Koo Wee Rup VIC Property Investment
Baw Baw · 3981 · Score: 65/100 · Buy
Koo Wee Rup VIC Investment Brief
BUY — 4.0% gross yield on a $772,460 median.
THE MARKET
Koo Wee Rup has compounded at 4.5%/yr over 5 years — a house that cost $619,861 in 2021 is worth $772,460 today. Properties are sitting on market for 38 days (roughly balanced conditions). At the same growth rate, today's median reaches $962,626 by 2031.
- Median house: $772,460 | Units: $515,304
- Gross yield: 4.0% | Net yield: 2.5%
- 5yr price CAGR: 4.5%/yr | 3yr forecast: 13.5%/yr
- Population: 4,047 | Owner-occupier rate: 80% | Affluence: Average
- Supply pipeline: Low — Price growth outpacing new supply, limited development pipeline
RENTAL SNAPSHOT
- Vacancy: 2.3% (improving) | Rental demand: High
- Median weekly rent: $600/wk | Days on market: 38 (stable)
- Balanced market — vacancy manageable but monitor trend.
SHORT-TERM RENTAL
Insufficient STR data for this suburb. Run a specific address analysis for property-level STR projections.
INFRASTRUCTURE & CATALYSTS
- No major confirmed infrastructure projects on record.
- Transport: Standard suburban transport access
BULL CASE
If Koo Wee Rup maintains 3%+ annual growth and vacancy stays below 1.6%, median prices could reach $888,329 within 3 years with yields compressing slightly as capital values rise.
BEAR CASE
A market correction or interest rate shock could see prices in Koo Wee Rup pull back 10-15% from $772,460, with vacancy rising to 4.1% and rental yields softening as tenants gain leverage.
KEY RISKS
- Flood risk: HIGH (planning_overlay) — order a flood certificate for the specific address before commit
- - Distance from CBD may limit long-term capital growth potential
COMPARABLE MARKETS
- Rawson (VIC): $672,000 median, 1.7% yield, 0.0% 1yr growth
- Tanjil South (VIC): $932,309 median, 1.2% yield, 7.5% 1yr growth
- Hampton Park (VIC): $754,527 median, 3.8% yield, 5.3% 1yr growth
THE PLAY
Koo Wee Rup presents a compelling investment opportunity. The combination of solid fundamentals and high rental demand supports entry at current price levels. Proceed with due diligence on specific properties. Target gross yields above 4.0% and prioritise properties with value-add potential. Consider timing entry around the current cooling phase of the market cycle.
- Entry range: $695,214 – $849,706
- Minimum gross yield to target: 4.5%
- Watch signal: vacancy dropping below 2% and days on market falling below 35
This analysis is for informational purposes only and does not constitute financial, legal, or investment advice. Seek professional advice before making investment decisions.
Gentrification Index
Growth Forecast
high confidenceBasis: 5yr CAGR 4.5% + 10yr CAGR 5.5%
- +Above-average population growth (2.1%/yr)
- +Low rental vacancy (2.3%) — constrained supply
- −High supply pipeline (3428 new approvals) — may cap price growth
Suburb Metric Thresholds
Macro Environment
Macro Indicators
Cash Rate
4.35%
▲ 0.25%Cash rate as at 2026-05-06 · Credit data 2026-04
Suburb Supply & Demand
Suburb Supply Pipeline — New Dwelling Approvals
646
2020
991
2021
760
2022
422
2023
609
2025
New dwelling approvals — higher numbers mean more future supply
Socio-Economic Profile
Source: ABS Census 2021SEIFA Index · Postcode 3981
Decile 6 of 10 — Average
Population
5,437
Education (IEO)
3/10
Econ. Resources (IER)
8/10
10-Year Investment Projection
Modelled on Koo Wee Rup VIC data — rent, capital growth, tax, and depreciation over 10 years.
Pre-filled: $600/wk median rent for Koo Wee Rup. Capital growth and rent increase are editable assumptions.
Schools
In your catchment
These are the government-school zones containing this suburb centroid. Specific addresses within the suburb may fall in different catchments — confirm with the school directly.
Nearby Suburbs
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Analyse a Property →Data sourced from ABS, state government property sales, and Airbnb market analytics. For informational purposes only — not financial advice.