Oakleigh VIC Property Investment

Oakleigh has compounded at 4.9%/yr over 5 years — a house that cost $1,102,175 in 2021 is worth $1,400,000 today. Properties are sitting on market for 32 days (roughly balanced conditions). At the same growth rate, today's median reaches $1,778,302 by 2031.

• Median house: $1,400,000 | Units: $878,000
• Gross yield: 2.6% | Net yield: 1.1%
• 5yr price CAGR: 4.9%/yr | 3yr forecast: 4.9%/yr
• Population: 8,442 | Owner-occupier rate: 63% | Affluence: Very High

• Supply pipeline: Low — Price growth outpacing new supply, limited development pipeline

• Vacancy: 2.2% (improving) | Rental demand: High
• Median weekly rent: $695/wk | Days on market: 32 (stable)
• Balanced market — vacancy manageable but monitor trend.

Insufficient STR data for this suburb. Run a specific address analysis for property-level STR projections.

• Suburban Rail Loop East (Melbourne) (Under Construction)
• North East Link (Melbourne) (Under Construction)
• West Gate Tunnel (Melbourne) (Under Construction)
• Transport: Well-connected inner-city location

If Oakleigh maintains 3%+ annual growth and vacancy stays below 1.5%, median prices could reach $1,610,000 within 3 years with yields compressing slightly as capital values rise.

A market correction or interest rate shock could see prices in Oakleigh pull back 10-15% from $1,400,000, with vacancy rising to 4.0% and rental yields softening as tenants gain leverage.

• No significant risk factors identified for this suburb

• Bangholme (VIC): $992,000 median, 1.7% yield, 5.8% 1yr growth
• Flemington (VIC): $1,200,000 median, 2.8% yield, 2.3% 1yr growth
• Bellfield (VIC): $982,500 median, 3.2% yield, 1.3% 1yr growth

Oakleigh presents a compelling investment opportunity. The combination of solid fundamentals and high rental demand supports entry at current price levels. Proceed with due diligence on specific properties. Target gross yields above 2.6% and prioritise properties with value-add potential. Consider timing entry around the current stable phase of the market cycle.

• Entry range: $1,260,000 – $1,540,000
• Minimum gross yield to target: 4.5%
• Watch signal: vacancy dropping below 2% and days on market holding under 35

This analysis is for informational purposes only and does not constitute financial, legal, or investment advice. Seek professional advice before making investment decisions.