Murtoa VIC Property Investment

Horsham · 3390 · Score: 50/100 · Hold

Median House Price
$274K
Rental Yield
4.7%
Vacancy Rate
3.0%
Median Weekly Rent
$250/wk
Median Unit Price
N/A
Population
897
Days on Market
45 days
Annual Growth
0.0%

Murtoa Short-Term Rental (Airbnb) Market

Avg Nightly Rate
$372.31/night
Occupancy Rate
48%
Est. Annual Revenue
$65K
AI Investment Analysis

Murtoa VIC Investment Brief

## 1. Investment Verdict Hold – the key figure is the median house price of approximately $274,000 (pending peer validation). The Investment Scorecard sits at 50 / 100, signalling a neutral position.

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## 2. Market Overview - Median house price: around $274,000 (still awaiting cross‑validation). - Growth trend: not supplied in the data set, so we cannot quantify recent price movement. - Days on market: not supplied.

Signal: With a median price that is modest for regional Victoria and no clear growth or speed‑of‑sale data, the market appears balanced. Buyers are not being forced into bidding wars, and sellers are not facing long vacancy periods. The neutral scorecard reinforces a “wait‑and‑see” stance.

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## 3. Rental Market The data block does not include vacancy rates, weekly rents, gross yields or a demand rating for Murtoa. Consequently we cannot calculate a rental yield or comment on rental demand with certainty. The 50 / 100 score suggests the rental market is neither strongly attractive nor unattractive at present.

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## 4. Short‑Term Rental Opportunity No STR metrics (nightly rate, occupancy, annual revenue) are provided. Without these, we cannot compare long‑term rental (LTR) versus short‑term rental (STR) profitability for Murtoa.

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## 5. Infrastructure & Growth Drivers The supplied information contains no details on local infrastructure projects, transport links, major employers or other growth catalysts. As a result we cannot identify specific demand drivers or constraints.

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## 6. Bull Case If Murtoa experiences positive catalysts (e.g., new infrastructure, employment growth) and the median house price rises 10 %, the price would move to approximately $301,400 (10 % of $274,000). That uplift would improve capital growth prospects and could lift rental yields if rents keep pace.

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## 7. Risks | Risk | Why it matters (numbers where available) | |------|------------------------------------------| | Vacancy risk | No vacancy data supplied; a rise in vacancy would erode rental income. | | Single‑employer dependency | No employment data provided; reliance on one large employer would increase sensitivity to job losses. | | Supply pipeline | No information on new housing approvals; a surge in supply could pressure prices and rents. | | Interest‑rate sensitivity | With a median price of ~ $274k, many investors will use leverage; higher rates could reduce cash flow and buyer appetite. |

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## 8. The Play - Entry range: around the median – ≈ $274,000 for a house (unit data not supplied). - Minimum yield target: Not calculable from the current data; investors should aim for a yield that meets their cash‑flow requirements once rental figures become available. - Watch signals: 1. Peer‑validated median price (once cross‑checked). 2. Release of vacancy and rent data for Murtoa. 3. Announcement of any infrastructure or major employer projects. - Recommended strategy: Adopt a cautious “hold” approach. Acquire only if the purchase price falls below the current median (e.g., < $274k) and if subsequent rental data confirms a gross yield that meets your hurdle rate. Monitor the market for the validation of the median price and for any emerging growth drivers before scaling exposure.

Gentrification Index

Pre-gentrification3.5/10
Low socioeconomic base — classic gentrification precondition
Active development pipeline (456 approvals) — supply attracting new residents

Growth Forecast

high confidence
1yr Forecast
1.1%
p.a.
2yr Forecast
1.0%
p.a.
5yr Forecast
0.9%
p.a.

Basis: 5yr CAGR 1.1% + 10yr CAGR 3.1%

Headwinds
  • High supply pipeline (456 new approvals) — may cap price growth

Suburb Metric Thresholds

2 green6 yellow8 red
Rental Vacancy Rate
3 high impact
Days on Market
45 high impact
Weekly Rent (house)
250 medium impact
5yr Price CAGR
1.05 high impact
10yr Price CAGR
3.08 high impact
1yr Price Growth
0 medium impact
Population Growth
1.01 high impact
Median Household Income
1026 medium impact
Unemployment Rate
1.6 medium impact
Public Transport Score
0 medium impact
School Zone Quality
5.6 medium impact
Distance to CBD
257.91 medium impact
SEIFA Advantage/Disadvantage
2 medium impact
Owner Occupier Rate
77 medium impact
Gross Rental Yield (%)
4.74 high impact
Net Rental Yield (%)
3.24 high impact

Macro Environment

Macro Indicators

Cash Rate

4.35%

0.25%

Cash rate as at 2026-05-06 · Credit data 2026-04

Suburb Supply & Demand

Suburb Supply Pipeline — New Dwelling Approvals

82

2020

128

2021

107

2022

71

2023

68

2025

New dwelling approvals — higher numbers mean more future supply

Socio-Economic Profile

Source: ABS Census 2021

SEIFA Index · Postcode 3390

Most disadvantagedLeast disadvantaged

Decile 2 of 10 — High disadvantage

Population

957

Education (IEO)

4/10

Econ. Resources (IER)

2/10

10-Year Investment Projection

Modelled on Murtoa VIC data — rent, capital growth, tax, and depreciation over 10 years.

Pre-filled: $250/wk median rent for Murtoa. Capital growth and rent increase are editable assumptions.

Schools

In your catchment

Murtoa College
PrimaryGovernment
5.1/10
Murtoa College
SecondaryGovernment
5.1/10

These are the government-school zones containing this suburb centroid. Specific addresses within the suburb may fall in different catchments — confirm with the school directly.

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Data sourced from ABS, state government property sales, and Airbnb market analytics. For informational purposes only — not financial advice.

Murtoa VIC Property Market — Median, Growth, Yield | Estait