Mallacoota VIC Property Investment

East Gippsland · 3892 · Score: 55/100 · Hold

Median House Price
$672K
Rental Yield
16.3%
Vacancy Rate
3.0%
Median Weekly Rent
$2100/wk
Median Unit Price
$312K
Population
1,183
Days on Market
45 days
Annual Growth
0.0%

Mallacoota Short-Term Rental (Airbnb) Market

Avg Nightly Rate
$481.56/night
Occupancy Rate
48%
Est. Annual Revenue
$84K
AI Investment Analysis

Mallacoota VIC Investment Brief

HOLD16.2% gross yield on a $672,000 (pending peer validation) median.

THE MARKET

Mallacoota has compounded at 4.4%/yr over 5 years. Median sits in the $672,000 (pending peer validation) band today. Properties are sitting on market for 45 days (roughly balanced conditions).

  • Median house: $672,000 (pending peer validation) | Units: $311,549
  • Gross yield: 16.2% | Net yield: 14.8%
  • 5yr price CAGR: 4.4%/yr | 3yr forecast: 13.5%/yr
  • Population: 1,183 | Owner-occupier rate: 78% | Affluence: Average
  • Supply pipeline: Low — Price growth outpacing new supply, limited development pipeline

RENTAL SNAPSHOT

  • Vacancy: 3.0% (stable) | Rental demand: Moderate
  • Median weekly rent: $2,100/wk | Days on market: 45 (stable)
  • Tenant market — vacancy elevated, negotiate hard on rent.

SHORT-TERM RENTAL

  • Median nightly rate: $482/night | Occupancy: 48%
  • Estimated annual STR gross: ~$84,369/yr
  • vs long-term rent: $109,200/yr (comparable — LTR offers simpler management)

INFRASTRUCTURE & CATALYSTS

  • No major confirmed infrastructure projects on record.
  • Transport: Standard suburban transport access

BULL CASE

If Mallacoota maintains 3%+ annual growth and vacancy stays below 2.1%, median prices could reach $772,800 within 3 years with yields compressing slightly as capital values rise.

BEAR CASE

A market correction or interest rate shock could see prices in Mallacoota pull back 10-15% from $672,000, with vacancy rising to 5.0% and rental yields softening as tenants gain leverage.

KEY RISKS

  • Bushfire risk: HIGH (planning_overlay) — confirm BAL rating and any bushfire overlay obligations for the property
  • - Distance from CBD may limit long-term capital growth potential

COMPARABLE MARKETS

  • Ardmona (VIC): $672,000 median, 1.9% yield, 7.5% 1yr growth
  • Undera (VIC): $672,000 median, 1.9% yield, 7.5% 1yr growth
  • Rawson (VIC): $672,000 median, 1.7% yield, 0.0% 1yr growth

THE PLAY

Mallacoota offers balanced fundamentals but does not present an urgent buying signal. The market is in a boom phase with moderate vacancy risk. Monitor vacancy trends and price movements over the next 6-12 months. Only enter if a property can be acquired at or below median pricing with yields exceeding 16.8%.

  • Entry range: $604,800$739,200
  • Minimum gross yield to target: 16.6%
  • Watch signal: vacancy dropping below 2% and days on market falling below 35

This analysis is for informational purposes only and does not constitute financial, legal, or investment advice. Seek professional advice before making investment decisions.

Gentrification Index

Early gentrification signals4.0/10
Low socioeconomic base — classic gentrification precondition
Moderate capital growth (4.4% CAGR)
Active development pipeline (1993 approvals) — supply attracting new residents

Growth Forecast

high confidence
1yr Forecast
3.1%
p.a.
2yr Forecast
2.8%
p.a.
5yr Forecast
2.5%
p.a.

Basis: 5yr CAGR 4.4% + 10yr CAGR 2.3%

Growth drivers
  • +Above-average population growth (2.2%/yr)
Headwinds
  • High supply pipeline (1993 new approvals) — may cap price growth

Suburb Metric Thresholds

6 green4 yellow6 red
Rental Vacancy Rate
3 high impact
Days on Market
45 high impact
Weekly Rent (house)
2100 medium impact
5yr Price CAGR
4.44 high impact
10yr Price CAGR
2.29 high impact
1yr Price Growth
0 medium impact
Population Growth
2.16 high impact
Median Household Income
1031 medium impact
Unemployment Rate
2.9 medium impact
Public Transport Score
0 medium impact
School Zone Quality
5.7 medium impact
Distance to CBD
424.55 medium impact
SEIFA Advantage/Disadvantage
4 medium impact
Owner Occupier Rate
78.4 medium impact
Gross Rental Yield (%)
16.25 high impact
Net Rental Yield (%)
14.75 high impact

Macro Environment

Macro Indicators

Cash Rate

4.35%

0.25%

Cash rate as at 2026-05-06 · Credit data 2026-04

Suburb Supply & Demand

Suburb Supply Pipeline — New Dwelling Approvals

326

2020

543

2021

476

2022

303

2023

345

2025

New dwelling approvals — higher numbers mean more future supply

Socio-Economic Profile

Source: ABS Census 2021

SEIFA Index · Postcode 3892

Most disadvantagedLeast disadvantaged

Decile 5 of 10 — Average

Population

1,183

Education (IEO)

5/10

Econ. Resources (IER)

3/10

10-Year Investment Projection

Modelled on Mallacoota VIC data — rent, capital growth, tax, and depreciation over 10 years.

Pre-filled: $2100/wk median rent for Mallacoota. Capital growth and rent increase are editable assumptions.

Schools

In your catchment

Mallacoota P-12 College
PrimaryGovernment
6.2/10
Mallacoota P-12 College
SecondaryGovernment
6.2/10

These are the government-school zones containing this suburb centroid. Specific addresses within the suburb may fall in different catchments — confirm with the school directly.

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Data sourced from ABS, state government property sales, and Airbnb market analytics. For informational purposes only — not financial advice.