Sassafras VIC Property Investment

Knox · 3787 · Score: 60/100 · Hold

Median House Price
$998K
Rental Yield
2.2%
Vacancy Rate
2.2%
Median Weekly Rent
$420/wk
Median Unit Price
N/A
Population
970
Days on Market
32 days
Annual Growth
0.0%

Sassafras Short-Term Rental (Airbnb) Market

Avg Nightly Rate
$674.62/night
Occupancy Rate
48%
Est. Annual Revenue
$118K
AI Investment Analysis

Sassafras VIC Investment Brief

HOLD2.2% gross yield on a $998,000 (pending peer validation) median.

THE MARKET

Sassafras has compounded at 5.8%/yr over 5 years. Median sits in the $998,000 (pending peer validation) band today. Properties are sitting on market for 32 days (roughly balanced conditions).

  • Median house: $998,000 (pending peer validation) | Units: $0
  • Gross yield: 2.2% | Net yield: 0.7%
  • 5yr price CAGR: 5.8%/yr | 3yr forecast: 8.4%/yr
  • Population: 970 | Owner-occupier rate: 90% | Affluence: Very High
  • Supply pipeline: Low — Price growth outpacing new supply, limited development pipeline

RENTAL SNAPSHOT

  • Vacancy: 2.2% (improving) | Rental demand: High
  • Median weekly rent: $420/wk | Days on market: 32 (stable)
  • Balanced market — vacancy manageable but monitor trend.

SHORT-TERM RENTAL

  • Median nightly rate: $675/night | Occupancy: 48%
  • Estimated annual STR gross: ~$118,193/yr
  • vs long-term rent: $21,840/yr (+441% STR premium — factor in higher management costs)

INFRASTRUCTURE & CATALYSTS

  • Angliss Hospital Expansion (Under Delivery)
  • Transport: Standard suburban transport access

BULL CASE

If Sassafras maintains 3%+ annual growth and vacancy stays below 1.5%, median prices could reach $1,147,700 within 3 years with yields compressing slightly as capital values rise.

BEAR CASE

A market correction or interest rate shock could see prices in Sassafras pull back 10-15% from $998,000, with vacancy rising to 4.0% and rental yields softening as tenants gain leverage.

KEY RISKS

  • Bushfire risk: HIGH (planning_overlay) — confirm BAL rating and any bushfire overlay obligations for the property

COMPARABLE MARKETS

  • Hazelwood North (VIC): $1,027,334 median, 1.1% yield, 14.9% 1yr growth
  • Tanjil South (VIC): $932,309 median, 1.2% yield, 7.5% 1yr growth
  • Hampton Park (VIC): $754,527 median, 3.8% yield, 5.3% 1yr growth

THE PLAY

Sassafras offers balanced fundamentals but does not present an urgent buying signal. The market is in a above_trend phase with moderate vacancy risk. Monitor vacancy trends and price movements over the next 6-12 months. Only enter if a property can be acquired at or below median pricing with yields exceeding 4.0%.

  • Entry range: $898,200$1,097,800
  • Minimum gross yield to target: 4.5%
  • Watch signal: vacancy dropping below 2% and days on market holding under 35

This analysis is for informational purposes only and does not constitute financial, legal, or investment advice. Seek professional advice before making investment decisions.

Gentrification Index

Pre-gentrification3.0/10
High SEIFA decile — already upgraded or established affluent area
Moderate capital growth (5.8% CAGR)
Outer suburban location (34.7km to CBD) — slower gentrification cycle
Active development pipeline (3542 approvals) — supply attracting new residents
Strong public transport infrastructure — supports walkable gentrification

Growth Forecast

low confidence
1yr Forecast
4.5%
p.a.
2yr Forecast
4.1%
p.a.
5yr Forecast
3.6%
p.a.

Basis: 5yr CAGR 5.8% + 10yr CAGR 4.9%

Growth drivers
  • +Low rental vacancy (2.2%) — constrained supply
  • +Premium transport infrastructure — supports long-term capital growth
Headwinds
  • Population decline (-2.0%/yr) — demand headwind
  • High supply pipeline (3542 new approvals) — may cap price growth

Suburb Metric Thresholds

5 green7 yellow4 red
Rental Vacancy Rate
2.2 high impact
Days on Market
32 high impact
Weekly Rent (house)
420 medium impact
5yr Price CAGR
5.83 high impact
10yr Price CAGR
4.89 high impact
1yr Price Growth
0 medium impact
Population Growth
-1.98 high impact
Median Household Income
2153 medium impact
Unemployment Rate
3.7 medium impact
Public Transport Score
27 medium impact
School Zone Quality
6.9 medium impact
Distance to CBD
34.71 medium impact
SEIFA Advantage/Disadvantage
9 medium impact
Owner Occupier Rate
90.1 medium impact
Gross Rental Yield (%)
2.19 high impact
Net Rental Yield (%)
0.69 high impact

Macro Environment

Macro Indicators

Cash Rate

4.35%

0.25%

Cash rate as at 2026-05-06 · Credit data 2026-04

Suburb Supply & Demand

Suburb Supply Pipeline — New Dwelling Approvals

664

2020

789

2021

777

2022

615

2023

697

2025

New dwelling approvals — higher numbers mean more future supply

Socio-Economic Profile

Source: ABS Census 2021

SEIFA Index · Postcode 3787

Most disadvantagedLeast disadvantaged

Decile 9 of 10 — Low disadvantage

Population

961

Education (IEO)

9/10

Econ. Resources (IER)

10/10

10-Year Investment Projection

Modelled on Sassafras VIC data — rent, capital growth, tax, and depreciation over 10 years.

Pre-filled: $420/wk median rent for Sassafras. Capital growth and rent increase are editable assumptions.

Schools

In your catchment

Sassafras Primary School
PrimaryGovernment
7.5/10
Upwey High School
SecondaryGovernment
6.9/10

These are the government-school zones containing this suburb centroid. Specific addresses within the suburb may fall in different catchments — confirm with the school directly.

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Data sourced from ABS, state government property sales, and Airbnb market analytics. For informational purposes only — not financial advice.