Templestowe VIC Property Investment

Manningham · 3106 · Score: 67/100 · Buy

Median House Price
$1.60M
Rental Yield
2.9%
Vacancy Rate
2.2%
Median Weekly Rent
$900/wk
Median Unit Price
$1.12M
Population
16,966
Days on Market
32 days
Annual Growth
-5.2%

Templestowe Short-Term Rental (Airbnb) Market

Avg Nightly Rate
$459.81/night
Occupancy Rate
48%
Est. Annual Revenue
$81K
AI Investment Analysis

Templestowe VIC Investment Brief

BUY$1,600,000 median with 7.9%/yr growth over 5 years.

THE MARKET

Templestowe has compounded at 7.9%/yr over 5 years — a house that cost $1,093,989 in 2021 is worth $1,600,000 today. Properties are sitting on market for 32 days (roughly balanced conditions). At the same growth rate, today's median reaches $2,340,061 by 2031.

  • Median house: $1,600,000 | Units: $1,118,750
  • Gross yield: 2.9% | Net yield: 1.4%
  • 5yr price CAGR: 7.9%/yr | 3yr forecast: 2.4%/yr
  • Population: 16,966 | Owner-occupier rate: 82% | Affluence: Very High
  • Supply pipeline: Moderate — Development activity consistent with long-term averages

RENTAL SNAPSHOT

  • Vacancy: 2.2% (stable) | Rental demand: High
  • Median weekly rent: $900/wk | Days on market: 32 (stable)
  • Balanced market — vacancy manageable but monitor trend.

SHORT-TERM RENTAL

  • Median nightly rate: $460/night | Occupancy: 48%
  • Estimated annual STR gross: ~$80,559/yr
  • vs long-term rent: $46,800/yr (+72% STR premium — factor in higher management costs)

INFRASTRUCTURE & CATALYSTS

  • North East Link (Melbourne) (Under Construction)
  • Angliss Hospital Expansion (Under Delivery)
  • Suburban Rail Loop East (Melbourne) (Under Construction)
  • Transport: Standard suburban transport access

BULL CASE

If Templestowe maintains 3%+ annual growth and vacancy stays below 1.5%, median prices could reach $1,840,000 within 3 years with yields compressing slightly as capital values rise.

BEAR CASE

A market correction or interest rate shock could see prices in Templestowe pull back 10-15% from $1,600,000, with vacancy rising to 4.0% and rental yields softening as tenants gain leverage.

KEY RISKS

  • No significant risk factors identified for this suburb

COMPARABLE MARKETS

  • Flemington (VIC): $1,200,000 median, 2.8% yield, 2.3% 1yr growth
  • Altona East (VIC): $1,250,000 median, 1.7% yield, 0.0% 1yr growth
  • Carlton (VIC): $1,400,000 median, 3.1% yield, 8.7% 1yr growth

THE PLAY

Templestowe presents a compelling investment opportunity. The combination of solid fundamentals and high rental demand supports entry at current price levels. Proceed with due diligence on specific properties. Target gross yields above 2.9% and prioritise properties with value-add potential. Consider timing entry around the current above_trend phase of the market cycle.

  • Entry range: $1,440,000$1,760,000
  • Minimum gross yield to target: 4.5%
  • Watch signal: vacancy dropping below 2% and days on market holding under 35

This analysis is for informational purposes only and does not constitute financial, legal, or investment advice. Seek professional advice before making investment decisions.

Gentrification Index

Early gentrification signals4.5/10
High SEIFA decile — already upgraded or established affluent area
Above-average capital growth (7.9% CAGR)
Inner/middle ring location (17.6km to CBD) — high gentrification corridor
Active development pipeline (3280 approvals) — supply attracting new residents

Growth Forecast

high confidence
1yr Forecast
6.9%
p.a.
2yr Forecast
6.3%
p.a.
5yr Forecast
5.5%
p.a.

Basis: 5yr CAGR 7.9% + 10yr CAGR 6.6%

Growth drivers
  • +Low rental vacancy (2.2%) — constrained supply
Headwinds
  • High supply pipeline (3280 new approvals) — may cap price growth

Suburb Metric Thresholds

6 green6 yellow4 red
Rental Vacancy Rate
2.2 high impact
Days on Market
32 high impact
Weekly Rent (house)
900 medium impact
5yr Price CAGR
7.87 high impact
10yr Price CAGR
6.62 high impact
1yr Price Growth
-5.19 medium impact
Population Growth
0.42 high impact
Median Household Income
2163 medium impact
Unemployment Rate
4.7 medium impact
Public Transport Score
5.4 medium impact
School Zone Quality
6.5 medium impact
Distance to CBD
17.61 medium impact
SEIFA Advantage/Disadvantage
9 medium impact
Owner Occupier Rate
82.2 medium impact
Gross Rental Yield (%)
2.93 high impact
Net Rental Yield (%)
1.43 high impact

Macro Environment

Macro Indicators

Cash Rate

4.35%

0.25%

Cash rate as at 2026-05-06 · Credit data 2026-04

Suburb Supply & Demand

Suburb Supply Pipeline — New Dwelling Approvals

664

2020

560

2021

997

2022

598

2023

461

2025

New dwelling approvals — higher numbers mean more future supply

Socio-Economic Profile

Source: ABS Census 2021

SEIFA Index · Postcode 3106

Most disadvantagedLeast disadvantaged

Decile 9 of 10 — Low disadvantage

Population

16,966

Education (IEO)

9/10

Econ. Resources (IER)

10/10

10-Year Investment Projection

Modelled on Templestowe VIC data — rent, capital growth, tax, and depreciation over 10 years.

Pre-filled: $900/wk median rent for Templestowe. Capital growth and rent increase are editable assumptions.

Schools

In your catchment

Templestowe Park Primary School
PrimaryGovernment
8.2/10
Templestowe College
SecondaryGovernment
8/10

These are the government-school zones containing this suburb centroid. Specific addresses within the suburb may fall in different catchments — confirm with the school directly.

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Data sourced from ABS, state government property sales, and Airbnb market analytics. For informational purposes only — not financial advice.