Meredith VIC Property Investment

Moorabool · 3333 · Score: 55/100 · Hold

Median House Price
$640K
Rental Yield
2.4%
Vacancy Rate
2.5%
Median Weekly Rent
$300/wk
Median Unit Price
$377K
Population
821
Days on Market
39 days
Annual Growth
24.8%

Meredith Short-Term Rental (Airbnb) Market

Avg Nightly Rate
$471.62/night
Occupancy Rate
48%
Est. Annual Revenue
$83K
AI Investment Analysis

Meredith VIC Investment Brief

HOLD2.4% gross yield on a $640,000 (pending peer validation) median.

THE MARKET

Meredith has compounded at 6.5%/yr over 5 years. Median sits in the $640,000 (pending peer validation) band today. Properties are sitting on market for 39 days (roughly balanced conditions).

  • Median house: $640,000 (pending peer validation) | Units: $377,076
  • Gross yield: 2.4% | Net yield: 0.9%
  • 5yr price CAGR: 6.5%/yr | 3yr forecast: 5.8%/yr
  • Population: 821 | Owner-occupier rate: 82% | Affluence: Above Average
  • Supply pipeline: Low — Price growth outpacing new supply, limited development pipeline

RENTAL SNAPSHOT

  • Vacancy: 2.5% (stable) | Rental demand: Moderate
  • Median weekly rent: $300/wk | Days on market: 39 (stable)
  • Balanced market — vacancy manageable but monitor trend.

SHORT-TERM RENTAL

  • Median nightly rate: $472/night | Occupancy: 48%
  • Estimated annual STR gross: ~$82,628/yr
  • vs long-term rent: $15,600/yr (+430% STR premium — factor in higher management costs)

INFRASTRUCTURE & CATALYSTS

  • No major confirmed infrastructure projects on record.
  • Transport: Standard suburban transport access

BULL CASE

If Meredith maintains 3%+ annual growth and vacancy stays below 1.8%, median prices could reach $736,000 within 3 years with yields compressing slightly as capital values rise.

BEAR CASE

A market correction or interest rate shock could see prices in Meredith pull back 10-15% from $640,000, with vacancy rising to 4.5% and rental yields softening as tenants gain leverage.

KEY RISKS

  • Distance from CBD may limit long-term capital growth potential

COMPARABLE MARKETS

  • Noble Park (VIC): $825,401 median, 3.5% yield, 6.5% 1yr growth
  • Delahey (VIC): $708,000 median, 3.7% yield, 12.5% 1yr growth
  • Sebastopol (VIC): $475,000 median, 4.5% yield, 14.0% 1yr growth

THE PLAY

Meredith offers balanced fundamentals but does not present an urgent buying signal. The market is in a above_trend phase with moderate vacancy risk. Monitor vacancy trends and price movements over the next 6-12 months. Only enter if a property can be acquired at or below median pricing with yields exceeding 4.0%.

  • Entry range: $576,000$704,000
  • Minimum gross yield to target: 4.5%
  • Watch signal: vacancy dropping below 2% and days on market falling below 35

This analysis is for informational purposes only and does not constitute financial, legal, or investment advice. Seek professional advice before making investment decisions.

Gentrification Index

Pre-gentrification3.0/10
Middle-tier SEIFA — moderate gentrification pressure
Moderate capital growth (6.5% CAGR)
Active development pipeline (1823 approvals) — supply attracting new residents

Growth Forecast

high confidence
1yr Forecast
5.2%
p.a.
2yr Forecast
4.7%
p.a.
5yr Forecast
4.1%
p.a.

Basis: 5yr CAGR 6.5% + 10yr CAGR 5.1%

Headwinds
  • High supply pipeline (1823 new approvals) — may cap price growth

Suburb Metric Thresholds

3 green8 yellow5 red
Rental Vacancy Rate
2.5 high impact
Days on Market
39 high impact
Weekly Rent (house)
300 medium impact
5yr Price CAGR
6.46 high impact
10yr Price CAGR
5.09 high impact
1yr Price Growth
24.75 medium impact
Population Growth
0.93 high impact
Median Household Income
1657 medium impact
Unemployment Rate
4.2 medium impact
Public Transport Score
2.1 medium impact
School Zone Quality
5.6 medium impact
Distance to CBD
77.94 medium impact
SEIFA Advantage/Disadvantage
6 medium impact
Owner Occupier Rate
82.2 medium impact
Gross Rental Yield (%)
2.44 high impact
Net Rental Yield (%)
0.94 high impact

Macro Environment

Macro Indicators

Cash Rate

4.35%

0.25%

Cash rate as at 2026-05-06 · Credit data 2026-04

Suburb Supply & Demand

Suburb Supply Pipeline — New Dwelling Approvals

397

2020

526

2021

258

2022

364

2023

278

2025

New dwelling approvals — higher numbers mean more future supply

Socio-Economic Profile

Source: ABS Census 2021

SEIFA Index · Postcode 3333

Most disadvantagedLeast disadvantaged

Decile 6 of 10 — Average

Population

864

Education (IEO)

6/10

Econ. Resources (IER)

7/10

10-Year Investment Projection

Modelled on Meredith VIC data — rent, capital growth, tax, and depreciation over 10 years.

Pre-filled: $300/wk median rent for Meredith. Capital growth and rent increase are editable assumptions.

Schools

In your catchment

Meredith Primary School
PrimaryGovernment
5.6/10
Bannockburn P-12 College
SecondaryGovernment
5.9/10

These are the government-school zones containing this suburb centroid. Specific addresses within the suburb may fall in different catchments — confirm with the school directly.

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Data sourced from ABS, state government property sales, and Airbnb market analytics. For informational purposes only — not financial advice.