Wattle Glen VIC Property Investment

Nillumbik · 3096 · Score: 63/100 · Hold

Median House Price
$1.01M
Rental Yield
2.1%
Vacancy Rate
2.2%
Median Weekly Rent
$420/wk
Median Unit Price
$822K
Population
1,911
Days on Market
32 days
Annual Growth
0.0%
AI Investment Analysis

Wattle Glen VIC Investment Brief

HOLD$1,013,901 (pending peer validation) median with 7.9%/yr growth over 5 years.

THE MARKET

Wattle Glen has compounded at 7.9%/yr over 5 years. Median sits in the $1,013,901 (pending peer validation) band today. Properties are sitting on market for 32 days (roughly balanced conditions).

  • Median house: $1,013,901 (pending peer validation) | Units: $821,705
  • Gross yield: 2.1% | Net yield: 0.7%
  • 5yr price CAGR: 7.9%/yr | 3yr forecast: 0.5%/yr
  • Population: 1,911 | Owner-occupier rate: 92% | Affluence: Very High
  • Supply pipeline: Moderate — Development activity consistent with long-term averages

RENTAL SNAPSHOT

  • Vacancy: 2.2% (stable) | Rental demand: High
  • Median weekly rent: $420/wk | Days on market: 32 (stable)
  • Balanced market — vacancy manageable but monitor trend.

SHORT-TERM RENTAL

Insufficient STR data for this suburb. Run a specific address analysis for property-level STR projections.

INFRASTRUCTURE & CATALYSTS

  • No major confirmed infrastructure projects on record.
  • Transport: Standard suburban transport access

BULL CASE

If Wattle Glen maintains 3%+ annual growth and vacancy stays below 1.5%, median prices could reach $1,165,986 within 3 years with yields compressing slightly as capital values rise.

BEAR CASE

A market correction or interest rate shock could see prices in Wattle Glen pull back 10-15% from $1,013,901, with vacancy rising to 4.0% and rental yields softening as tenants gain leverage.

KEY RISKS

  • Bushfire risk: HIGH (planning_overlay) — confirm BAL rating and any bushfire overlay obligations for the property

COMPARABLE MARKETS

  • St Albans (VIC): $731,405 median, 3.5% yield, 12.4% 1yr growth
  • Noble Park (VIC): $825,401 median, 3.5% yield, 6.5% 1yr growth
  • Springvale (VIC): $966,000 median, 3.2% yield, 9.1% 1yr growth

THE PLAY

Wattle Glen offers balanced fundamentals but does not present an urgent buying signal. The market is in a above_trend phase with moderate vacancy risk. Monitor vacancy trends and price movements over the next 6-12 months. Only enter if a property can be acquired at or below median pricing with yields exceeding 4.0%.

  • Entry range: $912,511$1,115,291
  • Minimum gross yield to target: 4.5%
  • Watch signal: vacancy dropping below 2% and days on market holding under 35

This analysis is for informational purposes only and does not constitute financial, legal, or investment advice. Seek professional advice before making investment decisions.

Gentrification Index

Pre-gentrification3.5/10
High SEIFA decile — already upgraded or established affluent area
Above-average capital growth (7.9% CAGR)
Outer suburban location (25.5km to CBD) — slower gentrification cycle
Active development pipeline (770 approvals) — supply attracting new residents

Growth Forecast

low confidence
1yr Forecast
6.0%
p.a.
2yr Forecast
5.5%
p.a.
5yr Forecast
4.8%
p.a.

Basis: 5yr CAGR 7.9% + 10yr CAGR 6.2%

Growth drivers
  • +Low rental vacancy (2.2%) — constrained supply
Headwinds
  • Population decline (-0.5%/yr) — demand headwind
  • High supply pipeline (770 new approvals) — may cap price growth

Suburb Metric Thresholds

6 green6 yellow4 red
Rental Vacancy Rate
2.2 high impact
Days on Market
32 high impact
Weekly Rent (house)
420 medium impact
5yr Price CAGR
7.88 high impact
10yr Price CAGR
6.2 high impact
1yr Price Growth
0 medium impact
Population Growth
-0.52 high impact
Median Household Income
2425 medium impact
Unemployment Rate
3.2 medium impact
Public Transport Score
4.2 medium impact
School Zone Quality
6.8 medium impact
Distance to CBD
25.48 medium impact
SEIFA Advantage/Disadvantage
8 medium impact
Owner Occupier Rate
92 medium impact
Gross Rental Yield (%)
2.15 high impact
Net Rental Yield (%)
0.65 high impact

Macro Environment

Macro Indicators

Cash Rate

4.35%

0.25%

Cash rate as at 2026-05-06 · Credit data 2026-04

Suburb Supply & Demand

Suburb Supply Pipeline — New Dwelling Approvals

156

2020

168

2021

220

2022

130

2023

96

2025

New dwelling approvals — higher numbers mean more future supply

Socio-Economic Profile

Source: ABS Census 2021

SEIFA Index · Postcode 3096

Most disadvantagedLeast disadvantaged

Decile 9 of 10 — Low disadvantage

Population

1,911

Education (IEO)

8/10

Econ. Resources (IER)

10/10

10-Year Investment Projection

Modelled on Wattle Glen VIC data — rent, capital growth, tax, and depreciation over 10 years.

Pre-filled: $420/wk median rent for Wattle Glen. Capital growth and rent increase are editable assumptions.

Schools

In your catchment

Wattle Glen Primary School
PrimaryGovernment
6.8/10
Diamond Valley College
SecondaryGovernment
6.6/10

These are the government-school zones containing this suburb centroid. Specific addresses within the suburb may fall in different catchments — confirm with the school directly.

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Data sourced from ABS, state government property sales, and Airbnb market analytics. For informational purposes only — not financial advice.