Kyabram VIC Property Investment
Moreland · 3619 · Score: 51/100 · Hold
Kyabram Short-Term Rental (Airbnb) Market
Kyabram VIC Investment Brief
HOLD — 3.5% gross yield on a $525,000 (pending peer validation) median.
THE MARKET
Kyabram has compounded at 3.4%/yr over 5 years. Median sits in the $525,000 (pending peer validation) band today. Properties are sitting on market for 45 days (roughly balanced conditions).
- Median house: $525,000 (pending peer validation) | Units: $313,500
- Gross yield: 3.5% | Net yield: 2.0%
- 5yr price CAGR: 3.4%/yr | 3yr forecast: 3.8%/yr
- Population: 7,416 | Owner-occupier rate: 50% | Affluence: Above Average
- Supply pipeline: Moderate — Development activity consistent with long-term averages
RENTAL SNAPSHOT
- Vacancy: 3.0% (stable) | Rental demand: Moderate
- Median weekly rent: $0/wk | Days on market: 45 (stable)
- Tenant market — vacancy elevated, negotiate hard on rent.
SHORT-TERM RENTAL
- Median nightly rate: $427/night | Occupancy: 48%
- Estimated annual STR gross: ~$74,733/yr
- vs long-term rent: $0/yr (comparable — LTR offers simpler management)
INFRASTRUCTURE & CATALYSTS
- No major confirmed infrastructure projects on record.
- Transport: Standard suburban transport access
BULL CASE
If Kyabram maintains 3%+ annual growth and vacancy stays below 2.1%, median prices could reach $603,750 within 3 years with yields compressing slightly as capital values rise.
BEAR CASE
A market correction or interest rate shock could see prices in Kyabram pull back 10-15% from $525,000, with vacancy rising to 5.0% and rental yields softening as tenants gain leverage.
KEY RISKS
- Flood risk: HIGH (planning_overlay) — order a flood certificate for the specific address before commit
- - Distance from CBD may limit long-term capital growth potential
COMPARABLE MARKETS
- Sebastopol (VIC): $475,000 median, 4.5% yield, 14.0% 1yr growth
- Ardmona (VIC): $672,000 median, 1.9% yield, 7.5% 1yr growth
- Undera (VIC): $672,000 median, 1.9% yield, 7.5% 1yr growth
THE PLAY
Kyabram offers balanced fundamentals but does not present an urgent buying signal. The market is in a growth phase with moderate vacancy risk. Monitor vacancy trends and price movements over the next 6-12 months. Only enter if a property can be acquired at or below median pricing with yields exceeding 4.0%.
- Entry range: $472,500 – $577,500
- Minimum gross yield to target: 4.5%
- Watch signal: vacancy dropping below 2% and days on market falling below 35
This analysis is for informational purposes only and does not constitute financial, legal, or investment advice. Seek professional advice before making investment decisions.
Gentrification Index
Growth Forecast
low confidenceBasis: 1yr growth 4.2% (heavily discounted — volatile)
- −High supply pipeline (6791 new approvals) — may cap price growth
Suburb Metric Thresholds
Macro Environment
Macro Indicators
Cash Rate
4.35%
▲ 0.25%Cash rate as at 2026-05-06 · Credit data 2026-04
Suburb Supply & Demand
Suburb Supply Pipeline — New Dwelling Approvals
1,417
2020
1,183
2021
2,511
2022
1,680
2023
New dwelling approvals — higher numbers mean more future supply
10-Year Investment Projection
Modelled on Kyabram VIC data — rent, capital growth, tax, and depreciation over 10 years.
Capital growth and rent increase are editable assumptions.
Schools
In your catchment
These are the government-school zones containing this suburb centroid. Specific addresses within the suburb may fall in different catchments — confirm with the school directly.
Nearby Suburbs
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Analyse a Property →Data sourced from ABS, state government property sales, and Airbnb market analytics. For informational purposes only — not financial advice.