Strathfieldsaye VIC Property Investment

Mount Alexander · 3551 · Score: 67/100 · Buy

Median House Price
$793K
Rental Yield
4.1%
Vacancy Rate
2.9%
Median Weekly Rent
$630/wk
Median Unit Price
$680K
Population
6,850
Days on Market
44 days
Annual Growth
2.6%

Strathfieldsaye Short-Term Rental (Airbnb) Market

Avg Nightly Rate
$537.94/night
Occupancy Rate
48%
Est. Annual Revenue
$94K
AI Investment Analysis

Strathfieldsaye VIC Investment Brief

BUY4.1% gross yield on a $793,000 median.

THE MARKET

Strathfieldsaye has compounded at 3.5%/yr over 5 years — a house that cost $667,685 in 2021 is worth $793,000 today. Properties are sitting on market for 44 days (roughly balanced conditions). At the same growth rate, today's median reaches $941,835 by 2031.

  • Median house: $793,000 | Units: $680,000
  • Gross yield: 4.1% | Net yield: 2.6%
  • 5yr price CAGR: 3.5%/yr | 3yr forecast: 13.5%/yr
  • Population: 6,850 | Owner-occupier rate: 85% | Affluence: High
  • Supply pipeline: Moderate — Strong population growth likely attracting new development approvals

RENTAL SNAPSHOT

  • Vacancy: 2.9% (stable) | Rental demand: Moderate
  • Median weekly rent: $630/wk | Days on market: 44 (stable)
  • Balanced market — vacancy manageable but monitor trend.

SHORT-TERM RENTAL

  • Median nightly rate: $538/night | Occupancy: 48%
  • Estimated annual STR gross: ~$94,247/yr
  • vs long-term rent: $32,760/yr (+188% STR premium — factor in higher management costs)

INFRASTRUCTURE & CATALYSTS

  • No major confirmed infrastructure projects on record.
  • Transport: Standard suburban transport access

BULL CASE

If Strathfieldsaye maintains 4%+ annual growth and vacancy stays below 2.0%, median prices could reach $911,950 within 3 years with yields compressing slightly as capital values rise.

BEAR CASE

A market correction or interest rate shock could see prices in Strathfieldsaye pull back 10-15% from $793,000, with vacancy rising to 5.0% and rental yields softening as tenants gain leverage.

KEY RISKS

  • Distance from CBD may limit long-term capital growth potential

COMPARABLE MARKETS

  • Hazelwood North (VIC): $1,027,334 median, 1.1% yield, 14.9% 1yr growth
  • Lake Gardens (VIC): $910,973 median, 2.8% yield, -4.7% 1yr growth
  • Ardmona (VIC): $672,000 median, 1.9% yield, 7.5% 1yr growth

THE PLAY

Strathfieldsaye presents a compelling investment opportunity. The combination of solid fundamentals and moderate rental demand supports entry at current price levels. Proceed with due diligence on specific properties. Target gross yields above 4.1% and prioritise properties with value-add potential. Consider timing entry around the current cooling phase of the market cycle.

  • Entry range: $713,700$872,300
  • Minimum gross yield to target: 4.5%
  • Watch signal: vacancy dropping below 2% and days on market falling below 35

This analysis is for informational purposes only and does not constitute financial, legal, or investment advice. Seek professional advice before making investment decisions.

Gentrification Index

Stable / established1.5/10
High SEIFA decile — already upgraded or established affluent area
Active development pipeline (780 approvals) — supply attracting new residents

Growth Forecast

high confidence
1yr Forecast
4.1%
p.a.
2yr Forecast
3.8%
p.a.
5yr Forecast
3.3%
p.a.

Basis: 5yr CAGR 3.5% + 10yr CAGR 5.0%

Growth drivers
  • +Strong population growth (3.8%/yr) driving demand
Headwinds
  • High supply pipeline (780 new approvals) — may cap price growth

Suburb Metric Thresholds

6 green6 yellow4 red
Rental Vacancy Rate
2.9 high impact
Days on Market
44 high impact
Weekly Rent (house)
630 medium impact
5yr Price CAGR
3.51 high impact
10yr Price CAGR
4.99 high impact
1yr Price Growth
2.65 medium impact
Population Growth
3.79 high impact
Median Household Income
2012 medium impact
Unemployment Rate
3.2 medium impact
Public Transport Score
3.8 medium impact
School Zone Quality
7.4 medium impact
Distance to CBD
124.44 medium impact
SEIFA Advantage/Disadvantage
8 medium impact
Owner Occupier Rate
85.1 medium impact
Gross Rental Yield (%)
4.13 high impact
Net Rental Yield (%)
2.63 high impact

Macro Environment

Macro Indicators

Cash Rate

4.35%

0.25%

Cash rate as at 2026-05-06 · Credit data 2026-04

Suburb Supply & Demand

Suburb Supply Pipeline — New Dwelling Approvals

138

2020

224

2021

161

2022

136

2023

121

2025

New dwelling approvals — higher numbers mean more future supply

Socio-Economic Profile

Source: ABS Census 2021

SEIFA Index · Postcode 3551

Most disadvantagedLeast disadvantaged

Decile 8 of 10 — Low disadvantage

Population

35,614

Education (IEO)

7/10

Econ. Resources (IER)

9/10

10-Year Investment Projection

Modelled on Strathfieldsaye VIC data — rent, capital growth, tax, and depreciation over 10 years.

Pre-filled: $630/wk median rent for Strathfieldsaye. Capital growth and rent increase are editable assumptions.

Schools

In your catchment

Strathfieldsaye Primary School
PrimaryGovernment
7/10
Bendigo South East 7-10 Secondary College
SecondaryGovernment
6.4/10
Bendigo Senior Secondary College
SecondaryGovernment
6.1/10

These are the government-school zones containing this suburb centroid. Specific addresses within the suburb may fall in different catchments — confirm with the school directly.

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Data sourced from ABS, state government property sales, and Airbnb market analytics. For informational purposes only — not financial advice.