sourced from ABS, state government property sales, and Airbnb market analytics. For informational purposes only — not financial advice.