Taradale VIC Property Investment
Hepburn · 3447 · Score: 61/100 · Hold
Taradale Short-Term Rental (Airbnb) Market
Taradale VIC Investment Brief
HOLD — $1,100,000 (pending peer validation) median with 8.4%/yr growth over 5 years.
THE MARKET
Taradale has compounded at 8.4%/yr over 5 years. Median sits in the $1,100,000 (pending peer validation) band today. Properties are sitting on market for 41 days (roughly balanced conditions).
- Median house: $1,100,000 (pending peer validation) | Units: $377,750
- Gross yield: 1.3% | Net yield: -0.2%
- 5yr price CAGR: 8.4%/yr | 3yr forecast: 8.7%/yr
- Population: 524 | Owner-occupier rate: 91% | Affluence: High
- Supply pipeline: Moderate — Strong population growth likely attracting new development approvals
RENTAL SNAPSHOT
- Vacancy: 2.6% (stable) | Rental demand: Moderate
- Median weekly rent: $277/wk | Days on market: 41 (stable)
- Balanced market — vacancy manageable but monitor trend.
SHORT-TERM RENTAL
- Median nightly rate: $530/night | Occupancy: 48%
- Estimated annual STR gross: ~$92,789/yr
- vs long-term rent: $14,404/yr (+544% STR premium — factor in higher management costs)
INFRASTRUCTURE & CATALYSTS
- No major confirmed infrastructure projects on record.
- Transport: Standard suburban transport access
BULL CASE
If Taradale maintains 3%+ annual growth and vacancy stays below 1.8%, median prices could reach $1,265,000 within 3 years with yields compressing slightly as capital values rise.
BEAR CASE
A market correction or interest rate shock could see prices in Taradale pull back 10-15% from $1,100,000, with vacancy rising to 4.7% and rental yields softening as tenants gain leverage.
KEY RISKS
- Distance from CBD may limit long-term capital growth potential
COMPARABLE MARKETS
- Noble Park (VIC): $825,401 median, 3.5% yield, 6.5% 1yr growth
- Springvale (VIC): $966,000 median, 3.2% yield, 9.1% 1yr growth
- Lake Gardens (VIC): $910,973 median, 2.8% yield, -4.7% 1yr growth
THE PLAY
Taradale offers balanced fundamentals but does not present an urgent buying signal. The market is in a above_trend phase with moderate vacancy risk. Monitor vacancy trends and price movements over the next 6-12 months. Only enter if a property can be acquired at or below median pricing with yields exceeding 4.0%.
- Entry range: $990,000 – $1,210,000
- Minimum gross yield to target: 4.5%
- Watch signal: vacancy dropping below 2% and days on market falling below 35
This analysis is for informational purposes only and does not constitute financial, legal, or investment advice. Seek professional advice before making investment decisions.
Gentrification Index
Growth Forecast
high confidenceBasis: 5yr CAGR 8.4% + 10yr CAGR 6.9%
- +Strong population growth (3.2%/yr) driving demand
- −High supply pipeline (701 new approvals) — may cap price growth
Suburb Metric Thresholds
Macro Environment
Macro Indicators
Cash Rate
4.35%
▲ 0.25%Cash rate as at 2026-05-06 · Credit data 2026-04
Suburb Supply & Demand
Suburb Supply Pipeline — New Dwelling Approvals
102
2020
162
2021
154
2022
124
2023
159
2025
New dwelling approvals — higher numbers mean more future supply
Socio-Economic Profile
Source: ABS Census 2021SEIFA Index · Postcode 3447
Decile 7 of 10 — Average
Population
524
Education (IEO)
8/10
Econ. Resources (IER)
8/10
10-Year Investment Projection
Modelled on Taradale VIC data — rent, capital growth, tax, and depreciation over 10 years.
Pre-filled: $277/wk median rent for Taradale. Capital growth and rent increase are editable assumptions.
Schools
In your catchment
These are the government-school zones containing this suburb centroid. Specific addresses within the suburb may fall in different catchments — confirm with the school directly.
Nearby Suburbs
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Analyse a Property →Data sourced from ABS, state government property sales, and Airbnb market analytics. For informational purposes only — not financial advice.