Tempy VIC Property Investment
Mildura · 3489 · Score: 46/100 · Caution
Tempy Short-Term Rental (Airbnb) Market
Tempy VIC Investment Brief
CAUTION — 3.5% gross yield on a $672,000 (pending peer validation) median.
THE MARKET
Tempy has compounded at 1.6%/yr over 5 years. Median sits in the $672,000 (pending peer validation) band today. Properties are sitting on market for 45 days (roughly balanced conditions).
- Median house: $672,000 (pending peer validation) | Units: $0
- Gross yield: 3.5% | Net yield: 2.0%
- 5yr price CAGR: 1.6%/yr | 3yr forecast: 1.8%/yr
- Population: 62 | Owner-occupier rate: 95% | Affluence: Above Average
- Supply pipeline: Moderate — Development activity consistent with long-term averages
RENTAL SNAPSHOT
- Vacancy: 3.0% (stable) | Rental demand: Moderate
- Median weekly rent: $0/wk | Days on market: 45 (stable)
- Tenant market — vacancy elevated, negotiate hard on rent.
SHORT-TERM RENTAL
- Median nightly rate: $415/night | Occupancy: 48%
- Estimated annual STR gross: ~$72,729/yr
- vs long-term rent: $0/yr (comparable — LTR offers simpler management)
INFRASTRUCTURE & CATALYSTS
- No major confirmed infrastructure projects on record.
- Transport: Standard suburban transport access
BULL CASE
If Tempy maintains 3%+ annual growth and vacancy stays below 2.1%, median prices could reach $772,800 within 3 years with yields compressing slightly as capital values rise.
BEAR CASE
A market correction or interest rate shock could see prices in Tempy pull back 10-15% from $672,000, with vacancy rising to 5.0% and rental yields softening as tenants gain leverage.
KEY RISKS
- Distance from CBD may limit long-term capital growth potential
COMPARABLE MARKETS
- Sebastopol (VIC): $475,000 median, 4.5% yield, 14.0% 1yr growth
- Ardmona (VIC): $672,000 median, 1.9% yield, 7.5% 1yr growth
- Norlane (VIC): $510,000 median, 4.2% yield, 10.6% 1yr growth
THE PLAY
Tempy carries elevated risk that outweighs potential returns at current levels. A growth market combined with moderate vacancy risk warrants caution. Avoid new acquisitions unless significant discount to median pricing is achievable. Re-evaluate if vacancy falls below 2.5% or annual price growth exceeds 3%.
- Entry range: $604,800 – $739,200
- Minimum gross yield to target: 4.5%
- Watch signal: vacancy dropping below 2% and days on market falling below 35
This analysis is for informational purposes only and does not constitute financial, legal, or investment advice. Seek professional advice before making investment decisions.
Gentrification Index
Growth Forecast
low confidenceBasis: National long-run average (no local data)
- +Above-average population growth (1.7%/yr)
- −High supply pipeline (1477 new approvals) — may cap price growth
Suburb Metric Thresholds
Macro Environment
Macro Indicators
Cash Rate
4.35%
▲ 0.25%Cash rate as at 2026-05-06 · Credit data 2026-04
Suburb Supply & Demand
Suburb Supply Pipeline — New Dwelling Approvals
248
2020
411
2021
301
2022
255
2023
262
2025
New dwelling approvals — higher numbers mean more future supply
Socio-Economic Profile
Source: ABS Census 2021SEIFA Index · Postcode 3489
Decile 4 of 10 — Average
Population
62
Education (IEO)
7/10
Econ. Resources (IER)
4/10
10-Year Investment Projection
Modelled on Tempy VIC data — rent, capital growth, tax, and depreciation over 10 years.
Capital growth and rent increase are editable assumptions.
Schools
In your catchment
These are the government-school zones containing this suburb centroid. Specific addresses within the suburb may fall in different catchments — confirm with the school directly.
Nearby Suburbs
Analyse a Property in Tempy
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Analyse a Property →Data sourced from ABS, state government property sales, and Airbnb market analytics. For informational purposes only — not financial advice.